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- Archive-name: investment-faq/general/part1
- Version: $Id: faq-p1,v 1.22 1995/01/26 07:55:14 lott Exp lott $
- Compiler: Christopher Lott, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- This is the table of contents for the general misc.invest FAQ,
- and is the first part of a 6-part posting.
-
- Articles in this FAQ discuss issues pertaining to money and
- investment instruments, specifically stocks, bonds, options, life
- life insurance, etc. Subjects more appropriate to misc.consumers
- (e.g., low-fee credit cards) are not included here. For extensive
- information on mutual funds, see the mutual fund FAQ, which is
- posted regularly to the newsgroups misc.invest.funds, misc.answers,
- and news.answers.
-
- Compilation copyright (c) 1994 by Christopher Lott. Use and copying
- of this information, distribution of the information on electronic
- media, and preparation of derivative works based upon this information
- are permitted, so long as the following conditions are met:
- + No fees or compensation are charged for this information,
- excluding charges for the media used to distribute it.
- + Proper attribution is given to the authors of individual articles.
- + This copyright notice is included intact.
-
- Disclaimers: This information is made available AS IS, and no
- warranty is made about its quality or correctness. Rules, regulations,
- laws, conditions, rates, and such information discussed in this FAQ
- all change quite rapidly. Information given here was current at the
- time of writing but is almost guaranteed to be out of date by the time
- you read it. Mention of a product does not constitute an endorsement.
- Answers to questions sometimes rely on information given in other
- answers. Readers outside the USA can reach US-800 telephone numbers,
- for a charge, using a service such as MCI's Call USA. All prices are
- listed in US dollars unless otherwise specified.
-
- Availability of the FAQ:
- via news:
- posted monthly to unmoderated groups: misc.invest,misc.invest.stocks
- moderated groups: misc.answers,news.answers
- via the World-Wide Web:
- http://www.cis.ohio-state.edu/hypertext/faq/usenet\
- /investment-faq/general/top.html
- via anonymous ftp:
- site: rtfm.mit.edu
- path: /pub/usenet/news.answers/investment-faq/general/*
- via mail:
- address: mail-server@rtfm.mit.edu
- required msg body: send usenet/news.answers/investment-faq/general/*
-
- Please send comments and new submissions to the compiler.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- TABLE OF CONTENTS
-
- Advice - Beginning Investors
- Advice - One-Line Wisdom
- Analysis - Annual Reports
- Analysis - Beta
- Analysis - Book-to-Bill Ratio
- Analysis - Goodwill
- Analysis - P/E Ratio
- Analysis - Technical
- Bonds - General
- Bonds - Treasury Debt Instruments
- Bonds - Treasury Direct
- Bonds - US Savings from US Treasury
- Bonds - Value of U.S. Treasury Bills
- Bonds - Zero-Coupon
- Exchanges - Circuit Breakers on NYSE
- Exchanges - Instinet
- Exchanges - Market Makers and Specialists
- Exchanges - Phone Numbers
- Exchanges - Ticker Tape Terminology
- Information Sources - Books
- Information Sources - Dialup and Subscription Services
- Information Sources - Free to All Who Ask
- Information Sources - Internet
- Information Sources - Investment Associations (AAII and NAIC)
- Misc - Computing the Rate of Return on Monthly Investments
- Misc - Computing Compound Return
- Misc - Derivatives
- Misc - Future and Present Value of Money
- Misc - Hedging
- Misc - Investment Jargon
- Misc - Life Insurance
- Misc - Renting vs. Buying a Home
- Regulation - Money-Supply Measures M1, M2, and M3
- Regulation - Federal Reserve and Interest Rates
- Regulation - Securities and Exchange Commission (U.S.)
- Regulation - SIPC, or How to Survive a Bankrupt Broker
- Retirement Plan - 401(k)
- Retirement Plan - IRA
- Retirement Plan - SEP-IRA
- Stocks - Basics
- Stocks - American Depository Receipts (ADRs)
- Stocks - Dividends
- Stocks - Dramatic Price Changes
- Stocks - Types of Indexes
- Stocks - The Dow Jones Industrial Average
- Stocks - Other Indexes
- Stocks - Initial Public Offering (IPO)
- Stocks - Options
- Stocks - Option Symbols
- Stocks - Shorting
- Stocks - Splits
- Stocks - Warrants
- Software - Investment-Related Programs
- Software - Tracking Your Portfolio
- Tax Code - Uniform Gifts to Minors Act (UGMA)
- Tax Code - Wash Sale Rule
- Trading - Discount Brokers
- Trading - Dollar Cost and Value Averaging
- Trading - Direct Investing and DRIPS
- Trading - Electronically
- Trading - via the Internet
- Trading - NASD Public Disclosure Hotline
- Trading - Buying and Selling Without a Broker
- Trading - Pink Sheet Stocks
- Trading - Round Lots of Shares
- Trivia - Bull and Bear Lore
- Trivia - Dollar Bill Presidents
- Trivia - Getting Rich Quickly
- Trivia - One-Letter Ticker Symbols
- Warning - Advertisement in the misc.invest.* groups
- Warning - Charles Givens
- Warning - Dave Rhodes and Other Chain Letters
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Compiler's Acknowledgements:
- My sincere thanks to the many submitters for their efforts. Also thanks to
- Jonathan I. Kamens for his guidance on FAQs and his post_faq perl script.
-
- Compilation Copyright (c) 1994 by Christopher Lott, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
- --
- "Christopher Lott / Email: lott@informatik.uni-kl.de / Tel: +49 (631) 205-3334"
- " Address: FB Informatik - Bau 57 / Universitaet KL / D--67653 Kaiserslautern "
- " World-wide web: http://uomo.informatik.uni-kl.de:2080/Personalia/cml.html "
- Archive-name: investment-faq/general/part2
- Version: $Id: faq-p2,v 1.22 1995/01/26 07:55:14 lott Exp lott $
- Compiler: Christopher Lott, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- This is the general FAQ for misc.invest, part 2 of 6.
-
- Compilation copyright (c) 1994 by Christopher Lott. Use and copying
- of this information, distribution of the information on electronic
- media, and preparation of derivative works based upon this information
- are permitted, so long as the following conditions are met:
- + No fees or compensation are charged for this information,
- excluding charges for the media used to distribute it.
- + Proper attribution is given to the authors of individual articles.
- + This copyright notice is included intact.
-
- Disclaimer: This information is made available AS IS, and no
- warranty is made about its quality or correctness.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Advice - Beginning Investors
- Last-Revised: 16 Nov 1993
- From: pearson_steven@tandem.com, egreen@east.sun.com
-
- Investing is just one aspect of personal finance. People often seem to
- have the itch to try their hand at investing before they get the rest
- of their act together. This is a big mistake. For this reason, it's
- a good idea for "new investors" to hit the library and read maybe read
- three different overall guides to personal finance - three for different
- perspectives, and because common themes will emerge (repetition implies
- authority?). Anyway, what I'm talking about are books like:
-
- Madigan and Kasoff, The First-Time Investor, ISBN 0-13-942376-1
- Andrew Tobias,
- [Still] the Only [Other] Investment Guide You Will Ever Need.
- (3 versions with slightly different titles, all very similar.)
- Sylvia Porter, New Money Book for the 80s
- Money Magazine, Money Guide
-
- Another good source is the Mutual Fund Education Alliance (MFEA); write
- them at MFEA, 1900 Erie Street, Suite 120, Kansas City, MO 64116.
-
- What I am specifically NOT talking about is most anything that appears
- on a list of investing/stock market books that are posted in misc.invest
- from time to time. You know, Market Logic, One Up on Wall Street,
- Beating the Dow, Winning on Wall Street, The Intelligent Investor, etc.
- These are not general enough. They are investment books, not personal
- finance books.
-
- Many "beginning investors" have no business investing in stocks. The
- books recommended above give good overall money management, budgeting,
- purchasing, insurance, taxes, estate issues, and investing backgrounds
- from which to build a personal framework. Only after that should one
- explore particular investments. If someone needs to unload some cash
- in the meantime, they should put it in a money market fund, or yes,
- even a bank account, until they complete their basic training.
-
- While I sympathize with those who view this education as a daunting
- task, I don't see any better answer. People who know next to nothing
- and always depend on "professional advisors" to hand-hold them through
- all transactions are simply sheep asking to be fleeced (they may not
- actually be fleeced, but most of them will at least get their tails
- bobbed). In the long run, you are the only person ultimately responsible
- for your own financial situation.
-
- All beginners should read the article about Charles Givens in this FAQ.
- Advanced beginners should also check the recommended list of books
- about stocks and other investments that also appears in this FAQ.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Advice - One-Line Wisdom
- Last-Revised: 22 Aug 1993
- From: suhre@trwrb.dsd.trw.com
-
- This is a collection of one-line pieces of investment wisdom, with brief
- explanations. Use and apply at your own risk or discretion. They are
- not in any particular order.
-
- 1. Hang up on cold calls.
-
- While it is theoretically possible that someone is going to offer
- you the opportunity of a lifetime, it is more likely that it is some
- sort of scam. Even if it is legitimate, the caller cannot know your
- financial position, goals, risk tolerance, or any other parameters
- which should be considered when selecting investments. If you can't
- bear the thought of hanging up, ask for material to be sent by mail.
-
- 2. Don't invest in anything you don't understand.
-
- There were horror stories of people who had lost fortunes by being
- short puts during the 87 crash. I imagine that they had no idea of
- the risks they were taking. Also, all the complaints about penny
- stocks, whether fraudulent or not, are partially a result of not
- understanding the risks and mechanisms.
-
- 3. If it sounds too good to be true, it probably is [too good to be true].
- 3a. There's no such thing as a free lunch (TNSTAAFL).
-
- Remember, every investment opportunity competes with every other
- investment opportunity. If one seems wildly better than the others,
- there are probably hidden risks or you don't understand something.
-
- 4. If your only tool is a hammer, every problem looks like a nail.
-
- Someone (possibly a financial planner) with a very limited selection
- of products will naturally try to jam you into those which s/he sells.
- These may be less suitable than other products not carried.
-
- 5. Don't rush into an investment.
-
- If someone tells you that the opportunity is closing, filling up fast,
- or in any other way suggests a time pressure, be *very* leery.
-
- 6. Very low priced stocks require special treatment.
-
- Risks are substantial, bid/asked spreads are large, prices are
- volatile, and commissions are relatively high. You need a broker
- who knows how to purchase these stocks and dicker for a good price.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Analysis - Annual Reports
- Last-Revised: 28 Jun 1994
- From: jerry.bailey@stoicbbs.com
-
- The July 1994 Issue of "Better Investing" magazine, page 26 has a three-page
- article about reading and understanding company annual reports. I will
- paraphrase:
-
- 1. Start with the notes and read from back to front since the front is
- management fluff.
-
- 2. Look for litigation that could obliterate equity, a pension plan in
- sad shape, or accounting changes that inflated earnings
-
- 3. Use it to evaluate management. I only read the boring things of the
- companies I am holding for _long term_ growth. If I am planning
- a quick in & out, such as buying depressed stocks like BBA, CML, CLE,
- etc.), I don't waste my time.
-
- 4. Look for notes to offer relevant details; not "selected" and "certain"
- assets. Revenue & operating profits of operating divisions, geographical
- divisions, etc.
-
- 5. How the company keeps its books, especially as compared to other
- companies in its industry.
-
- 6. Inventory. Did it go down because of a different accounting method?
-
- 7. What assets does the company own and what assets are leased?
-
- If you do much of this, I really recommend just reading the article.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Analysis - Beta
- Last-Revised: 11 Dec 1992
- From: RKSHUKLA@SUVM.SYR.EDU,ajayshah@almaak.usc.edu,rbp@investor.pgh.pa.us
-
- Beta is the sensitivity of a stock's returns to the returns on some market
- index (e.g., S&P 500). Beta values can be roughly characterized as follows:
-
- b < 0 Negative beta is possible but not likely. People thought gold
- stocks should have negative betas but that hasn't been true
-
- b = 0 Cash under your mattress, assuming no inflation
-
- 0 < b < 1 Dull investments (e.g., utility stocks)
-
- b = 1 Matching the index (e.g., for the S&P 500, an index fund)
-
- b > 1 Anything more volatile than the index (e.g., small cap. funds)
-
- b -> infinity Impossible, because the stock would be expected to go to zero
- on any market decline. 2-3 is probably as high as you will get
-
- More interesting is the idea that securities MAY have different betas in
- up and down markets. Forbes used to (and may still) rate mutual funds
- for bull and bear market performance.
-
- Here is an example showing the inner details of the beta calculation process:
-
- Suppose we collected end-of-the-month prices and any dividends for a
- stock and the S&P 500 index for 61 months (0..60). We need n + 1 price
- observations to calculate n holding period returns, so since we would
- like to index the returns as 1..60, the prices are indexed 0..60.
- Also, professional beta services use monthly data over a five year period.
-
- Now, calculate monthly holding period returns using the prices and
- dividends. For example, the return for month 2 will be calculated as:
- r_2 = ( p_2 - p_1 + d_2 ) / p_1
-
- Here r denotes return, p denotes price, and d denotes dividend. The
- following table of monthly data may help in visualizing the process.
- Monthly data is preferred in the profession because investors' horizons
- are said to be monthly.
- ===========================================
- # Date Price Dividend(*) Return
- ===========================================
- 0 12/31/86 45.20 0.00 --
- 1 01/31/87 47.00 0.00 0.0398
- 2 02/28/87 46.75 0.30 0.0011
- . ... ... ... ...
- 59 11/30/91 46.75 0.30 0.0011
- 60 12/31/91 48.00 0.00 0.0267
- ===========================================
- (*) Dividend refers to the dividend paid during the period. They are
- assumed to be paid on the date. For example, the dividend of 0.30
- could have been paid between 02/01/87 and 02/28/87, but is assumed
- to be paid on 02/28/87.
-
- So now we'll have a series of 60 returns on the stock and the index
- (1...61). Plot the returns on a graph and fit the best-fit line
- (visually or using some least squares process):
-
- | * /
- stock | * * */ *
- returns| * * / *
- | * / *
- | * /* * *
- | / * *
- | / *
- |
- |
- +------------------------- index returns
-
- The slope of the line is Beta. Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo, and others
- use a very similar process (they differ in which index they use and in
- some econometric nuances).
-
- Now what does Beta mean? A lot of disservice has been done to Beta in
- the popular press because of trying to simplify the concept. A beta of
- 1.5 does *not* mean that is the market goes up by 10 points, the stock
- will go up by 15 points. It even *doesn't* mean that if the market has
- a return (over some period, say a month) of 2%, the stock will have a
- return of 3%. To understand Beta, look at the equation of the line we
- just fitted:
-
- stock return = alpha + beta * index return
-
- Technically speaking, alpha is the intercept in the estimation model.
- It is expected to be equal to risk-free rate times (1 - beta). But it
- is best ignored by most people. In another (very similar equation) the
- intercept, which is also called alpha, is a measure of superior performance.
-
- Therefore, by computing the derivative, we can write:
- Change in stock return = beta * change in index return
-
- So, truly and technically speaking, if the market return is 2% above its
- mean, the stock return would be 3% above its mean, if the stock beta is 1.5.
-
- One shot at interpreting beta is the following. On a day the (S&P-type)
- market index goes up by 1%, a stock with beta of 1.5 will go up by 1.5% +
- epsilon. Thus it won't go up by exactly 1.5%, but by something different.
-
- The good thing is that the epsilon values for different stocks are
- guaranteed to be uncorrelated with each other. Hence in a diversified
- portfolio, you can expect all the epsilons (of different stocks) to
- cancel out. Thus if you hold a diversified portfolio, the beta of a
- stock characterizes that stock's response to fluctuations in the market
- portfolio.
-
- So in a diversified portfolio, the beta of stock X is a good summary of
- its risk properties with respect to the "systematic risk", which is
- fluctuations in the market index. A stock with high beta responds
- strongly to variations in the market, and a stock with low beta is
- relatively insensitive to variations in the market.
-
- E.g. if you had a portfolio of beta 1.2, and decided to add a stock
- with beta 1.5, then you know that you are slightly increasing the
- riskiness (and average return) of your portfolio. This conclusion is
- reached by merely comparing two numbers (1.2 and 1.5). That parsimony
- of computation is the major contribution of the notion of "beta".
- Conversely if you got cold feet about the variability of your beta = 1.2
- portfolio, you could augment it with a few companies with beta less than 1.
-
- If you had wished to figure such conclusions without the notion of
- beta, you would have had to deal with large covariance matrices and
- nontrivial computations.
-
- Finally, a reference. See Malkiel, _A Random Walk Down Wall Street_, for
- more information on beta as an estimate of risk.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Analysis - Book-to-Bill Ratio
- Last-Revised: 19 Aug 1993
- From: tcmay@netcom.com
-
- The book-to-bill ration is the ratio of business "booked" (orders
- taken) to business "billed" (products shipped and bills sent).
-
- A book-to-bill of 1.0 implies incoming business = ougoing product.
- Often in downturns, the b-t-b drops to 0.9, sometimes even lower.
- A b-t-b of 1.1 or higher is very encouraging.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Analysis - Goodwill
- Last-Revised: 18 Jul 1993
- From: keefej@panix.com
-
- Goodwill is an asset that is created when one company acquires another.
- It represents the difference between the price the acquiror pays and
- the "fair market value" of the acquired company's assets. For example,
- if JerryCo bought Ford Motor for $15 billion, and the accountants
- determined that Ford's assets (plant and equipment) were worth $13
- billion, $2 billion of the purchase price would be allocated to goodwill
- on the balance sheet. In theory the goodwill is the value of the
- acquired company over and above the hard assets, and it is usually
- thought to represent the value of the acquired company's "franchise,"
- that is, the loyalty of its customers, the expertise of its employees;
- namely, the intangible factors that make people do business with the
- company.
-
- What is the effect on book value? Well, book value usually tries to
- measure the liquidation value of a company -- what you could sell it
- for in a hurry. The accountants look only at the fair market value of
- the hard assets, thus goodwill is usually deducted from total assets
- when book value is calculated.
-
- For most companies in most industries, book value is next to meaningless,
- because assets like plant and equipment are on the books at their old
- historical costs, rather than current values. But since it's an easy
- number to calculate, and easy to understand, lots of investors (both
- professional and amateur) use it in deciding when to buy and sell stocks.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Analysis - P/E Ratio
- Last-Revised: 22 Jan 1993
- From: egreen@east.sun.com, schindler@csa2.lbl.gov
-
- P/E is shorthand for Price/Earnings Ratio. The price/earnings ratio is
- a tool for determining the value the market has placed on a common stock.
- A lot can be said about this little number, but in short, companies
- expected to grow and have higher earnings in the future should have a
- higher P/E than companies in decline. For example, if Amgen has a lot
- of products in the pipeline, I wouldn't mind paying a large multiple of
- its current earnings to buy the stock. It will have a large P/E. I am
- expecting it to grow quickly.
-
- P/E is determined by dividing the current market price of one share
- of a company's stock by that company's per-share earnings (after-tax
- profit divided by number of outstanding shares). For example, a company
- that earned $5M last year, with a million shares outstanding, had
- earnings per share of $5. If that company's stock currently sells for
- $50/share, it has a P/E of 10. Investors are willing to pay $10 for
- every $1 of last year's earnings.
-
- P/Es are traditionally computed with trailing earnings (earnings from
- the year past, called a trailing P/E) but are sometimes computed with
- leading earnings (earnings projected for the year to come, called a
- leading P/E). Like other indicators, it is best viewed over time,
- looking for a trend. A company with a steadily increasing P/E is being
- viewed by the investment community as becoming more and more speculative.
-
- PE is a much better comparison of the value of a stock than the price.
- A $10 stock with a PE of 40 is much more "expensive" than a $100 stock
- with a PE of 6. You are paying more for the $10 stock's future earnings
- stream. The $10 stock is probably a small company with an exciting product
- with few competitors. The $100 stock is probably pretty staid - maybe a
- buggy whip manufacturer.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Analysis - Technical
- Last-Revised: 12 Feb 1994
- From: suhre@trwrb.dsd.trw.com
-
- The following material introduces technical analysis and is intended to
- be educational. If you are intrigued, do your own reading. The answers
- are brief and cannot possibly do justice to the topics. The references
- provide a substantial amount of information. The contributions of the
- reviewers is appreciated.
-
- First, the references:
-
- 1. Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets, by John J. Murphy.
- New York Institute of Finance.
-
- 2. Technical Analysis Explained, by Martin Pring.
- McGraw Hill.
-
- 3. Stan Weinstein's Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets, by
- Stan Weinstein. Dow Jones-Irwin.
-
- Next, the discussion:
-
- 1. What is technical analysis?
-
- Technical analysis attempts to use *past* stock price and volume
- information to predict *future* price movements. Note the emphasis.
- It also attempts to time the markets.
-
- 2. Does it have any chance of working, or is it just like reading tea leaves?
-
- There are a couple of plausibility arguments. One is that the chart
- patterns represent the past behavior of the pool of investors. Since
- that pool doesn't change rapidly, one might expect to see similar chart
- patterns in the future. Another argument is that the chart patterns
- display the action inherent in an auction market. Since not everyone
- reacts to information instantly, the chart can provide some predictive
- value. A third argument is that the chart patterns appear over and over
- again. Even if I don't know why they happen, I shouldn't trade or invest
- against them. A fourth argument is that investors swing from overly
- optimistic to excessively pessimistic and back again. Technical analysis
- can provide some estimates of this situation.
-
- A contrary view is that it is just coincidence and there is little, if
- any, causality present. Or that even if there is some sort of causality
- process going on, it isn't strong enough to trade off of.
-
- A very contrary view: The past and future performance of a stock may
- be correlated, but that does not mean or imply causality. So, relying
- on technical analysis to buy/sell a stock is like relying on the position
- of the stars in the atmosphere or the phases of the moon to decide whether
- to buy or sell.
-
- 3. I am a fundamentalist. Should I know anything about technical analysis?
-
- Perhaps. You should consider delaying purchase of stocks whose chart
- patterns look bad, no matter how good the fundamentals. The market is
- telling you something is still awry. Another argument is that the
- technicians won't be buying and they will not be helping the stock move
- up. On the other hand (as the economists say), it makes it easy for
- you to buy in front of them. And, of course, you can ignore technical
- analysis viewpoints and rely solely on fundamentals.
-
- 4. What are moving averages?
-
- Observe that a period can be a day, a week, a month, or as little as 1
- minute. Stock and mutual fund charts normally are daily postings or
- weekly postings. An N period (simple) moving average is computed by
- summing the last N data points and dividing by N. Moving averages are
- normally simple unless otherwise specified.
-
- An exponential moving average is computed slightly differently. Let
- X[i] be a series of data points. Then the Exponential Moving Average
- (EMA) is computed by
-
- EMA[i] = (1 - sm) * EMA[i-1] + sm * X[i]
-
- where sm = 2/(N+1), and EMA[1] = X[1].
-
- "sm" is the smoothing constant for an N period EMA. Note that the EMA
- provides more weighting to the recent data, less weighting to the old data.
-
- 4a. What is Stage Analysis?
-
- Stan Weinstein [Ref 3] developed a theory (based on his observations)
- that stocks usually go through four stages in order. Stage 1 is a time
- period where the stock fluctuates in a relatively narrow range. Little
- or nothing seems to be happening and the stock price will wander back
- and forth across the 200 day moving average. This period is generally
- called "base building". Stage 2 is an advancing stage characterized by
- the stock rising above the 200 and 50 day moving averages. The stock
- may drop below the 50 day average and still be considered in Stage 2.
- Fundamentally, Stage 2 is triggered by a perception of improved conditions
- with the company. Stage 3 is a "peaking out" of the stock price action.
- Typically the price will begin to cross the 200 day moving average, and
- the average may begin to round over on the chart. This is the time to
- take profits. Finally, the Stage 4 decline begins. The stock price drops
- below the 50 and 200 day moving averages, and continues down until a new
- Stage 1 begins. Take the pledge right now: hold up your right hand and
- say "I will never purchase a stock in Stage 4". One could have avoided
- the late 92-93 debacle in IBM by standing aside as it worked its way
- through a Stage 4 decline.
-
- 5. What is a whipsaw?
-
- This is where you purchase based on a moving average crossing (or some
- other signal) and then the price moves in the other direction giving a
- sell signal shortly thereafter, frequently with a loss. Whipsaws can
- substantially increase your commissions for stocks and excessive mutual
- fund switching may be prohibited by the fund manager.
-
- 5a. Why a 200 day moving average as opposed to 190 or 210?
-
- Moving averages are chosen as a compromise between being too late to
- catch much move after a change in trend, and getting whipsawed. The
- shorter the moving average, the more fluctuations it has. There are
- considerations regarding cyclic stock patterns and which of those are
- filtered out by the moving average filter. A discussion of filters is
- far beyond the scope of this FAQ. See Hurst's book on stock
- transactions for some discussion.
-
- 6. Explain support and resistance levels, and how to use them.
-
- Suppose a stock drops to a price, say 35, and rebounds. And that this
- happens a few more times. Then 35 is considered a "support" level.
- The concept is that there are buyers waiting to buy at that price.
- Imagine someone who had planned to purchase and his broker talked him
- out of it. After seeing the price rise, he swears he's not going to
- let the stock get away from him again. Similarly, an advance to a
- price, say 45, which is repeatedly followed by a pullback to lower
- prices because a "resistance" level. The notion is that there are
- buyers who purchased at 45 and have watched a deterioration into a loss
- position. They are now waiting to get out even. Or there are sellers
- who consider 45 overvalued and want to take their profits.
-
- One strategy is to attempt to purchase near support and take profits near
- resistance. Another is to wait for an "upside breakout" where the stock
- penetrates a previous resistance level. Purchase on anticipation of a
- further move up. [See references for more details.]
-
- The support level (and subsequent support levels after rises) can provide
- information for use in setting stops. See the "About Stocks" section of
- the FAQ for more details.
-
- 6a. What would cause these levels to be penetrated?
-
- Abrupt changes in a company's prospects will be reacted to in the stock
- market almost immediately. If the news is extreme enough, the reaction
- will appear as a jump or gap in prices. More modest changes will
- result, in general, in more modest changes in price.
-
- 6b. What is an "upside breakout"?
-
- If a stock has traded in a narrow range for some time (i.e. built a
- base) and then advances above the resistance level, this is said to be an
- "upside breakout". Breakouts are suspect if they do not occur on high
- volume (compared to average daily volume). Some traders use a "buy stop"
- which calls for purchase when a stock rises above a certain price.
-
- 6c. Is there a "downside breakout"?
-
- Not by that name -- the opposite of upside breakout is called
- "penetration of support" or "breakdown". Corresponding to "buy stops,"
- a trader can set a "sell stop" to exit a position on breakdown.
-
- 7. Explain breadth measurements and how to use them.
-
- A breadth measurement is something taken across a market. For example,
- looking at the number of advancing stocks compared to declining stocks
- on the NYSE is a breadth measurement. Or looking at the number of stocks
- above their 200 day moving average. Or looking at the percentage of stocks
- in Stage 1 and 2 configurations. In general, a technically healthy market
- should see a lot of stocks advancing, not just the Dow 30. If the breadth
- measurements are poor in an advancing sense and the market has been
- advancing for some time, then this can indicate a market turning point
- (assuming that the advancing breadth is declining) and you should consider
- taking profits, not entering new long positions, and/or tightening stops.
- (See the divergence discussion.)
-
- 7a. What is a divergence? What is the significance?
-
- In general, a divergence is said to occur when two readings are not
- moving generally together when they would be expected to. For example,
- if the DJIA moves up a lot but the S&P 500 moves very little or even
- declines, a divergence is created. Divergences can signify turning
- points in the market. At a major market low, the "blue chip" stocks
- tend to move up first as investors becoming willing to purchase quality.
- Hence the S&P 500 may be advancing while the NYSE composite is moving
- very little. Divergences, like everything else, are not 100 per cent
- reliable. But they do provide yellow or red alerts. And the bigger the
- divergence, the stronger the signal. Divergence and breadth are related
- concepts. (See the breadth discussion.)
-
- 8. How much are charting services and what ones are available?
-
- They aren't cheap. Daily Graphs (weekly charts with daily prices) is
- $465 for the NYSE edition, $432 for the AMEX/OTC edition. Somewhat
- cheaper for biweekly or monthly. Mansfield charts are weekly with weekly
- prices. Mansfield shows about 2.5 years of action, Daily Graphs shows 1
- year or 6 months for the less active stocks.
-
- S&P Trendline Chart Guide is about $145 per year. It provides over 4,000
- charts. These charts show one year of weekly price/volume data and do not
- provide nearly the detail that Daily Graphs do. You get what you pay for.
-
- There are other charting services available. These are merely representative.
-
- 9. Can I get charts with a PC program?
-
- Yes. There are many programs available for various prices. Daily quotes
- run about $35 or so a month from Dial Data, for example. Or you can
- manually enter the data from the newspaper.
-
- 10. What would a PC program do that a charting service doesn't?
-
- Programs provide a wide range of technical analysis computations in
- addition to moving averages. RSI, MACD, Stochastics, etc., are routinely
- included. See Murphy's book [Ref 1] for definitions. Frequently you can
- change the length of the moving averages or other parameters. As another
- example, AIQ StockExpert provides an "expert rating" suggesting purchase
- or short depending on the rating. Intermediate values of the rating are
- less conclusive.
-
- 11. What does a charting service do that PC doesn't?
-
- Charts generally contain a fair amount of fundamental information such
- as sales, dividends, prior growth rates, institutional ownership.
-
- 11a. Can I draw my own charts?
-
- Of course. For example, if you only want to follow a handful of mutual
- funds of stocks, charting on a weekly basis is easy enough. EMAs are
- also easy enough to compute, but will take a while to overcome the lack
- of a suitable starting value.
-
- 12. What about wedges, exhaustion gaps, breakaway gaps, coils, saucer
- bottoms, and all those other weird formations?
-
- The answer is beyond the scope of this FAQ article. Such patterns can be
- seen, particularly if you have a good imagination. Many believe they are
- not reliable. There is some discussion in Murphy [Ref 1].
-
- 13. Are there any aspects of technical analysis that don't seem quite
- so much like hokum or tea leaf reading?
-
- RSI (Relative Strength Indicator) is based on the observation that a
- stock which is advancing will tend to close nearer to the high of the day
- than the low. The reverse is true for declining stocks. RSI is a formula
- which attempts to provide a number which will indicate where you are in
- the declining/advancing stage.
-
- 14. Can I develop my own technical indicators?
-
- Yes. The problem is validating them via some sort of backtesting procedure.
- This requires data and work. One suggestion is to split the data into
- two time periods. Develop your indicator on one half and then see if it
- still works on the other half. If you aren't careful, you end up
- "curve fitting" your system to the data.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Bonds - General
- Last-Revised: 7 Jan 1993
- From: ask@cbnews.cb.att.com
-
- Bonds are debt instruments. Let's say a corporation needs to build
- a new office building, or needs to purchase manufacturing equipment,
- or needs to purchase aircraft, they will have to raise money.
-
- One way is to arrange for banks or others to lend them money. But a
- generally less expensive way is to issue (sell) bonds. The corporation
- will agree to pay dividends on these bonds and at some time in the
- future to redeem these bonds.
-
- In the U.S., corporate bonds are often issued in units of $1,000.
- When municipalities issue bonds, they are usually in units of $5,000.
- Dividends are usually paid every 6 months.
-
- Bondholders are not owners of the corporation. But if the corporation
- gets in financial trouble and needs to dissolve, bondholders must be
- paid off in full before stockholders get anything.
-
- If the corporation defaults on any bond payment, any bondholder can
- go into bankruptcy court and request the corporation be placed in
- bankruptcy.
-
- The price of a bond is a function of prevailing interest rates (as
- rates go up, the price of the bond goes down, and vice versa) as
- well as the risk perceived for the debt of the particular
- corporation. For example, if the company is in bankruptcy, the
- price of the bond will be low.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Bonds - Treasury Debt Instruments
- Last-Revised: 28 Oct 1994
- From: ask@cblph.att.com, blaine@fnma.com, barrett@asgard.cs.colorado.edu
-
- The US Treasury Department periodically borrows money and issues
- IOUs in the form of bills, notes, or bonds ("Treasuries"). The
- differences are in their maturities and denominations:
-
- Bill Note Bond
- Maturity up to 1 year 1 - 10 years 10 - 30/40 years
- Denomination $5,000 $1,000 $1,000
- (10,000 minimum)
-
- Treasuries are auctioned. Short term T-bills are auctioned every
- Monday, and longer term bills, notes, and bonds are auctioned at other
- intervals. To find out the results of the latest auction, dial the
- Kansas City Federal Reserve information line at (800) 333-2919 using a
- touch-tone phone. Press "1", then "4", then "1". (You don't have to
- wait for the recordings to complete before entering each digit.) This
- recording will tell you the purchase price, auction date, issue date,
- series number, coupon rate and effective annualized yield for each of
- the most recent treasury auctions.
-
- T-Notes and Bonds pay a stated interest rate semi-annually, and are
- redeemed at face value at maturity. Exception: Some 30 year and
- longer bonds may be called (redeemed) at 25 years.
-
- T-bills work a bit differently. They are sold on a "discounted
- basis." This means you pay, say, $9,700 for a 1-year T-bill. At
- maturity the Treasury will pay you (via electronic transfer to your
- designated bank checking account) $10,000. The $300 discount is the
- "interest." In this example, you receive a return of $300 on a $9,700
- investment, which is a simple rate of slightly more than 3%.
-
- Treasuries can be bought through a bank or broker, but you will
- usually have to pay a fee or commission to do this. They can also
- be bought with no fee using the Treasury Direct program, which is
- described elsewhere in the FAQ.
-
- In practice, the first T-bill purchase requires you to send a
- certified or cashiers check for the full face value, and within a
- week or so, after the auction sets the interest rate, the Treasury
- will return the discount ($300 in the example above) to your checking
- account. For some reason, you can purchase notes and bonds with a
- personal check.
-
- Treasuries are negotiable. If you own Treasuries you can sell them
- at any time and there is a ready market. The sale price depends on
- market interest rates. Since they are fully negotiable, you may also
- pledge them as collateral for loans.
-
- Treasury bills, notes, and bonds are the standard for safety. By
- definition, everything is relative to Treasuries; there is no safer
- investment in the U.S. They are backed by the "Full Faith and Credit"
- of the United States.
-
- Interest on Treasuries is taxable by the Federal Government in the
- year paid. States and local municipalities do not tax Treasury
- interest income. T-bill interest is recognized at maturity, so they
- offer a way to move income from one year to the next.
-
- The US Treasury also issues Zero Coupon Bonds. The ``Separate Trading
- of Registered Interest and Principal of Securities'' (a.k.a. STRIPS)
- program was introduced in February 1986. All new T-Bonds and T-notes
- with maturities greater than 10 years are eligible. As of 1987, the
- securities clear through the Federal Reserve's books entry system.
- As of December 1988, 65% of the ZERO-COUPON Treasury market consisted
- of those created under the STRIPS program.
-
- However, the US Treasury did not always issue Zero Coupon Bonds.
- Between 1982 and 1986, a number of enterprising companies and funds
- purchased Treasuries, stripped off the ``coupon'' (an anachronism from
- the days when new bonds had coupons attached to them) and sold the
- coupons for income and the non-coupon portion (TIGeRs or Strips) as
- zeroes. Merrill Lynch was the first when it introduced TIGR's and
- Solomon introduced the CATS. Once the US Treasury started its program,
- the origination of trademarks and generics ended. There are still TIGRs
- out there, but no new ones are being issued.
-
- Other US Debt obligations that may be worth considering are US Savings
- Bonds (Series E/EE and H/HH) and bonds from various US Government
- agencies, including the ones that are known by cutesy names like
- Freddie Mac, as well as the Mae sisters, Fannie, Ginnie and Sallie.
-
- Historically, Treasuries have paid higher interest rates than EE
- Savings Bonds. Savings Bonds held 5 years pay 85% of 5 year Treasuries.
- However, in the past few years, the floor on savings bonds (4% under
- current law) is higher than short-term Treasuries. So for the short
- term, EE Savings Bonds actually pay higher than treasuries, but are
- non-negotiable and purchases are limited to $15,000 ($30,000 face)
- per year.
-
- US Government Agency Bonds, in general, pay slightly more interest
- but are somewhat less predictible than Treasuries. For example,
- mortgage-backed-bond returns will vary if mortgages are redeemed
- early. Some agency bonds, technically, are not general obligations
- of the United States, so may not be purchased by certain institutions
- and local governments. The "common sense" of many people, however,
- is that the Congress will never allow any of those bonds to default.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Bonds - Treasury Direct
- Last-Revised: 8 Jan 1995
- From: jberlin@falcon.aamrl.wpafb.af.mil, ask@cblph.att.com,
- bob.johnson@friendz.cts.com
-
- You can buy Treasury Instruments directly from the US Treasury.
- Contact any Federal Reserve Bank (for example, New York: 33 Liberty
- Street, New York NY 10045) and ask for forms to participate in the
- Treasury Direct program. The minimum for a Treasury Note (2 years and
- up) is only $5K and in some instances (I believe 5 year notes) $1K.
- There are no fees and you may elect to have interest payments made
- directly to your account. You even may pay with a personal check, no
- need for a cashier's or certified check as Treasury Bills (1 year and
- under) required. In the Treasury Direct program, you can ask that you
- roll over the matured Treasury towards the purchase of a new one.
-
- AAII Journal had an article on this a couple of years ago. Like they
- said, the government service is great, they just do not advertise it well.
- You can get more information from the following phone numbers:
-
- Federal Reserve Banks Recorded Info Voice Line
- ----------------------------------------------------
- Atlanta 404-521-8657 404-521-8653
- Baltimore 301-576-3500 301-576-3300
- Birmingham 205-731-9702 205-731-8708
- Boston 617-973-3805 617-973-3810
- Buffalo 716-849-5158 716-849-5000
- Charlotte 704-358-2424 704-358-2100
- Chicago 312-786-1110 312-322-5369
- Cincinnati 513-721-4787
- Cleveland 216-579-2490
- Dallas 214-651-6362
- Denver 303-572-2475 303-572-2470
- Detroit 313-963-4936 313-964-6157
- El Paso 915-544-4730
- Houston 713-659-4433
- Jacksonville 904-632-1178 904-632-1179
- Kansas City 816-881-2767 816-881-2409
- Little Rock 501-324-8272
- Los Angeles 213-624-7398
- Louisville 502-568-9240 502-568-9236
- Memphis 901-523-7171
- Miami 305-471-6257 305-471-6497
- Minneapolis 612-340-2051 612-340-2075
- Nashville 615-251-7236 615-251-7100
- New Orleans 504-593-3290 504-593-3200
- New York 212-720-5823 212-720-6619
- Oklahoma City 405-270-8660 405-270-8652
- Omaha 402-221-5638 402-221-5636
- Philadelphia 215-574-6580 215-574-6680
- Pittsburgh 412-261-7988 412-261-7863
- Portland 503-221-5931 503-221-5932
- Richmond 804-697-8355 804-697-8372
- Salt Lake City 801-322-7844 801-322-7900
- San Antonio 210-978-1330 210-978-1303
- San Francisco 415-974-3491 415-974-2330
- Seattle 206-343-3615 206-343-3605
- Saint Louis 314-444-8602 314-444-8665
-
- US Treasury 202-874-4000
- Device for Hearing Impaired: 202-874-4026
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Bonds - US Savings from US Treasury
- Last-Revised: 6 Jan 1995
- From: ask@cblph.att.com, hamachi@adobe.com, rlcarr@animato.network23.com,
- mpersina@postciss.daytonoh.ncr.com, David.Capshaw@sematech.org
-
- Series EE Savings bonds are obligations of the US government and
- are exempt from State and local income taxes. Both current and
- historical interest rates are discussed below. You can buy up to
- $15,000 per year in US Savings Bonds. Many employers have an
- employee bond purchase/payroll deduction plan, and most commercial
- banks act as agents for the Treasury and will let you fill out the
- purchase forms and forward them to the Treasury. You will receive
- the bonds in the mail a few weeks later. Savings Bonds are not
- negotiable instruments, and cannot be transferred to anyone at will.
- They can be transferred in limited circumstances, and there could be
- tax consequences at the time of transfer.
-
- Series EE bonds cost half their face value. So you would purchase
- a $100 bond for $50. The interest rate is set by the Treasury.
- Currently the interest rate is set every 1 November and 1 May for a
- period of 6 months, and is credited each month until the 30th month,
- and credited every 6 months thereafter. The periodic rates are set
- at 85% of 5-year US Treasuries. Bonds can be cashed anytime after
- 6 months, and must be cashed before they expire, which for current
- bonds is 30 years after issue date. Since rates change every 6 months,
- it is not too meaningful to ask when a bond will be worth its face
- value.
-
- The Treasury Dept guarantees a minimum interest rate for bonds held at
- least 5 years, regardless of the current yield of 5-year Treasuries.
- Effective 1 November 1994 the rate is 5.92%. Historical rates, according
- to document <gopher://una.hh.lib.umich.edu/00/ebb/monetary/sbrate.tre>
- were as follows:
- Bonds issued between November 1, 1982 and October 31, 1986 have a
- minimum rate of 7.5% through their 10 year original maturity. Bonds
- issued from November 1, 1986 through February 1993 have a minimum rate
- of 6% through their 12 year original maturity. Bonds issued since
- March 1993 have a minimum rate of 4%.
-
- Effective March 1, 1993, the guaranteed interest rates were lowered
- to 4% for EE bonds bought on March 1, 1993 or later and held at least
- 5 years. The 4% rate is currently guaranteed as the minimum rate for
- 18 years. EE bonds will earn a flat 4% through the first 5 years rather
- than a graduated rate, and the interest will accrue monthly through the
- life of the bond after the initial six months, rather than semiannually
- after 30 months. So, all EE bonds issued since 3/93 will yield 4%, even
- if cashed in before 5 years have passed.
-
- A bond's issue date is the first day of the month of purchase, and
- when you cash it in the interest is calculated to the first day of
- the month you cash it in (up to 30 months, and to the previous 6
- month interval after). So it is advantageous to purchase bonds near
- the end of a month, and to cash it near the beginning of a month
- that it credits interest (each month between month 6 through 30,
- and every 6 months thereafter.)
-
- Series E bonds were issued before 1980, and are very similar to EE
- bonds except they were purchased at 75% of face value. Everything
- else stated here about EE bonds applies also to E bonds.
-
- Interest on an EE/E bond can be deferred until the bond is cashed
- in, or if you prefer, can be declared on your federal tax return as
- earned each year. When you cash the bond you will be issued a Form
- 1099-INT and would normally declare as interest all funds received
- over what you paid for the bond (and have not yet declared). However,
- you can choose to defer declaring the interest on the EE bonds and
- instead use the proceeds from cashing in an EE bond to purchase an
- HH Savings bond (prior to 1980, H Bonds). You can purchase HH Bonds
- in multiples of $500 from the proceeds of EE bonds. HH Bonds pay
- interest every 6 months and you will receive a check from the Treasury.
- When the HH bond matures, you will receive the principal, and a form
- 1099-INT for that deferred EE interest.
-
- Using Savings Bonds for College Tuition: EE bonds purchased in your
- name after December 31, 1989 can be used to pay for college tuition
- for your children or for you, and the interest may not be taxable.
- They have to have been issued while you were at least 24 years old.
- There are income limits: To use the full interest benefit your
- adjusted gross income must be less than (for 1992 income) $44,150
- single, and 66,200 married, and phases out entirely at $59,150 single
- and $96,200 married. Use Form 8815 to exclude interest for college
- tuition. (This exclusion is not available for taxpayers who file as
- Married Filing Separately.)
-
- You can call the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City to request redemp-
- tion tables for US Savings Bonds. The number is (800) 333-2919, but is
- unfortunately not reachable from the entire US (direct dial not given).
- Hours are 6AM to 3PM PST Monday through Friday. Or request the tables
- from The Bureau of Public Debt, Bonds Div., Parkersburg, WV 26106-1328.
- Information is available online from the Univ. of Michigan's Gopher server,
- use this URL: <gopher://una.hh.lib.umich.edu/11/ebb/monetary>
-
- For those who want to automate the process, the US Treasury publishes a
- program called CRV (Current Redemption Values) that can generate reports
- on the redemption value of US EE (Savings) Bonds. It is a DOS program,
- size 270Kb, and is available by accessing this URL:
- <ftp://host una.hh.lib.umich.edu/ebb/bin/crvinfo.exe>
- This program is updated when the rates for savings bonds are changed.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Bonds - Value of U.S. Treasury Bills
- Last-Revised: 24 Oct 1994
- From: barrett@asgard.cs.colorado.edu
-
- 1. How do I find out the current value of my U.S. Treasury Bill?
-
- Look in the Wall Street Journal in the issue dated the next business
- day after the valuation date you want. Look in the "Money and
- Investing" section for the headline "Treasury Bonds, Notes, & Bills",
- then look for the column titled "TREASURY BILLS". Scan down the
- column for the maturity date of your bill. Then examine the "Bid" and
- "Days to Mat." values. The necessary formula:
-
- Current value = (1 - ("Bid" / 100 * "Days to Mat." / 360)) * Mature Value
-
- For example, a 13-week treasury bill purchased at the auction on
- Monday June 21 appears in the June 22, 1994 WSJ in boldface as
- maturing on September 22, 1994 with an "Asked" of 4.18 and 91 "Days to
- Mat.". Its selling price on Wedesday August 31, 1994 appeared in the
- September 1, 1994 Wall Street Journal as 20 "Days to Mat." with 4.53
- "Bid". A $10,000 bill would sell for: (1 - 4.53/100 * 20/360) *
- $10,000 = $ 9,974.83 minus any brokerage fee.
-
-
- 2. How is the "coupon yield" computed for a U.S. Treasury Bill?
-
- The coupon yield is listed as "Ask Yld." in the Wall Street Journal
- under "Treasury Bonds, Notes and Bills". The value is computed using
- the formula:
-
- couponYield = 365 / (360/discount - daysToMaturity/100)
-
- Discount is listed under the "Asked" column, and ""couponYield" is shown
- under the "Ask Yld." column. For example, the October 21, 1994 WSJ lists
- Jan 19, '95 bills as having 87 "Days to Mat.", and an "Asked" discount as
- 4.98. This gives: 365 / (360/4.98 - 87/100) = 5.11% which is shown under
- the "Ask Yld." column for the same issue. DaysToMaturity for 13-week,
- 26-week and 52-week bills will be 91, 182 and 384 respectively on the day
- the bill is issued.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Bonds - Zero-Coupon
- Last-Revised: 28 Feb 1994
- From: ask@cblph.att.com
-
- Not too many years ago every bond had coupons attached to it. Every
- so often, usually every 6 months, bond owners would take a scissors
- to the bond, clip out the coupon, and present the coupon to the bond
- issuer or to a bank for payment. Those were "bearer bonds" meaning
- the bearer (the person who had physical possession of the bond) owned
- it. Today, many bonds are issued as "registered" which means even if
- you don't get to touch the actual bond at all, it will be registered
- in your name and interest will be mailed to you every 6 months. It is
- not too common to see such coupons. Registered bonds will not generally
- have coupons, but may still pay interest each year. It's sort of like
- the issuer is clipping the coupons for you and mailing you a check.
- But if they pay interest periodically, they are still called Coupon
- Bonds, just as if the coupons were attached.
-
- When the bond matures, the issuer redeems the bond and pays you the
- face amount. You may have paid $1000 for the bond 20 years ago and
- you have received interest every 6 months for the last 20 years, and
- you now redeem the matured bond for $1000.
-
- A Zero-coupon bond has no coupons and there is no interest paid.
-
- But at maturity, the issuer promises to redeem the bond at face value.
- Obviously, the original cost of a $1000 bond is much less than $1000.
- The actual price depends on: a) the holding period -- the number of
- years to maturity, b) the prevailing interest rates, and c) the risk
- involved (with the bond issuer).
-
- Taxes: Even though the bond holder does not receive any interest while
- holding zeroes, in the US the IRS requires that you "impute" an annual
- interest income and report this income each year. Usually, the issuer
- will send you a Form 1099-OID (Original Issue Discount) which lists the
- imputed interest and which should be reported like any other interest
- you receive. There is also an IRS publication covering imputed interest
- on Original Issue Discount instruments.
-
- For capital gains purposes, the imputed interest you earned between the
- time you acquired and the time you sold or redeemed the bond is added to
- your cost basis. If you held the bond continually from the time it was
- issued until it matured, you will generally not have any gain or loss.
-
- Zeroes tend to be more susceptible to prevailing interest rates, and
- some people buy zeroes hoping to get capital gains when interest rates
- drop. There is high leverage. If rates go up, they can always hold them.
-
- Zeroes sometimes pay a better rate than coupon bonds (whether registered
- or not). When a zero is bought for a tax deferred account, such as an
- IRA, the imputed interest does not have to be reported as income, so
- the paperwork is lessened.
-
- Both corporate and municipalities issue zeroes, and imputed interest on
- municipals is tax-free in the same way coupon interest on municipals is.
- (The zero could be subject to AMT).
-
- Some marketeers have created their own zeroes, starting with coupon
- bonds, by clipping all the coupons and selling the bond less the coupons
- as one product -- very much like a zero -- and the coupons as another
- product. Even US Treasuries can be split into two products to form a
- zero US Treasury.
-
- There are other products which are combinations of zeroes and regular
- bonds. For example, a bond may be a zero for the first five years of
- its life, and pay a stated interest rate thereafter. It will be treated
- as an OID instrument while it pays no interest.
-
- (Note: The "no interest" must be part of the original offering; if a
- cumulative instrument intends to pay interest but defaults, that does not
- make this a zero and does not cause imputed interest to be calculated.)
-
- Like other bonds, some zeroes might be callable by the issuer (they are
- redeemed) prior to maturity, at a stated price.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Compilation Copyright (c) 1994 by Christopher Lott, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
- --
- "Christopher Lott / Email: lott@informatik.uni-kl.de / Tel: +49 (631) 205-3334"
- " Address: FB Informatik - Bau 57 / Universitaet KL / D--67653 Kaiserslautern "
- " World-wide web: http://uomo.informatik.uni-kl.de:2080/Personalia/cml.html "
- Archive-name: investment-faq/general/part3
- Version: $Id: faq-p3,v 1.22 1995/01/26 07:55:14 lott Exp lott $
- Compiler: Christopher Lott, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- This is the general FAQ for misc.invest, part 3 of 6.
-
- Compilation copyright (c) 1994 by Christopher Lott. Use and copying
- of this information, distribution of the information on electronic
- media, and preparation of derivative works based upon this information
- are permitted, so long as the following conditions are met:
- + No fees or compensation are charged for this information,
- excluding charges for the media used to distribute it.
- + Proper attribution is given to the authors of individual articles.
- + This copyright notice is included intact.
-
- Disclaimer: This information is made available AS IS, and no
- warranty is made about its quality or correctness.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Exchanges - Circuit Breakers on NYSE
- Last-Revised: 1 Apr 1994
- From: chedley@carthago.intel.com, okuyama@netcom.com,
- mike@enterprise.East.Sun.COM
-
- Because program trading has been blamed for the fast crash of 1987,
- circuit breakers were put in place in 1989 to cut off the big boy's
- computer connections whenever the market moves up or down by more
- than a large number of points in a trading day. The idea is that
- this will limit the daily damage. These are the provisions:
-
- Trigger Action
- ------- ------
- DJIA +/- 50 Program trading curbs in effect; a key computer
- is turned off, so program trading must be done
- "by hand". Curbs are removed when the DJIA
- retraces it's gain/loss to the +/- 25 level.
-
- S&P 500 futures +/- 12 "Side car" rule (suspends trading of S&P 500
- futures contract for one half hour); this
- effectively stops program trading.
-
- DJIA +/- 250 NYSE halts trading for one hour.
-
- DJIA +/- 350 NYSE halts trading for the rest of the day.
-
- The circuit breakers cut off the automated program trading initiated
- by the big brokerage houses. The big boys have their computers directly
- connected to the trading floor on the stock exchanges, and hence can
- program their computers to place direct huge buy/sell orders that are
- executed in a blink. This automated connection allows them to short-cut
- the individual investors who must go thru the brokers and the specialists
- on the stock exchange.
-
- Statistical evidence suggests that about 2/3 of the Mar-Apr 1994 down
- slide is caused by the program traders trying to lock in their profits
- before all hell breaks loose. The volume of their trades and their
- very action may have accelerated the slide. The new game in town is
- how to outfox the circuit breakers and buy or sell quickly before the
- 50-point move triggers the halting of the automated trading and shuts
- off the computer.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Exchanges - Instinet
- Last-Revised: 11 May 1994
- From: jwben@delphi.com,
-
- Instinet is a professional stock trading system which is owned by
- Reuters. Institutions use the system to trade large blocks of shares
- with each other without using the exchanges. Commissions are slightly
- negotiable but generally $1 per hundred shares. Instinet also runs a
- crossing network of the NYSE last sale at 6pm. A "cross" is a trade
- in which a buyer and seller interact directly with no assistance of a
- market maker or specialist. These buyer-seller pairs are commonly
- matched up by a computer system such as Instinet.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Exchanges - Market Makers and Specialists
- Last-Revised: 28 Jan 1994
- From: jeffwben@aol.com
-
- Both Market Makers (MMs) and Specialists (specs) make market in stocks.
- MMs are part of the National Association of Securities Dealers market
- (NASD), sometimes called Over The Counter (OTC), and specs work on the
- New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). These people serve a similar function
- but MMs and specs have a number of differences. NASDAQ stands for the
- National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation system.
-
- NASDAQ is a dealer system. A firm can become a market maker (MM) on
- NASDAQ by applying. The requirements are relatively small, including
- certain capital requirements, electronic interfaces, and a willingness
- to make a two-sided market. You must be there every day. If you don't
- post continuous bids and offers every day you can be penalized and not
- allowed to make a market for a month. The best way to become a MM is
- to go to work for a firm that is a MM. MMs are regulated by the NASD
- which is overseen by the SEC.
-
- The NYSE uses an agency auction market system which is designed to
- allow the public to meet the public as much as possible. The majority
- of volume (approx 88%) occurs with no intervention from the dealer.
- The responsibility of a spec is to make a fair and orderly market in
- the issues assigned to them. They must yield to public orders which
- means they may not trade for their own account when there are public
- bids and offers. The spec has an affirmative obligation to eliminate
- imbalances of supply and demand when they occur. The exchange has
- strict guidelines for trading depth and continuity that must be
- observed. Specs are subject to fines and censures if they fail to
- perform this function.
-
- There are 1366 NYSE members. Approximately 450 are specialists
- working for 38 specialists firms. As of 11/93 there are 2283 common
- and 597 preferred stocks listed on the NYSE. Each individual spec
- handles approximately 6 issues. The very big stocks will have a spec
- devoted solely to them. NYSE specs have large capital requirements
- and are overseen by Market Surveillance at the NYSE.
-
- Every listed stock has one firm assigned to it on the floor. Most
- stocks are also listed on regional exchanges in LA, SF, Chi., Phil.,
- and Bos. All NYSE trading (approx 80% of total volume) will occur at
- that post on the floor of the specialist assigned to it. To become a
- NYSE spec the normal route is to go to work for a specialist firm as a
- clerk and eventually to become a broker.
-
- In the OTC public almost always meets dealer which means it is nearly
- impossible to buy on the bid or sell on the ask. The dealers can buy
- on the bid even though the public is bidding. Both spec and MM are
- required to make a continuous market but in the case of MM's their is
- no one firm who has to take the responsibility if trading is not fair
- or orderly. During the crash the NYSE performed much better than
- NASDAQ. This was in spite of the fact that some stocks have 30+ MMs.
- Many OTC firms simply stopped making markets or answering phones until
- the dust settled.
-
- As you can see there are a similarities and differences. Most academic
- literature shows NYSE stocks trade better (in tighter ranges, less
- volatility, less difference in price between trades). On the NYSE 93%
- of trades occur at no change or 1/8 of a point difference.
-
- It is counterintuitive that one spec could make a better market than
- 20 MMs. The spec operates under an entirely different system. This
- system requires exposure of public orders to the auction and the
- opportunity for price improvement and to trade ahead of the dealer.
- The system on the NYSE is very different than NASDAQ and has been
- shown to create a better market for the stocks listed there. This is
- why 90% of US stocks that are eligible for NYSE listing have listed.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Exchanges - Phone Numbers
- Last-Revised: 13 Aug 1993
- From: asuncion@ac.dal.ca
-
- If you wish to know the telephone number for a specific company that is
- listed on a stock exchange, call the exchange and request to be connected
- with their "listings" or "research" department.
-
- AMEX +1 212 306-1000
- ASE +1 403 974-7400
- MSE +1 514 871-2424
- NASDAQ +1 202 728-8333/8039
- NYSE +1 212 656-3000
- TSE +1 416 947-4700
- VSE +1 604 689-3334/643-6500
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Exchanges - Ticker Tape Terminology
- Last-Revised: 11 Dec 1992
- From: capskb@alliant.backbone.uoknor.edu, nfs@cs.princeton.edu
-
- Ticker tape says: Translation (but see below):
- NIKE68 1/2 100 shares sold at 68 1/2
- 10sNIKE68 1/2 1000 shares sold at "
- 10.000sNIKE68 1/2 10000 shares sold at "
-
- The extra zeroes for the big trades are to make them stand out. All
- trades on CNN and CNBC are delayed by 15 minutes. CNBC once advertised
- a "ticker guide pamphlet, free for the asking", back when they merged
- with FNN. It also has explanations for the futures they show.
-
- However, the first translation is not necessarily correct. CNBC has
- a dynamic maximum size for transactions that are displayed this way.
- Depending on how busy things are at any particular time, the maximum
- varies from 100 to 5000 shares. You can figure out the current maximum
- by watching carefully for about five minutes. If the smallest number
- of shares you see in the second format is "10s" for any traded security,
- then the first form can mean anything from 100 to 900 shares. If the
- smallest you see is "50s" (which is pretty common), the first form
- means anything between 100 and 4900 shares.
-
- Note that at busy times, a broker's ticker drops the volume figure and
- then everything but the last dollar digit (e.g. on a busy day, a trade
- of 25,000 IBM at 68 3/4 shows only as "IBM 8 3/4" on a broker's ticker).
- That never happens on CNBC, so I don't know how they can keep up with all
- trades without "forgetting" a few.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Information Sources - Books
- Last-Revised: 29 Jul 1994
- From: jhc@iris.uucp, nfs@princeton.edu, ajayshah@rcf.usc.edu,
- rbeville@tekig5.pen.tek.com, Chris.Hynes@launchpad.unc.edu,
- orwant@home.media.mit.edu
-
- Books are organized alphabetically by author's last name.
-
- Author Title(s)
- ----- --------
- Peter Bernstein Capital Ideas
- Frank Cappielo New Guide to Finding the Next Superstock
- George S. Clason The Richest Man in Babylon
- Consumer's Union Consumer Reports Money Book
- Burton Crane The Sophicated Investor
- William Donoghue No-Load Mutual Fund Guide
- Dun & Bradstreet Guide to Your Investments 1993
- Louis Engel How to Buy Stocks
- Norman G. Fosback Stock Market Logic
- Gary Gastineau The Stock Options Manual
- Benjamin Graham The Intelligent Investor, Security Analysis
- C. Colburn Hardy The Fact$ of Life
- Jiler How Charts Can Help You
- Gerald M. Loeb The Battle for Investment Survival
- Peter Lynch One Up on Wall Street
- Burton Malkiel A Random Walk Down Wall Street
- Lawrence McMillan Options as a Strategic Investment
- Sylvia Porter New Money Book for the 80s
- Pring Technical Analysis Explained
- Claude Rosenberg Stock Market Primer
- L. Louis Rukeyser How to Make Money in the Stock Market
- Terry Savage New Money Strategies for the 1990's
- Charles Schwab How to be Your Own Stockbroker
- J. Siegel Stocks for the Long Run
- John A. Straley What About Mutual Funds
- Andrew Tobias [Still] Only [Other] Investment Guide You'll Ever Need
- (3 books, very similar titles)
- John Train Money Masters, New Money Masters
- Venita Van Caspel Money Dynamics for the 1990s
- Richard Wurman et al. Wall Strt Jrnl Guide to Understanding Money & Markets
- Martin Zweig Winning on Wall Street
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Information Sources - Dialup and Subscription Services
- Last-Revised: 21 Jan 1995
- From: bakken@cs.arizona.edu, nfs@princeton.edu, gary@intrepid.com,
- discar@nosc.mil, irving@Happy-Man.com, ddavis@gain.com,
- krshah@us.oracle.com, cr@farpoint.tucson.az.us, skrenta@usl.com,
- zheng@emei.cs.umt.edu, peize@rpi.edu, system.operator@stoicbbs.com,
- bob.johnson@friendz.cts.com, southpaw@halcyon.com,
- 72066.3043@compuserve.com, afraser@hookup.net
-
- The following organzations, primarily commercial enterprises, offer
- historical price data, current equity quotes, newsletters, and other
- information for a fee. Access is primarily via phone lines and a
- modem. Also included here are BBS's run by the US Government.
-
- + Dow Jones News Retrieval. Stock, bond, mutual, index quotes as well
- as news articles on companies, and misc. analysis packages. US $30
- per month flat rate for the after hours service (8pm-5am local time).
- Available via dialup over Tymnet and SprintNet; available via Internet.
- Contact them at 800-522-3567 or +1 (609) 452-1511.
-
- + Prodigy. US$15/month for basic service includes 15 minute delayed
- quotes on stocks at NO additional charge. Additional US$15/month for
- historical data download service (flat fee). Available via local
- dial-up all over the US. Contact them at 800-PRO-DIGY.
-
- + Compuserve. US$8.95/month for basic service includes 15-min delayed
- quotes on stocks and options and access to (mutual) Fund Watch Online.
- Historical quotes are available for about US$.05 each. Available via
- local dial-up all over the US.
- Contact them at 800-848-8990 or +1 (614) 457-8650.
-
- + GEnie. US$8.95/month includes 4 free hours; subsequent hours are $3.
- Has daily closing quotes. Genie Professional service (price not given)
- gives historical quotes, stock reports, different investment s/w, access
- to Charles Schwab and online trading. Contact them at 800-638-9636.
-
- + America Online. US$9.95/month includes 5 free hours, 15-minute-delayed
- quotes, and the ability to track a portfolio of stocks and mutual funds.
- Contact them at 800-827-6364.
-
- + ClarkNet sells Internet shell accounts for $19/month unlimited time
- to telephone subscribers in the No. VA/DC/MD/Baltimore areas. Thanks
- to a site license for QuoteCom, subscribers have free access to that
- service. Contact them at 410-254-3900.
-
- + Farpoint. ($4 or $8/week for an IBM-compatible diskette) provides
- daily high, low, close, and volume for for approximately 6000 stocks.
- They offer historical data from 1 July 89 to present. Write to
- Farpoint, 3412 Milwaukee Avenue, Suite 477, Northbrook, Illinois 60062.
- Also see the listing for the Farpoint BBS below.
-
- + inGenius. Broadcasts stock quotes and news via cable TV in the US.
- Decoder costs $150 and provides 9600-baud serial-line output. Tier 1
- service is $60/year and includes quotes 3x/day and news stories.
- Tier 2 service costs $22/month and adds 15-min delayed quotes and
- investment blurbs. Ftp a UNIX Xpress-reader from this URL:
- <ftp://ftp.acns.nwu.edu/pub/xpress>. Beware that your local cable
- rep. may not know that the cable co. offers it! Contact inGenius
- at 800-7PC-NEWS.
-
- + Worden Brothers TeleChart 2000. PC software costs $29. Historical
- data costs 1/2-cent/day for minimum 300 days, 1/4-cent thereafter,
- and includes high, low, close, and volume. Offers data from about 1988
- for every listed and OTC issue and many indexes. Toll-free number for
- downloading data at 14.4K baud. Contact them at 800-776-4940.
-
- + InterTrade provides historical quotes for stocks, funds, and indices
- on all three major US markets on floppy disks. One year of data for
- a block of 500 stocks/funds/indices costs $20. Subscriptions available.
- For more information, contact them at +1 (408) 453-3413, send email to
- 72066.3043@compuserve.com or access this URL:
- <ftp://dg-rtp.dg.com/pub/misc.invest/InterTrade>.
-
- + Exchange Market Systems of Montreal, Canada covers all Canadian exchgs
- and most American ones; they offer access via Datapac, realtime data,
- 15-minute delayed data (about 1 cent per quote), and five years of
- historical data. Contact them at +1 (514) 982-6687.
-
- + The American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) sells a package
- on floppy disk issued quarterly with financial info (balance sheets,
- company summary, stock summary, income statement data) on many issues.
- Only $99/year if you are a member. Contact them at +1 (312) 280-0170.
-
- + Standard & Poor's Compustat (most complete and most expensive).
- Contact them at ............
-
- + Disclosure's "Compact Disclosure" on CD (only $6,000 a year).
- Contact them at ............
-
- + Value Line's Database
- Contact them at ............
-
- Bulletin Boards for historical stock information include:
- + The Farpoint BBS offers a free source of historical stock data
- (about 3 years worth). They give you 120 minutes of free time
- daily and have historical data files on hundreds of stocks.
- Phone number is +1 (312) 274-6128.
-
- + The Business Center BBS in San Diego carries historical data on
- most issues on the NYSE, NASDAQ, and AMEX. TBC also provides free
- 15-minute delayed quotes on over 12,000 symbols, mutual funds, and
- indexes. It is free but limits on-line time to 20 minutes.
- Phone number is +1 (619) 482-8675.
-
- + FinComm BBS. "The Online Magazine Of Wall Street Computing."
- Individual daily quotes available for free. US$50/year buys a premium
- account that offers unlimited access to historical stock data.
- Phone number is +1 (212) 752-8660.
-
- + Stock Data. $10/month for daily market data via modem, $30-$45
- per month for weekly update via diskette. Historical data back to
- 1987 at $1/day. Phone number is +1 (410) 280-5533.
-
- Government-run bulletin boards include:
- + Bureau of the Census, +1 (301) 763-1568
-
- + Bureau of Economic Analysis, +1 (301) 763-7554
- Business and industry information; economic analysis;
- agricultural reports.
-
- + Energy Information Administration, +1 (202) 586 2557
- Petroleum production, reserve and consumption reports.
-
- + Department of Commerce, +1 (202) 377-0433
- Economic Bulletin Board, +1 (202) 377-3870
- Latest economic reports.
-
- + Department of Labor, +1 (202) 523-4784
- Labor news, employment, producer prices, CPI.
-
- + Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, +1 (314) 621-1824
- Historical monetary and economic data.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Information Sources - Free to All Who Ask
- Last-Revised: 14 May 1994
- From: bfduerr@mmm.com
-
- Here are some secrets from the self-proclaimed "King of Cheap/Free
- Information".
-
- 1. Local Companies: Look in your local newspapers for information
- and stories about the companies in your immediate area. I have found
- that our local papers carry some great articles about our local
- companies long before the WSJ or other papers pick up on them. The
- local papers tend to report very minute details that the "big" papers
- never report. The local paper that I get covers insider buys/sells,
- IPOs etc., management changes, detailed earnings reports, analyst
- opinions, you name it.
-
- 2. Stocks on Call: A free, fax-back service with lots of stories
- about companies. The information is biased because it is paid for by
- the listing companies, but it is free, so you get what you pay for.
- The list has been growing very rapidly, and they company drops the
- information after it has been listed for 24-72 hours, so it pays to
- call often. Some articles are only posted for one day. It takes me
- about 5 minutes to get the 10 or so articles I want. They used to
- publish a list in the papers, but the list is too long to do that now.
- Once you have the list then you can call and get 3 stories per call
- sent directly to your fax. It is all handled by computer (usually).
- You can call back and get 3 stories per call for free. I have gotten
- some great tips here - nice, fast-growing, small companies (and
- some F-500s too). Although Stocks on Calls is automatically provided
- with your number (a feature of 800 service), they state that they will
- not give your number away to third parties. Contact them at
- 800-578-7888.
-
- 3. Pro-Info: A second free, fax-back service, different from Stocks
- on Call (see above). This service places information into a computer
- so you can access it at any time and it is always available. Pro-Info
- has such things as Investor Packages, Latest Earnings Reports, news
- releases and analysts reports. They cover about 100 companies and the
- list is growing. The quality of the faxes is not great because
- Pro-Info apparently scans the pages into the computer Contact them at
- 800-PRO-INFO (800-776-4636).
-
- 4. Stock Charts: I get at least one copy of Investor's Business Daily
- per week. The Friday edition is particularly great. IBD is available
- in most areas at newsstands, bookstores, etc. IBD is a good newspaper
- for its charts.
-
- 5. Archive Information: For historical information, I save one copy
- of Barron's or WSJ or IBD each month. If I see a company that I am
- suddenly interested in then I can just open up those old editions and
- get some pretty good historical data. IBD is great for this.
-
- 6. An Important Edition of Wall St. Journal: I think it is imperative
- to get a copy of the WSJ that covers the year in review. This edition
- comes out usually on the first business day of the new year. It
- contains a lot of information about how each stock has performed
- during that last year, including the % movement of the stock during
- the past year. I get two copies of this paper because I get so much
- out of them (one for work, one for home).
-
- 7. SEC on Internet: This is the place where you can obtain Securities
- and Exchange files (10-Ks, 10-Qs, you name it) on companies that file
- electronically with the SEC. See the entry for information on the
- Internet, elsewhere in this FAQ.
-
- 8. Archive list for ticker symbols and other information: Available
- by accessing this URL:
- <ftp://dg-rtp.rtp.dg.com/pub/misc.invest/information/symbols>.
- (See the entry for information on the Internet, elsewhere in this FAQ.)
-
- 9. Writing Letters: If you are interested in a company then by all
- means get their address and write them a letter. If you have a
- non-discount broker then they can get you the company's address.
- Otherwise go to virtually any library and they will be able to help
- you find the addresses you are interested in. When you write to a
- company, tell them you are interested in investing in them and you
- want to learn more about them. Ask for 10Ks, annual reports, 10Qs,
- quarterly summaries, analyst reports and anything else they can send
- you. Some companies will bury you with information if you just ask.
- Ask them to add your name to their mailing list for future
- information. Many companies maintain active mailing lists and so the
- information will keep flowing to you. All this for only a stamp.
-
- 10. Public Registers Annual Report Service: This is a outfit that
- acts as a clearing house for mailing out annual reports on companies.
- They have a huge list (several thousand) companies that they work for,
- and they are a free service. They also send out a newspaper called
- the "Security Traders Handbook" and "The Public Register". These
- newspapers contains wealth of information on earnings, IPOs, insider
- trades etc. The price on the cover says $5.00, but I have received
- several issues and have never received a bill (I wouldn't pay anyway).
- You have to write to them to get on their mailing list. The address
- is: Bay Tact Corporation; 440 Route 198; Woodstock Valley, CT 06282.
- Write them a letter and ask them what services they provide. They
- send out annual reports, but they do not carry analysts reports and
- other news release type items. Try calling them at 800 4ANNUAL.
-
- 11. Reader Service Cards in Investor's Daily or other Places: Another
- reason I like to get the Friday edition of IBD is because they usually
- have a bunch of companies hyping themselves and offering information
- if you send in a reader service card. This is another great almost
- freebie. For a stamp you can usually find at least 3-5 companies that
- are worth finding out about.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Information Sources - Internet
- Last-Revised: 20 Jan 1995
- From: savage@dg-rtp.rtp.dg.com, mginsbur@rnd.STERN.NYU.EDU,
- lott@informatik.uni-kl.de, abcham@umich.edu, chris@quote.com,
- irving@happy-man.com, bliss@gwis2.circ.gwu.edu,
- support@paragon.wwa.com
-
- The following sites offer access via the Internet to investment information
- of all kinds, including but not limited to historical price data, current
- equity quotes, company addresses and phone numbers, and newsletters. Some
- are free, some are not. References to a ``URL'' mean that the information
- is provided by a World-Wide Web server. To access these servers, you will
- need a browser such as Mosaic, Cello, or Lynx; conventional routes like ftp,
- telnet, or e-mail will not gain you access to WWW servers.
-
- + Security APL sells real-time financial market data and additionally
- offers free 15-minute delayed stock quotes on their WWW server.
- Access the URL <http://www.secapl.com/secapl/Welcome.html>
-
- + QuoteCom sells financial market data via the net and e-mail. Users
- may request 5 free quotes daily simply by registering; paid services
- include portfolio tracking, S&P reports, and more. Call them at
- 800 261-7740 / +1 (702) 324-7129, send e-mail to info@quote.com, or
- access the URL <http://www.quote.com/>
-
- + InterQuote sells interactive services (real-time data, delayed data,
- and end-of-day data) as well as one noninteractive service (end-of-day
- updates via e-mail). Call them at +1 (414) 697-1699, send e-mail to
- support@paragon.wwa.com, or access the URL <http://wwa.com/~quote>
-
- + Farcast.Com sells stock quotes and press releases, and delivers them
- via e-mail. About $20/month. Send e-mail to info@farcast.com
-
- + NETworth offers free quotations on mutual funds via their WWW server.
- Access the URL <http://networth.galt.com/>
-
- + Martin Wong's QUOTESERVER. Summary of stock market activity updated
- at approximately 21:45 EST with the current day's closing information
- for the market and about 200 individual issues. Available by e-mail
- by contacting martin.wong@eng.sun.com - but see the next entry.
-
- + Experimental Stock Market Data - a page that provides a link to data
- and charts based on the most recent closing information from the stock
- markets. Access the URL <http://www.ai.mit.edu/stocks.html>
-
- + Current exchange rates for major currencies and a wealth of other data
- that is downloaded from the U.S. Department of Commerce's Economic
- Bulletin Board is available from the University of Michigan. Access
- one of these URLS:
- <ftp://una.hh.lib.umich.edu/ebb/indicators>
- <gopher://una.hh.lib.umich.edu/11/ebb>
-
- + Addresses and phone numbers for about 8,500 companies may be requested,
- one at a time, by sending e-mail to conamadph@happy-man.com using the
- subject line "conamadph tkr please". Note that the quotes are NOT part
- of the line, tkr means the ticker symbol of the company, everything is
- lower case, the please is required, and the body of the msg is ignored.
- If the company is not in this database, the return msg will be empty.
-
- + Ed Savage (savage@dg-rtp.rtp.dg.com) collects equity data. Stated
- purpose: "To collect publicly available market data in one place so
- people can FTP it easily." Donate *freely redistributable* data or
- access same via the URL <ftp://dg-rtp.rtp.dg.com/pub/misc.invest>
- This is NOT a real-time or 15-min delay quote server. It does have
- a limited number of close-of-day quotes.
-
- + The Electronic Data Gathering and Data Retrieval (EDGAR) Project offers
- access to a number of documents (10-K, 10-Q, etc.) which companies file
- with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Send e-mail to
- edgar-interest-request@town.hall.org or access these URLs:
- <ftp://town.hall.org>, <http://www.town.hall.org>, or
- <http://edgar.stern.nyu.edu/EDGAR.html>
-
- + The FedWorld Information Network, which has information and links for
- US government agencies, is available at URL <http://www.fedworld.gov>
-
- + The Global Network Navigator, a service of O'Reilly and Associates,
- maintains a personal finance center for users of the World-Wide Web.
- Access the URL <http://nearnet.gnn.com/gnn/meta/finance/index.html>
-
- + A collection of links to investment and tax information is available at
- URL <http://www.cs.cmu.edu:8001/afs/cs.cmu.edu/user/jdg/www/invest.html>
-
- + The company A2I Communications offers access to some data by telnet-ing
- to the site bolero.rahul.net and logging in under user guest.
-
- + Information about some European markets is available via the document
- URL <http://www.wiwi.uni-frankfurt.de/AG/JWGI/JWGI2hom.html>
-
- + Dow Jones News Retrieval is on the Internet - see article on information
- sources available by subscription elsewhere in the FAQ.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Information Sources - Investment Associations (AAII and NAIC)
- Last-Revised: 30 Jul 1994
- From: rajeeva@sco.com, dlaird@terapin.com, tima@cfsmo.honeywell.com
- a_s_kamlet@att.com, jay@concannon.llnl.gov (Jay Hartley)
-
- AAII: American Association of Individual Investors
- 625 North Michigan Avenue
- Chicago, IL 60611-3110
- +1 312-280-0170
-
- A summary from their brochure: AAII believes that individuals would
- do better if they invest in "shadow" stocks which are not followed
- by institutional investor and avoid affects of program trading.
- They admit that most of their members are experienced investors with
- substantial amounts to invest, but they do have programs for newer
- investors also. Basically, they don't manage the member's money,
- they just provide information.
-
- Membership costs $49 per year for an individual; with Computerized
- Investing newsletter, $79. A lifetime membership (including
- Computerized Investing) costs $490.
-
- They offer the AAII Journal 10 times a year, Individual Investor's guide
- to No-Load Mutual Funds annually, local chapter membership (about 50
- chapters), a year-end tax strategy guide, investment seminars and study
- programs at extra cost (reduced for members), and a computer user'
- newsletter for an extra $30. They also operate a free BBS.
-
- NAIC: National Association of Investors Corp.
- 711 West Thirteen Mile Road
- Madison Heights, MI 48071
- +1 810-583-NAIC
-
- The NAIC is a nonprofit organization operated by and for the benefit
- of member clubs. The Association has been in existence since the 1950's
- and has around 110,000 members.
-
- Membership costs $32 per year for an individual, or $30 for a club and
- $10.00 per each club member. The membership provides the member with a
- monthly newsletter, details of your membership and information on how to
- start a investment club, how to analyze stocks, and how to keep records.
-
- In addition to the information provided, NAIC operates "Low-Cost
- Investment Plan", which allows members to invest in participating
- companies such as AT&T, Kellogg, McDonald's, Mobil and Quaker Oats...
- Most don't incur a commission although some have a nominal fee ($3-$5).
-
- Of the 500 clubs surveyed in 1989, the average club had a compound
- annual growth rate of 10.8% compared with 10.6% for the S&P 500 stock
- index...It's average portfolio was worth $66,755.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Compilation Copyright (c) 1994 by Christopher Lott, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
- --
- "Christopher Lott / Email: lott@informatik.uni-kl.de / Tel: +49 (631) 205-3334"
- " Address: FB Informatik - Bau 57 / Universitaet KL / D--67653 Kaiserslautern "
- " World-wide web: http://uomo.informatik.uni-kl.de:2080/Personalia/cml.html "
- Archive-name: investment-faq/general/part4
- Version: $Id: faq-p4,v 1.22 1995/01/26 07:55:14 lott Exp lott $
- Compiler: Christopher Lott, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- This is the general FAQ for misc.invest, part 4 of 6.
-
- Compilation copyright (c) 1994 by Christopher Lott. Use and copying
- of this information, distribution of the information on electronic
- media, and preparation of derivative works based upon this information
- are permitted, so long as the following conditions are met:
- + No fees or compensation are charged for this information,
- excluding charges for the media used to distribute it.
- + Proper attribution is given to the authors of individual articles.
- + This copyright notice is included intact.
-
- Disclaimer: This information is made available AS IS, and no
- warranty is made about its quality or correctness.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Misc - Computing the Rate of Return on Monthly Investments
- Last-Revised: 31 Aug 1994
- From: jedwards@ms.uky.edu
-
- Q: Assume $X is invested at the beginning of the year into some mutual
- fund or like account, with $Y added to the account every month.
- Now, down the road, if the value at any given month "i" is Vi, what
- conclusions can be drawn from it ?
-
- The relevant formula is F = P(1+i)**n - p((1+i)**n - 1)/i where F is the
- future value of your investment (i.e., the value after n periods), P is
- the present value of your investment (i.e., the amount of money you invest
- initially), p is the payment each period (p is negative if you are adding
- money to your account and positive if you are taking money out of your
- account), n is the number of periods you are interested in, and i is the
- interest rate per period. You cannot manipulate this formula to get a
- formula for i; you have to use some sort of iterative method or buy a
- financial calculator.
-
- One thing to keep in mind is that i is the interest rate *per period*.
- You may need to compound the rate to obtain a number you can compare
- apples-to-apples with other rates. For instance, a 1 year CD paying
- 12% interest is not as good an investment as an investment paying 1%
- per month for a year. If you put $1000 into each, you'll have $1120
- in the CD at the end of the year but $1000*(1.01)**12 = $1126.82 in
- the other investment due to compounding. I always convert interest
- rates of any kind into a "simple 1-year CD equivalent" for the purposes
- of comparison.
-
- A program 'irr' which helps calculate this is discussed in the article
- "Software - Investment-Related Programs."
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Misc - Computing Compound Return
- Last-Revised: 22 Jan 1993
- From: bakken@cs.arizona.edu, chen@digital.sps.mot.com
-
- To calculate the compounded return, just figure out the factor by which
- the investment multiplied. Say $1000 went to $3200 in 10 years.
- Take the 10th root of 3.2 (the multiplying factor) and you get a
- compounded return of 1.1233498 (12.3% per year). To see that this works,
- note that 1.1233498**10 = 3.2.
-
- Another way of saying the same thing: In my calculation, I assume all
- the gains are reinvested so following formula applies:
- TR = (1 + AR) ** YR
- where TR is total return, AR is annualized return, and YR is year. To
- calculate annualized return otherwise, following formula applies:
- AR = (10 ** (Log TR/ YR)) - 1
- Thus a total return of 950% in 20 years would be equivalent of 11.914454%
- annualized return.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Misc - Derivatives
- Last-Revised: 28 Feb 1994
- From: bob_costa@delphi.com, williams@vierzk.bates.scarolina.edu
-
- A derivative is a financial instrument that does not constitute ownership,
- but a promise to convey ownership. The most simple example is a call
- option on a stock. In the case of a call option, the risk is that the
- person who writes the call (sells it and assumes the risk) may not be
- in business to live up to their promise when the time comes. In
- standarized options sold through the Options Clearing House, there are
- supposed to be sufficient safeguards for the small investor against this.
-
- What really concerns regulators is the fact that big banks swap all kinds
- of promises all the time, like interest rate swaps, froward currency swaps,
- options on futures, etc. They try to balance all these promises (hedging),
- but there is the big danger that one big player will go bankrupt and leave
- lots of people holding worthless promises. Such a collapse could cascade,
- as more and more speculators (banks) cannot meet their obligations because
- they were counting on the defaulted contract to protect them from losses.
-
- All of this is done off the books, so there is no total on how much
- exposure each bank has under a specific scenario. Some of the more
- complicated derivatives try to simulate a specific event by tracking it
- with other events (that will *usually* go in the same or the opposite
- direction). Examples are buying Japan stocks to protect against a loss in
- the US. However, if the *usual* correlation changes, big losses can be
- the result.
-
- The big danger with the big banks is that while they can use derivatives
- to hedge risk, they can also use them as a way of taking ON risk. Not
- that risk is bad. Risk is how a bank makes money; for example, issuing
- loans is a risk. However, banks are forbidden from taking on risk with
- derivatives. It's just too easy for a bank to hedge bonds with derivatives
- that don't have the same maturity, same underlying security, etc. so the
- correlation between the hedge and the risky position is weak.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Misc - Future and Present Value of Money
- Last-Revised: 28 Jan 1994
- From: lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- This note explains briefly two concepts concerning the time-value-of-money,
- namely future and present value.
-
- * Future value is simply the sum to which a dollar amount invested today
- will grow given some appreciation rate. The formula for future value
- is the formula from Case 1 of present value (below), but solved for the
- future-sum rather than the present value.
-
- To compute the future value of a sum invested today, the formula for
- interest that is compounded monthly is:
- fv = principal * (1 + rrate/12) ** (12 * termy)
- where
- principal = dollar value you have now
- termy = term, in years
- rrate = annual rate of return in decimal (i.e., use .05 for 5%)
-
- For interest that is compounded annually, use the formula:
- fv = principal * (1 + rrate) ** (termy)
-
- Example:
- I invest 1,000 today at 10% for 10 years compounded monthly.
- The future value of this amount is 2707.04.
-
- * Present value is the value in today's dollars assigned to an amount of
- money in the future, based on some estimate rate-of-return over the long-term.
- In this analysis, rate-of-return is calculated based on monthly compounding.
-
- Two cases of present value are discussed next. Case 1 involves a single
- sum that stays invested over time. Case 2 involves a cash stream that is
- paid regularly over time (e.g., rent payments), and requires that you also
- calculate the effects of inflation.
-
- Case 1a: Present value of money invested over time. This tells you what a
- future sum is worth today, given some rate of return over the time
- between now and the future. Another way to read this is that you
- must invest the present value today at the rate-of-return to have
- some future sum in some years from now (but this only considers the
- raw dollars, not the purchasing power).
-
- To compute the present value of an invested sum, the formula for
- interest that is compounded monthly is:
- future-sum
- pv = ----------------------------------
- (1 + rrate/12) ** (12 * termy)
- where
- future-sum = dollar value you want in termy years
- termy = term, in years
- rrate = annual rate of return that you can expect, in decimal
-
- Example:
- I need to have 10,000 in 5 years. The present value of 10,000
- assuming an 8% monthly compounded rate-of-return is 6712.10.
- I.e., 6712 will grow to 10k in 5 years at 8%.
-
- Case 1b: This formulation can also be used to estimate the effects of
- inflation; i.e., compute real purchasing power of present and
- future sums. Simply use an estimated rate of inflation instead
- of a rate of return for the rrate variable in the equation.
-
- Example:
- In 30 years I will receive 1,000,000 (a gigabuck). What is
- that amount of money worth today (what is the buying power),
- assuming a rate of inflation of 4.5%? The answer is 259,895.65
-
- Case 2: Present value of a cash stream. This tells you the cost in
- today's dollars of money that you pay over time. Usually the
- payments that you make increase over the term. Basically, the
- money you pay in 10 years is worth less than that which you pay
- tomorrow, and this equation lets you compute just how much.
-
- In this analysis, inflation is compounded yearly. A reasonable
- estimate for long-term inflation is 4.5%, but inflation has
- historically varied tremendously by country and time period.
-
- To compute the present value of a cash stream, the formula is:
- month = 12*termy paymt * (1 + irate) ** int ((month - 1)/ 12)
- pv = SUM ---------------------------------------------
- month = 1 (1 + rrate/12) ** (month - 1)
- where
- month = month number
- termy = term, in years
- paymt = monthly payment, in dollars
- irate = rate of inflation (increase in payment/year), in decimal
- rrate = rate of return on money that you can expect, in decimal
- int() function = keep integral part; compute yr nr from mo nr
-
- Example:
- You pay $500/month in rent over 10 years and estimate that
- inflation is 4.5% over the period (your payment increases with
- inflation.) Present value is 49,530.57
-
- Two small C programs for computing future and present value are available.
- See the article "Software - Investment-Related Programs" for more information.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Misc - Hedging
- Last-Revised: 11 Dec 1992
- From: nfs@princeton.edu
-
- Hedging is a way of reducing some of the risk involved in holding
- an investment. There are many different risks against which one can
- hedge and many different methods of hedging. When someone mentions
- hedging, think of insurance. A hedge is just a way of insuring an
- investment against risk.
-
- Consider a simple (perhaps the simplest) case. Much of the risk in
- holding any particular stock is market risk; i.e. if the market falls
- sharply, chances are that any particular stock will fall too. So if
- you own a stock with good prospects but you think the stock market in
- general is overpriced, you may be well advised to hedge your position.
-
- There are many ways of hedging against market risk. The simplest,
- but most expensive method, is to buy a put option for the stock you own.
- (It's most expensive because you're buying insurance not only against
- market risk but against the risk of the specific security as well.)
- You can buy a put option on the market (like an OEX put) which will
- cover general market declines. You can hedge by selling financial
- futures (e.g. the S&P 500 futures).
-
- In my opinion, the best (and cheapest) hedge is to sell short the
- stock of a competitor to the company whose stock you hold. For example,
- if you like Microsoft and think they will eat Borland's lunch, buy MSFT
- and short BORL. No matter which way the market as a whole goes, the
- offsetting positions hedge away the market risk. You make money as
- long as you're right about the relative competitive positions of the
- two companies, and it doesn't matter whether the market zooms or crashes.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Misc - Investment Jargon
- Last-Revised: 29 Jul 1994
- From: jhsu@eng-nxt03.cso.uiuc.edu, e-krol@uiuc.edu, duerr@horta.mmm.com,
- dennis@netcom.com, gibbs@andrews.edu
-
- Some common jargon is explained here briefly. See other articles
- in the faq for more detailed explanations on most of these terms.
-
- bottom fishing: purchasing of stock declining in value
-
- broker: The term was first used around 1622 to mean an agent in
- financial transactions. Originally, it referred to wine
- retailers - those who broach (break) wine casks.
-
- day order: Order to buy/sell securities at a certain price that
- expires if not executed on the day it is placed.
-
- elves index: Louis Rukeyser's index of the opinions on the general stock
- market for the next 6 months. He polls 10 analysts, the same
- ones every week, to ask what they think the general trend will
- be, namely bullish (+1), neutral (0), or bearish (-1). The
- index range is -10 to +10.
-
- going long: Buying and holding stock
-
- going short: Selling stock short, i.e., borrowing and selling stock you
- do not own with the intention of buying it later for less.
-
- GTC order: Order to buy/sell securities at a certain price that is
- "Good Until Canceled", i.e., never expires.
-
- overbought: Judgemental adjective describing a market or stock implying
- [oversold] That people have been wildly buying [selling] it and that
- there is very little chance of it moving upward [downward]
- in the near term. Usually it applies to movement momentum
- rather than what the security should cost.
-
- over valued, under valued, fairly valued: judgmental adjectives describing
- that a market or stock is over/under/fairly priced with
- respect to what people believe the security is really worth.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Misc - Life Insurance
- Last-Revised: 30 Mar 1994
- From: joec@fid.morgan.com
-
- This is my standard reply to life insurance queries. And, I think
- many insurance agents will disagree with these comments.
-
- First of all, decide WHY you want insurance. Think of insurance as
- income-protection, i.e., if the insured passes away, the beneficiary
- receives the proceeds to offset that lost income. With that comment
- behind us, I would never buy insurance on kids, after all, they don't
- have income and they don't work. An agent might say to buy it on your
- kids while its cheap - but run the numbers, the agent is usually
- wrong, remember, agents are really salesmen/women and its in their
- interest to sell you insurance. Also - I am strongly against insurance
- on kids on two counts. One, you are placing a bet that you kid will
- die and you are actually paying that bet in premiums. I can't bet my
- child will die. Two, it sounds plausible, i.e., your kid will have a
- nest egg when they grow up but factor inflation in - it doesn't look
- so good. A policy of face amount of $10,000, at 4.5% inflation and 30
- years later is like having $2,670 in today's dollars - it's NOT a lot
- of money. So don't plan on it being worth much in the future to your
- child as an investment. In summary, skip insurance on your kids.
-
- I also have some doubts about insurance as investments - it might be a
- good idea but it certainly muddies the water. Why not just buy your
- insurance as one step and your investment as another step? - its a lot
- simpler to keep them separate.
-
- So by now you have decided you want insurance, i.e., to protect your
- family against you passing away prematurely, i.e., the loss of income
- you represent (your salary, commissions, etc.).
-
- Next decide how LONG you want insurance for. If you're around 60
- years old, I doubt you want to get any at all. Your income stream is
- largely over and hopefully you have accumulated the assets you need
- anyway by now.
-
- If you are married and both work, its not clear you need insurance at
- all if you pass on. The spouse just keeps working UNLESS you need
- both incomes to support your lifestyle (more common these days).
- Then you should have one policy on each of you.
-
- If you are single, its not clear you need life insurance at all. You
- are not supporting anyone so no one cares if you pass on, at least
- financially.
-
- If you are married and the spouse is not working, then the breadwinner
- needs insurance UNLESS you are independently wealthy. Some might argue
- you should have insurance on your spouse, i.e., as homemaker, child
- care provider and so forth. In my oponion, I would get a SMALL policy
- on the spouse, sufficient to cover the costs of burying them and also
- sufficient to provide for child care for a few years or so. Each case
- is different but I would look for a small TERM policy on the order of
- $50,000 or less. Get the cheapest you can find, from anywhere. It
- should be quite cheap. Skip any fancy policies - just go for term and
- plan on keeping it until your child is own his/her own. Then reduce
- the insurance coverage on your spouse so it is sufficient to bury your
- spouse.
-
- If you are independently wealthy, you don't need insurance because you
- already have the money you need. You might want tax shelters and the
- like but that is a very different topic.
-
- Suppose you have a 1 year old child, the wife stays home and the
- husband works. In that case, you might want 2 types of insurance:
- Whole life for the long haul, i.e., age 65, 70, etc., and Term until
- your child is off on his/her own. Once the child has left the stable,
- your need for insurance goes down since your responsibilities have
- diminished, i.e., fewer dependents, education finished, wedding
- expenses done, etc
-
- Mortgage insurance is popular but is it worthwhile? Generally not
- because it is far too expensive. Perhaps you want some sort of Term
- during the duration of the mortgage - but remember that the mortgage
- balance DECLINES over time. But don't buy mortgage insurance itself -
- much too expensive. Include it in the overall analysis of what
- insurance needs you might have.
-
- What about flight insurance? Ignore it. You are quite safe in
- airplanes and flight insurance is incredibly expensive to buy.
-
- Insurance through work? Many larger firms offer life insurance as part
- of an overall benefits package. They will typically provide a certain
- amount of insurance for free and insurance beyond that minimum amount
- is offered for a fee. Although priced competitively, it may not be
- wise to get more than the 'free' amount offered - why? Suppose you
- develop a nasty health condition and then lose your job (and your
- benefit-provided insurance)? Trying to get reinsured elsewhere (with
- a health condition) may be *very* expensive. It is often wiser to have
- your own insurance in place through your own efforts - this insurance
- will stay with you and not the job.
-
- Now, how much insurance? One rule of thumb is 5x your annual income.
- What agents will ask you is 'Will your spouse go back to work if you
- pass away?' Many of us will think nobly and say NO. But its actually
- likely that your spouse will go back to work and good thing -
- otherwise your insurance needs would be much larger. After all, if
- the spouse stays home, your insurance must be large enough to be
- invested wisely to throw off enough return to live on. Assume you
- make $50,000 and the spouse doesn't work. You pass on. The Spouse
- needs to replace a portion of your income (not all of it since you
- won't be around to feed, wear clothes, drive an insured car, etc.).
- Lets assume the Spouse needs $40,000 to live on. Now that is BEFORE
- taxes. Lets say its $30,000 net to live on. $30,000 is the annual
- interest generated on a $600,000 tax-free investment at 5% per year
- (e.g., munibonds). So this means you need $600,000 of face value
- insurance to protect your $50,000 current income. These numbers will
- vary, depending on interest rates at the time you do your analysis and
- how much money you spouse will need, factoring in inflation. But the
- point is that you need at least another $600,000 of insurance to fund
- if the survivng spouse doesn't and won't work. Again, the amount will
- vary but the concept is the same.
-
- This is only one example of how to do it and income taxes, estate
- taxes and inflation can complicate it. But hopefully you get the
- idea.
-
- Which kind of insurance, in my humble opinion, is a function of how
- long you need it for. I once did an analysis of TERM vs WHOLE LIFE and
- based on the assumptions at the time, WHOLE LIFE made more sense if I
- held the insurance more than about 20-23 years. But TERM was cheaper
- if I held it for a shorter period of time. How do you do the analysis
- and why does the agent want to meet you? Well, he/she will bring
- their fancy charts, tables of numbers and effectively lead you into
- thinking that the biggest, most expensive policy is the best for you
- over the long term. Translation: lots of commissions to the agent.
- Whole life is what agents make their money on due to commissions. The
- agents typically gets 1/2 of your first year's commissions as his pay.
- And he typically gets 10% of the next year's commissions and likewise
- through year 5. Ask him (or her) how they get paid.
-
- If he won't tell you, ask him to leave. In my opinion, its okay that
- the agents get commissions but just buy what you need, don't buy some
- huge policy. The agent may show you compelling numbers on a $1,000,000
- whole life policy but do you really need that much? They will make
- lots of money on commissions on such a policy, but they will likely
- have sold you the "Mercedes Benz" type of policy when a Ford Taurus or
- a Saturn sedan model would also be just fine, at far less money. Buy
- the life insurance you need, not what they say.
-
- What I did was to take their numbers, review their assumptions (and
- corrected them when they were far-fetched) and did MY analysis. They
- hated that but they agreed my approach was correct. They will show
- you a 12% rate of return to predict the cash value flow. Ignore that
- - it makes them look too good and its not realistic. Ask him/her
- exactly what they plan to invest your premium money in to get 12%.
- How has it done in the last 5 years? 10? Use a number between 4.5%
- (for TBILL investments, quite conservative) and 8-10% (for growth
- stocks, more risky), but not definitely not 12%. I would try 8% and
- insist it be done that way.
-
- Ask each agent: 1)-what is the present value of the payment stream
- represented by the premiums, using a discount rate of 4.5% per year
- (That is the inflation average since 1940). This is what the policy
- costs you, in today's dollars. Its very much like paying that single
- number now instead of a series of payments over time. If they disagree
- with 4.5%, remind them that since 1926, inflation has averaged 3.5%
- (Ibbotson Associates) and then suggest they use 3.5% instead. They may
- then agree with the 4.5% (!) The lower the number, the more expensive
- the policy is. 2)-what is the present value of the the cash value
- earned (increasing at no more than 8% a year) and discounting it back
- to today at the same 4.5%. This is what you get for that money you
- just paid, in cash value, expressed in today's dollars, i.e., as if you
- got it today in the mail. 3)-What is the present value of the life
- insurance in force over that same period, discounted back to today by
- 4.5%, for inflation. That is the coverage in effect in today's
- dollars. 4)-Pick an end date for comparing these - I use age 60 and
- age 65.
-
- With the above in hand from various agents, you can see fairly quickly
- which is the better policy, i.e., which gives you the most for your
- money.
-
- By the way, inflation is slippery and sneaky. All too often we see
- $500,000 of insurance and it sounds great, but at 4.5% inflation and
- 30 years from now, that $500,000 then is like $133,500 now - truly!
-
- Have the agent do your analysis, BUT you give him the rates to use,
- don't use his. Then you pick the policy that is the best value, i.e.,
- you get more for your money. Factor in any tax angles as well. If
- the agent refuses to do this analysis for you, get rid of him/her.
-
- If the agent gets annoyed but cannot fault your analysis, then you
- have cleared the snow away and gotten to the truth. If they smile too
- much, you may have missed something. And that will cost you money.
-
- Never agree to any policy unless you understand all the numbers and
- all the terms. Never 'upgrade' policies by cashing in a whole life
- for another whole life. That just depletes your cash value, real cash
- available to you. And the agent gets to pocket that money, literally,
- through new commissions. Its no different that just writing a personal
- check, payable to the agent.
-
- Check out the insurer by going to the reference section of a big
- library. Ask for the AM BEST guide on insurance. Look up where the
- issuer stands relative to the competition, on dividends, on cash
- value, on cost of insurance per premium dollar.
-
- Agents will usually not mention TERM since they work on commission and
- get much more money for Whole Life than they do for term. Remember,
- The agents gets about 1/2 of your 1st years premium payments and 10%
- or so for all the money you send in over the following 4 years. Ask
- them to tell you how they are paid- after all, its your money they are
- getting.
-
- Now why don't I like UNIVERSAL or VARIABLE? Mainly because with Whole
- Life and with TERM, you know exactly what you must pay because the
- issuer must manage the investments to generate the appropriate returns
- to provide you with the insurance (and with cash value if whole life).
- With UNIVERSAL and VARIABLE, it becomes YOU who must decide how and
- where to invest your premium income. If you guess badly, you will
- have to pay a higher premium to cover those bad decisions. The
- insurance companies invented UNIVERSAL and VARIABLE because interest
- rates went crazy in the early 80's and they lost money. Rather than
- taking that risk again, they offered these new policies to transfer
- that risk to you. Of course, UNIVERSAL and VARIABLE will be cheaper
- in the short term but BE CAREFUL - they can and often will increase
- later on.
-
- Okay, so what did I do? I bought both term and whole life. I plan to
- keep the term until my son graduates from college and he is on his own.
- That is about 10 years from now. I also bought whole life (NorthWestern
- Mutual Life, Milwaukee, WI) which I plan to keep forever, so to speak.
- NWML is apparently the cheapest and best around according to A.M. BEST.
- At this point, after 3 years with NWML, I make more in cash value each
- year than I pay into the policy in premiums. Thus, they are paying me
- to stay with them.
-
- Where do you buy term? Just buy the cheapest policy since you will
- tend to renew the policy once a year and you can change insurers each
- time. Check your local savings bank as one source.
-
- Suppose an agent approaches you about a new policy and wishes to
- update your old ones and switch you into the new policy or new
- financial product they are offering? BE CAREFUL: When you switch
- policies, you close out the old one, take out its cash value and buy a
- new one. But very often you must start paying those hidden commissions
- all over again. You won't see it directly but look carefully at how
- the cash value grows in the first few years. It won't grow much
- because the 'cash' is usually paying the commissions again. Bottom
- line: You usually pay commissions twice - once on the old policy and
- again on the new policy - for generally the same insurance. Thus you
- paid twice for the same product. Again - be careful and make sure it
- makes sense to switch policies.
-
- A hard thing to factor in is that one day you may become uninsurable
- just when you need it, i.e., heart attack, cancer and the like. I
- would look at getting cheap term insurance but add in the options of
- 'guaranteed convertible' (to whole life) and 'guarranteed renewable'
- (they must provide the insurance). It will add somewhat to the cost of
- the insurance.
-
- Last thought. I'll bet you didn't you know that you are 3x more
- likely to become disabled during your working career than you to die
- during your working career. How is your short term disability
- insurance looking? Get a policy that has a waiting period before it
- kicks in. This will keep it cheaper. Look at the exclusions, if any.
-
- These comments are MY opinion and not my employers. All the usual
- disclaimers apply and your mileage may vary depending on individual
- circumstances.
-
- For additional information, see the in-depth, three-part series which
- Consumers Reports printed in their Jul/Aug/Sep 1993 issues.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Misc - Renting vs. Buying a Home
- Last-Revised: 15 Oct 1994
- From: mincy@think.com, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- This note will explain one way to compare the monetary costs of renting
- vs. buying a home. It is extremely predjudiced towards the US system.
- A few small C programs for computing future value, present value, and
- loan amortization schedules (used to write this article) are available.
- See the article "Software - Investment-Related Programs" for more information.
-
- SUMMARY:
- - If you are guaranteed an appreciation rate that is a few points above
- inflation, buy.
- - If the monthly costs of buying are basically the same as renting, buy.
- - The shorter the term, the more advantageous it is to rent.
- - Tax consequences in the US are fairly minor in the long term.
-
-
- The three important factors that affect the analysis the most:
- 1) Relative cash flows; e.g., rent compared to monthly ownership expenses
- 2) Length of term
- 3) Rate of appreciation
-
- The approach used here is to determine the present value of the money
- you will pay over the term for the home. In the case of buying, the
- appreciation rate and thereby the future value of the home is estimated.
- This analysis neglects utility costs because they can easily be the
- same whether you rent or buy. However, adding them to the analysis
- is simple; treat them the same as the costs for insurance in both cases.
-
- Opportunity costs of buying are effectively captured by the present value.
- For example, pretend that you are able to buy a house without having to
- have a mortgage. Now the question is, is it better to buy the house with
- your hoard of cash or is it better to invest the cash and continue to rent?
- To answer this question you have to have estimates for rental costs and
- house costs (see below), and you have a projected growth rate for the cash
- investment and projected growth rate for the house. If you project a 4%
- growth rate for the house and a 15% growth rate for the cash then holding
- the cash would be a much better investment.
-
-
- Renting a Home.
-
- * Step 1: Gather data. You will need:
- - monthly rent
- - renter's insurance (usually inexpensive)
- - term (period of time over which you will rent)
- - estimated inflation rate to compute present value (historically 4.5%)
- - estimated annual rate of increase in the rent (can use inflation rate)
-
- * Step 2: Compute the present value of the cash stream that you will pay over
- the term, which is the cost of renting over that term. This analysis assumes
- that there are no tax consequences (benefits) associated with paying rent.
-
- Long-term example:
- Rent = 990 / month
- Insurance = 10 / month
- Term = 30 years
- Rent increases = 4.5% annually
- Inflation = 4.5% annually
- For this cash stream, present value = 348,137.17.
-
- Short-term example:
- Same numbers, but just 2 years. Present value = 23,502.38
-
-
- Buying a Home.
-
- * Step 1: Gather data. You need a lot to do a fairly thorough analysis:
- - purchase price
- - down payment & closing costs
- - other regular expenses, such as condo fees
- - amount of mortgage
- - mortgage rate
- - mortgage term
- - mortgage payments (this is tricky for a variable-rate mortgage)
- - property taxes
- - homeowner's insurance (Note: this analysis neglects extraordinary
- risks such as earthquakes or floods that may cause the homeowner
- to incur a large loss due to a high deductible in your policy.
- All of you people in California know what I'm talking about.)
- - your marginal tax bracket (at what rate is the last dollar taxed)
- - the current standard deduction which the IRS allows
-
- Other values have to be estimated, and they affect the analysis critically:
- - continuing maintenance costs (I estimate 1/2 of PP over 30 years.)
- - estimated inflation rate to compute present value (historically 4.5%)
- - rate of increase of property taxes, maintenance costs, etc. (infl. rate)
- - appreciation rate of the home (THE most important number of all)
-
- * Step 2: compute the monthly expense. This includes the mortgage payment,
- fees, property tax, insurance, and maintenance. The mortgage payment is
- fixed, but you have to figure inflation into the rest. Then compute the
- present value of the cash stream.
-
- * Step 3: compute your tax savings. This is different in every case, but
- roughly you multiply your tax bracket times the amount by which your interest
- plus other deductible expenses (e.g., property tax, state income tax) exceeds
- your standard deduction. No fair using the whole amount because everyone
- gets the standard deduction for free. Must be summed over the term because
- the standard deduction will increase annually, as will your expenses. Note
- that late in the mortgage your interest payments will be be well below the
- standard deduction. I compute savings of about 5% for 33% tax bracket.
-
- * Step 4: compute the future value of the home based on the purchase
- price, estimated appreciation rate, and the term. Once you have the
- future value, compute the present value of that sum based on the
- inflation rate you estimated earlier and the term you used to compute
- future value. If appreciation > inflation, you win. Else you lose.
-
- * Step 5: Compute final cost. All numbers must be in present value.
- Final-cost = Down-payment + S2 (expenses) - S3 (tax sav) - S4 (prop value)
-
- Long-term example #1:
-
- * Step 1 - the data:
- Purchase price = 145,000
- Down payment etc = 10,000
- Mortgage amount = 140,000
- Mortgage rate = 8.00%
- Mortgage term = 30 years
- Mortgage payment = 1027.27 / mo
- Property taxes = about 1% of valuation; I'll use 1200/yr = 100/mo
- (which increases same as inflation, we'll say)
- Homeowner's ins = 50 / mo
- Condo fees etc = 0
- Tax bracket = 33%
- Standard ded = 5600
- Estimates:
- Maintenance = 1/2 PP is 72,500, or 201/mo; I'll use 200/mo
- Inflation rate = 4.5% annually
- Prop taxes incr = 4.5% annually
- Home appreciates = 6% annually (the NUMBER ONE critical factor)
-
- * Step 2 - the monthly expense, both fixed and changing components:
- Fixed component is the mortgage at 1027.27 monthly. Present value = 203,503.48
- Changing component is the rest at 350.00 monthly. Present value = 121,848.01
- Total from Step 2: 325,351.49
-
- * Step 3 - the tax savings.
- I use my loan program to compute this. Based on the data given above,
- I compute the savings: Present value = 14,686.22. Not much at all.
-
- * Step 4 - the future and present value of the home.
- See data above. Future value = 873,273.41 and present value = 226,959.96
- (which is larger than 145k since appreciation > inflation)
- Before you compute present value, you should subtract reasonable closing
- costs for the sale; for example, a real estate brokerage fee.
-
- * Step 5 - the final analysis for 6% appreciation.
- Final = 10,000 + 325,351.49 - 14,686.22 - 226,959.96
- = 93,705.31
-
- So over the 30 years, assuming that you sell the house in the 30th year for
- the estimated future value, the present value of your total cost is 93k.
- (You're 93k in the hole after 30 years ~~ you only paid 260.23/month.)
-
- Long-term example #2: all numbers the same BUT the home appreciates 7%/year.
- Step 4 now comes out FV=1,176,892.13 and PV=305,869.15
- Final = 10,000 + 325,351.49 - 14,686.22 - 305,869.15
- = 14796.12
- So in this example, 7% was an approximate break-even point in the absolute
- sense; i.e., you lived for 30 years at near zero cost in today's dollars.
-
- Long-term example #3: all numbers the same BUT the home appreciates 8%/year.
- Step 4 now comes out FV=1,585,680.80 and PV=412,111.55
- Final = 10,000 + 325,351.49 - 14,686.22 - 412,111.55
- = -91,446.28
- The negative number means you lived in the home for 30 years and left it in
- the 30th year with a profit; i.e., you were paid to live there.
-
- Long-term example #4: all numbers the same BUT the home appreciates 2%/year.
- Step 4 now comes out FV=264,075.30 and PV=68,632.02
- Final = 10,000 + 325,351.49 - 14,686.22 - 68,632.02
- = 252,033.25
- In this case of poor appreciation, home ownership cost 252k in today's money,
- or about 700/month. If you could have rented for that, you'd be even.
-
- Short-term example #1: all numbers the same as Long-term example #1, but you
- sell the home after 2 years. Future home value in 2 years is 163,438.17
- Cost = down&cc + all-pymts - tax-savgs - pv(fut-home-value - remaining debt)
- = 10,000 + 31,849.52 - 4,156.81 - pv(163,438.17 - 137,563.91)
- = 10,000 + 31,849.52 - 4,156.81 - 23,651.27
- = 14,041.44
-
- Short-term example #2: all numbers the same as Long-term example #4, but you
- sell the home after 2 years. Future home value in 2 years is 150,912.54
- Cost = down&cc + all-pymts - tax-savgs - pv(fut-home-value - remaining debt)
- = 10,000 + 31,849.52 - 4,156.81 - pv(150912.54 - 137,563.91)
- = 10,000 + 31,849.52 - 4,156.81 - 12,201.78
- = 25,490.93
-
-
- Some closing comments:
-
- Once again, the three important factors that affect the analysis the most
- are cash flows, term, and appreciation. If the relative cash flows are
- basically the same, then the other two factors affect the analysis the most.
-
- The longer you hold the house, the less appreciation you need to beat renting.
- This relationship always holds, however, the scale changes. For shorter
- holding periods you also face a risk of market downturn. If there is a
- substantial risk of a market downturn you shouldn't buy a house unless you
- are willing to hold the house for a long period.
-
- If you have a nice cheap rent controlled appartment, then you should probably
- not buy.
-
- There are other variables that affect the analysis, for example, the inflation
- rate. If the inflation rate increases, the rental scenario tends to get much
- worse, while the ownership scenario tends to look better.
-
- Question: Is it true that you can usually rent for less than buying?
-
- Answer 1: It depends. It isn't a binary state. It is a fairly complex set
- of relationships.
-
- In large metropolitan areas, where real estate is generally much more expensive
- then it is usually better to rent, unless you get a good appreciation rate or
- if you are going to own for a long period of time. It depends on what you can
- rent and what you can buy. In other areas, where real estate is relatively
- cheap, I would say it is probably better to own.
-
- On the other hand, if you are currently at a market peak and the country is
- about to go into a recession it is better to rent and let property values and
- rent fall. If you are currently at the bottom of the market and the economy
- is getting better then it is better to own.
-
- Answer 2: When you rent from somebody, you are paying that person to assume
- the risk of homeownership. Landlords are renting out property with the long
- term goal of making money. They aren't renting out property because they want
- to do their renters any special favors. This suggests to me that it is
- generally better to own.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Regulation - Money-Supply Measures M1, M2, and M3
- Last-Revised: 11 Dec 1992
- From: merritt@macro.bu.edu
-
- M1: Money that can be spent immediately. Includes cash, checking accounts,
- and NOW accounts.
-
- M2: M1 + assets invested for the short term. These assets include money-
- market accounts and money-market mutual funds.
-
- M3: M2 + big deposits. Big deposits include institutional money-market
- funds and agreements among banks.
-
- "Modern Money Mechanics," which explains M1, M2, and M3 in gory detail,
- is available free from:
- Public Information Center
- Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
- P.O. Box 834
- Chicago, Illinois 60690
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Regulation - Federal Reserve and Interest Rates
- Last-Revised: 8 May 1994
- From: 0009655@hac.com, bhatt@ticipa.pac.sc.ti.com, dprnxb@inetg1.ARCO.COM,
- joelau@panix.com
-
- This article discusses the interest rates which are managed or
- influenced by the US Federal Reserve Bank, a collective term for
- the collection of Federal Reserve Banks across the country.
-
- The Discount Rate is the interest rate charged by the Federal Reserve
- when banks borrow "overnight" from the Fed. The discount rate is
- under the direct control of the Fed. The discount rate is always
- lower than the Federal Funds Rate (see below). Generally only large
- banks borrow directly from the Fed, and thus get the benefit of being
- able to borrow at the lower discount rate. As of May 1994, the
- discount rate was at 3.00%.
-
- The Federal Funds Rate is the interest rate charged by banks when
- banks borrow "overnight" from each other. The funds rate fluctuates
- according to supply and demand and is not under the direct control of
- the Fed, but is strongly influenced by the Fed's actions. As of May
- 1994, the target funds rate is 3.75%; the actual rate varies above and
- below that figure. Fed actions in 1&2Q94 have focused on this rate.
-
- The Fed adjusts the funds rate via "open market operations". What
- actually happens is that the Fed sells US treasury securities to
- banks. As a result, the bank reserves at the Fed drop. Given that
- banks have to maintain at the Fed a certain level of required reserves
- based on their demand deposits (checking accounts), they end up
- borrowing more from each other to cover their short position at the
- Fed. The resulting pressure on intrabank lending funds drives the
- funds rate up.
-
- The Fed has no idea of how many billions of US treasuries it needs to
- sell in order for the funds rate to reach the Fed's target. It goes
- by trial and error. That's why it takes a few days for the funds rate
- to adjust to the new target following an announcement.
-
- Adjustments in the discount rate usually lag behind changes in the
- funds rate. Once the spread between the two rates gets too large
- (meaning fat profits for the big banks which routinely borrow from the
- Fed at the discount rate and lend to smaller banks at the funds rate)
- the Fed moves to adjust the discount rate accordingly. It usually
- happens when the spread reaches about 1%.
-
- Another interest rate of significant interest is the Prime Rate,
- the interest that a bank charges its "best" customers. There is no
- single prime rate, but the commercial banks generally offer the same
- prime rate. The Fed does not adjust a bank's prime rate directly,
- but indirectly. The change in discount rates will affect the prime
- rate.
-
- For an in-depth look at the Federal Reserve, read _Secrets of the temple:
- how the Federal Reserve runs the country_, by William Greider.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Regulation - Securities and Exchange Commission (U.S.)
- Last-revised: 4 Jun 1994
- From: dennis@netcom.com
-
- Just in case you want to ask questions, complain about your broker,
- or whatever, here's the vital information:
-
- Securities and Exchange Commission
- 450 5th Street, N. W.
- Washington, DC 20549
-
- Office of Public Affairs: +1 202 272-2650
- Office of Consumer Affairs: +1 202 272-7440
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Regulation - SIPC, or How to Survive a Bankrupt Broker
- Last-Revised: 1 Sep 1994
- From: Arthur.S.Kamlet@att.com, barrett@asgard.cs.colorado.edu
-
- The U.S. Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC) is a federally
- chartered private corporation whose job is to insure shareholders against
- the situation of a U.S. stock-broker going bankrupt.
-
- The National Association of Security Dealers requires all of their
- member brokers to have SIPC insurance. Many brokers supplement the
- limits that SIPC insures ($100,000 cash and $500,000 total, I think--
- I could be wrong here) with additional policies so you are covered up
- to $1 million or more.
-
- If you deal with discount houses, all brokerages, their clearing agents,
- and any holding companies they have which can be holding your assets
- in street-name had better be insured with the S.I.P.C. You're going
- to be paying an SEC tax (about US$3.00) on any trade you make anywhere,
- so make sure your getting the benefit; if a broker goes bankrupt it's
- the only thing that prevents a total loss. Investigate thoroughly!
-
- The bottom line is that you should not do business with any broker who
- is not insured by the SIPC.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Retirement Plan - 401(k)
- Last-Revised: 7 Jan 1995
- From: nieters@crd.ge.com, dolson@baldy.den.mmc.com
-
- A 401(k) plan is an employee-funded, retirement savings plan. It
- takes its name from the section of the Internal Revenue Code of
- 1986 which created these plans. An employer will typically match
- a certain percent of the amount contributed to the plan by the
- employee, up to some maximum. Note: I have been looking at my 401(k)
- in pretty good detail lately, but this article is subject to my
- standard disclaimer that I'm not responsible for errors or poor advice.
-
- Example: the employee can contribute up to 7% of gross pay to the
- fund, and the company matches this money at 50%. Total
- contribution to the plan is 10.5% of the employee's salary.
-
- Pre-tax contributions: Employees have the option of making all or part
- of their contributions from pre-tax (gross) income. This has the added
- benefit of reducing the amount of tax paid by the employee from each
- check now and deferring it until you take this pre-tax money out of
- the plan. Both the employer contribution (if any) and any growth of
- the fund compound tax-free until age 59-1/2, when the employee is
- eligible to receive distributions from the plan.
-
- Pre-tax note: Current law allows up to a maximum of 15% to be deducted
- from your pay before federal income and (in most places) state or local
- income taxes are calculated. There are IRS rules which regulate
- withdrawals of pre-tax contributions and which place limits on pre-tax
- contributions; these affect how much you can save.
-
- After-tax contributions: If you elect to save any of your contributions
- on an after-tax basis, the contribution comes out of your pay after
- taxes are deducted. While it doesn't help your current tax situation,
- these funds may be easier to withdraw since they are not subject to the
- strict IRS rules which apply to pre-tax contributions. Later, when
- you receive a distribution from the 401(k), you pay no tax on the
- portion of your distribution attributed to after-tax contributions.
-
- Contribution limits: IRS rules won't allow contributions on pay over
- a certain amount (limit was $228,860 in 1992, and is subject to change).
- The IRS also limits how much total pre-tax pay you can contribute
- (limit was $8,728 in pre-tax money in 1992, and is subject to change).
- Employees who are defined as "highly compensated" by the IRS (salary
- over $60,535 in 1992 - again, subject to change) may not be allowed to
- save at the maximum rates. Your benefits department should notify you
- if you are affected. Finally, the IRS limits the total amount contributed
- to your 401(k) and pension plans each year to the lesser of some amount
- ($30,000 in 1992, and subject to change of course) or 25% of your annual
- compensation. This is generally taken to mean the amount of taxable
- income reported on your W-2 form(s).
-
- Advantages: Since the employee is allowed to contribute to his/her
- 401(k) with pre-tax money, it reduces the amount of tax paid out of
- each pay check. All employer contributions and fund gains (or losses)
- grow tax-free until age 59-1/2. The employee can decide where to
- direct future contributions and/or current savings. If your company
- matches your contributions, it's like getting extra money on top of
- your salary. The compounding effect of consistent periodic contributions
- over the period of 20 or 30 years is quite dramatic. Because the
- program is a personal investment program for you, the benefits may
- not be used as security for loans outside the program. This includes
- the additional protection of the funds from garnishment or attachment
- by creditors or assigned to anyone else except in the case of domestic
- relations court cases dealing with divorce decree or child support
- orders. While the 401(k) is similar in nature to an IRA, an IRA won't
- enjoy any matching company contributions, and personal IRA contributions
- are subject to various limitations; see the article about IRA's elsewhere
- in this FAQ.
-
- Disadvantages: It is "difficult" (or at least expensive) to access
- your 401(k) savings before age 59-1/2 (see next section). 401(k) plans
- don't have the luxury of being insured by the Pension Benefit Guaranty
- Corporation (PBGC). (But then again, some pensions don't enjoy this
- luxury either.)
-
- Investments: A 401(k) should have available different investment
- options. These funds usually include a money market, bond funds of
- varying maturities (short, intermediate, long term), company stock,
- mutual fund, US Series EE Savings Bonds, and others. The employee
- chooses how to invest the savings and is typically allowed to change
- where current savings are invested and/or where future contributions
- will go a specific number of times a year. This may be quarterly,
- bi-monthly, or some similar time period. The employee is also
- typically allowed to stop contributions at any time.
-
- Accessing savings before age 59-1/2: It is legal to take a loan from
- your 401(k) before age 59-1/2 for certain reasons including hardship
- loans, buying a house, or paying for education. When a loan is obtained,
- you must pay the loan back with regular payments (these can be set up
- as payroll deductions) but you are, in effect, paying yourself back
- both the principal and the interest, not a bank. If you take a
- withdrawal from your 401(k) as money other than a loan, not only must
- you pay tax on any pre-tax contributions and on the growth, you must
- also pay an additional 10% penalty to the government. In short, you
- can get the money out of your 401(k) before age 59-1/2 for something
- other than a loan, but it is expensive to do so.
-
- Accessing savings after age 59-1/2: At age 59-1/2 you are allowed to
- access your 401(k) savings. This can be done as a lump sum distribution
- or as annual installments. If you choose the latter, money not withdrawn
- from the 401(k) can continue to grow in the fund. 401(k) distributions
- are separate from pension funds.
-
- Changing jobs: Since a 401(k) is a company administered plan, if you
- change or lose jobs, this can affect your savings. Different companies
- handle this situation in different ways. Some will allow you to keep
- your savings in the program until age 59-1/2. This is the simplest
- idea. Others will require you to take the money out. Things get more
- complicated here. Your new company may allow you to make a "rollover"
- contribution to its 401(k) which would let you take all the 401(k)
- savings from your old job and put them into your new company's plan.
- If this is not a possibility, you may have to look into an IRA or other
- retirement account to put the funds.
-
- Whatever you do regarding rollovers, BE EXTREMELY CAREFUL!! This can
- not be emphasized enough. Recent legislation by Congress has added a
- twist to the rollover procedures. It used to be that you could receive
- the rollover money in the form of a check made out to you and you had
- a period of time (60 days) to roll this cash into a new retirement
- account (either 401(k) or IRA). Now, however, employees taking a
- withdrawal have the opportunity to make a "direct rollover" of the
- taxable amount of a 401(k) to a new plan. This means the check goes
- directly from your old company to your new company (or new plan).
- If this is done (ie. you never "touch" the money), no tax is withheld
- or owed on the direct rollover amount.
-
- If the direct rollover option is not chosen, i.e., a check goes through
- your grubby little hands, the withdrawal is immediately subject to a
- mandatory tax withholding of 20% of the taxable portion, which the old
- company is required to ship off to the IRS. The remaining 80% must be
- rolled over within 60 days to a new retirement account or else is is
- subject to the 10% tax mentioned above. The 20% mandatory withholding
- is supposed to cover possible taxes on your withdrawal, and can be
- recovered using a special form filed with your next tax return to the IRS.
- If you forget to file that form, however, the 20% is lost. Naturally,
- there is a catch. The 20% withheld must *also* be rolled into a new
- retirement account within 60 days, out of your own pocket, or it will be
- considered withdrawn and subject to the 10% tax. Check with your benefits
- department if you choose to do any type of rollover of your 401(k) funds.
-
- Here's an example to clarify an indirect rollover. Let us suppose that you
- have $10,000 in a 401k, and that you withdraw the money with the intention
- of rolling it over - no direct transfer. Under current law you will receive
- $8,000 and the IRS will receive $2,000 against possible taxes on your
- withdrawal. To maintain tax-exempt status on the money, $10,000 has to
- be put into a new retirement plan within 60 days. The immediate problem is
- that you only have $8,000 in hand, and can't get the $2,000 until you file
- your taxes next year. What you can do is:
- 1. Find $2,000 from somewhere else. Maybe sell your car.
- 2. Roll over $8,000. The $2,000 then loses its tax status and you
- will owe income tax and the 10% tax on it.
-
- Epilogue: If you have been in an employee contributed retirement plan
- since before 1986, some of the rules may be different on those funds
- invested pre-1986. Consult your benefits department for more details,
-
- Expert (sic) opinions from financial advisors typically say that
- the average 401(k) participant is not aggressive enough with their
- investment options. Historically, stocks have outperformed all other
- forms of investment and will probably continue to do so. Since the
- investment period of 401(k) savings is relatively long - 20 to 40
- years - this will minimize the daily fluctuations of the market and
- allow a "buy and hold" strategy to pay off. As you near retirement,
- you might want to switch your investments to more conservative funds
- to preserve their value.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Retirement Plan - IRA
- Last-Revised: 17 Aug 1994
- From: lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- An individual retirement arrangement (IRA) is a plan that allows a
- person, whether covered by a pension plan or not, to save towards
- his/her retirement while allowing the savings to grow tax-free.
- Funds in an IRA may be invested in a broad variety of vehicles
- (stocks, bonds, etc.) but there are limitations on investments
- (no options trading or buying land).
-
- Contributions are limited, and the limits are quite low in comparison
- to other retirement plans such as a 401(k). Depending on a person's
- income and coverage by a retirement plan, the IRA contributions may
- additionally be deducted from one's gross income, thereby reducing
- the amount of income subject to taxation.
-
- Limits on contribution: Each individual may contribute the *lesser*
- of US$2,000 or the amount of wage income from US sources. Married
- couples with only one wage earner may contribute to a second IRA
- account called a "spousal IRA." The limit on contributions to both
- the primary and spousal accounts is US$2,250 total, and naturally
- the US$2,000 ceiling still applies (e.g., $1 & $2,249 is not allowed).
-
- Limits on deduction: You may be able to deduct your entire IRA
- contribution, but this depends on your gross income and whether you
- *or* your spouse are/is covered by a pension plan at work. These
- are the 1993 limits for a married couple filing jointly:
-
- Neither spouse covered by a retirement plan: fully deductible.
-
- One or both are covered by a retirement plan:
- Income <40k: fully deductible
- 40-50k: partially deductible
- >50k: not deductible
-
- The IRS is pretty bone-headed about their definition of being
- "covered" by a pension plan. If you work for a company for just
- one day in a tax year, and that company offers its employees a
- pension plan, then even if you were not vested in that plan, did not
- contribute, and will never see a penny from them, the IRS considers
- you to be covered by a pension plan in that tax year.
-
- The US Congress has been toying for years with various proposals to
- loosen IRA restrictions. Among other things, they have mentioned
- using IRA monies to pay for college, to finance a first-time home
- purchase, etc. However, as of this writing, none of those proposals
- are law.
-
- There is currently a 10% penalty on withdrawals before age 59 1/2.
- There are various provisions for excess contributions and other
- problems. Withdrawals from an IRA must begin by age 70 1/2.
- Order IRS Publication 590 for complete information.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Retirement Plan - SEP-IRA
- Last-Revised: 30 Mar 1994
- From: lupin@weitek.com
-
- A simplified employee pension (SEP) IRA is a written plan that allows an
- employer to make contributions toward his or her own (if self-employed)
- or employees' retirement, without becoming involved in more complex
- retirement plans (such as Keoghs).
-
- Contributions are deductible from income in the year paid or for the
- prior year up until the tax return deadline, including extensions. The
- contribution limit is 15% of net earnings, or $30,000, whichever is
- less. However, for self-employed persons the deduction affects the
- income and thus only 13.0435% (15%/115%) may be contributed. A
- nondeductible penalty tax of 6% of the excess amount contributed will
- be incurred for each year in which the excess contribution remains in
- your SEP-IRA.
-
- A SEP-IRA is established much like a regular IRA through stock brokers
- or mutual funds and may be invested in the same manner as an individual
- IRA. See IRS Publication 560 for additional information.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Compilation Copyright (c) 1994 by Christopher Lott, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
- --
- "Christopher Lott / Email: lott@informatik.uni-kl.de / Tel: +49 (631) 205-3334"
- " Address: FB Informatik - Bau 57 / Universitaet KL / D--67653 Kaiserslautern "
- " World-wide web: http://uomo.informatik.uni-kl.de:2080/Personalia/cml.html "
- Archive-name: investment-faq/general/part5
- Version: $Id: faq-p5,v 1.22 1995/01/26 07:55:14 lott Exp lott $
- Compiler: Christopher Lott, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- This is the general FAQ for misc.invest, part 5 of 6.
-
- Compilation copyright (c) 1994 by Christopher Lott. Use and copying
- of this information, distribution of the information on electronic
- media, and preparation of derivative works based upon this information
- are permitted, so long as the following conditions are met:
- + No fees or compensation are charged for this information,
- excluding charges for the media used to distribute it.
- + Proper attribution is given to the authors of individual articles.
- + This copyright notice is included intact.
-
- Disclaimer: This information is made available AS IS, and no
- warranty is made about its quality or correctness.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Stocks - Basics
- Last-Revised: 26 Aug 1994
- From: a_s_kamlet@att.com, lupin@weitek.COM
-
- Perhaps we should start by looking at the basics: What is stock?
- Why does a company issue stock? Why do investors pay good money
- for little pieces of paper called stock certificates? What do
- investors look for? What about Value Line ratings and what about
- dividends?
-
- To start with, if a company wants to raise capital (money) one of
- its options is to issue stock. It has other methods, such as
- issuing bonds and getting a loan from the bank. But stock raises
- capital without creating debt, without creating a legal obligation
- to repay those funds.
-
- What do they buyers of the stock -- the new owners of the company --
- expect for their investment? The popular answer, the answer many
- people would give is: they expect to make lots of money, they expect
- other people to pay them more than they paid themselves. Well, that
- doesn't just happen randomly or by chance (well, maybe sometimes it
- does, who knows?)
-
- The less popular, less simple answer is: shareholders -- the
- company's owners -- expect their investment to earn more, for
- the company, than other forms of investment. If that happens, if
- the return on investment is high, the price tends to increase. Why?
-
- Who really knows? But it is true that within an industry the
- Price/Earnings ratio tends to stay within a narrow range over any
- reasonable period of time -- measured in months or a year or so.
-
- So if the earnings go up, the price goes up. And investors look for
- companies whose earnings are likely to go up. How much?
-
- There's a number -- the accountants call it Shareholder Equity --
- that in some magical sense represents the amount of money the
- investors have invested in the company. I say magical because while
- it translates to (Assets - Liabilities) there is often a lot of
- accounting trickery that goes into determining Assets and
- Liabilities.
-
- But looking at Shareholder Equity, (and dividing that by the number
- of shares held to get the book value per share) if a company is
- able to earn, say, $1.50 on a stock whose book value is $10,
- that's a 15% return. That's actually a good return these days, much
- better than you can get in a bank or C/D or Treasury bond, and so
- people might be more encouraged to buy, while sellers are anxious to
- hold on. So the price might be bid up to the point where sellers
- might be persuaded to sell.
-
- What about dividends? Dividends are certainly more tangible income
- than potential earnings increases and stock price increases, so what
- does it mean when a dividend is non-existent or very low? And what
- do people mean when they talk about a stock's yield?
-
- To begin with the easy question first, the yield is the annual dividend
- divided by the stock price. For example, if company XYZ is paying $.25
- per quarter ($1.00 per year) and XYZ is trading at $10 per share, the
- yield is 10%.
-
- A company paying no or low dividends (zero or low yield) is really
- saying to its investors -- its owners, "We believe we can earn more,
- and return more value to shareholders by retaining the earnings, by
- putting that money to work, than by paying it out and not having it
- to invest in new plant or goods or salaries." And having said that,
- they are expected to earn a good return on not only their previous
- equity, but on the increased equity represented by retained earnings.
-
- So a company whose book value last year was $10 and who retains its
- entire $1.50 earnings, increases its book value to 11.50 less
- certain expenses. That increased book value - let's say it is now
- $11 -- means the company must earn at least $1.65 this year just
- to keep up with its 15% return on equity. If the company earns
- $1.80, the owners have indeed made a good investment, and other
- investors, seeking to get in on a good thing, bid up the price.
-
- That's the theory anyway. In spite of that, many investors still
- buy or sell based on what some commentator says or on announcement
- of a new product or on the hiring (or resignation) of a key officer,
- or on general sexiness of the company's products. And that will
- always happen.
-
- What is the moral of all this: Look at a company's financials,
- look at the Value Line and S&P charts and recommendations, do some
- homework before buying.
-
- Does Value Line and S&P take the actual dividend into account
- when issuing its "Timeliness" and "Safety" ratings? Not exactly.
- They report it, but their ratings are primarily based on earnings
- potential, performance in their industry, past history, and a few
- other factors. (I don't think anyone knows all the other factors.
- That's why people pay for the ratings.)
-
- Can a stock broker be relied on to provide well-analyzed, well
- thought out information and recommendations? Yes and no.
-
- On the one hand, a stock broker is in business to sell you stock.
- Would you trust a used-car dealer to carefully analyze the
- available cars and sell you the best car for the best price?
- Then why would you trust a broker to do the same?
-
- On the other hand, there are people who get paid to analyze company
- financial positions and make carefully thought out recommendations,
- sometimes to buy or to hold or to sell stock. While many of these
- folks work in the "research" departments of full-service brokers,
- some work for Value Line, S&P etc, and have less of an axe to grind.
- Brokers who rely on this information really do have solid grounding
- behind their recommendations.
-
- Probably the best people to listen to are those who make investment
- decisions for the largest of Mutual Funds, although the investment
- decisions are often after the fact, and announced 4 times a year.
-
- An even better source would be those who make investment decisions
- for the very large pension funds, which have more money invested
- than most mutual funds. Unfortunately that information is often
- less available. If you can catch one of these people on CNN for
- example, that could be interesting.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Stocks - American Depository Receipts (ADRs)
- Last-Revised: 11 Dec 1992
- From: ask@cbnews.cb.att.com
-
- An American Depository Receipt (ADR) is a share of stock of an investment
- in shares of a non-US corporation.
-
- For example, BigCitibank might purchase 25 million shares of a non-US
- stock. Call it EuroGlom Corporation (EGC). Perhaps EGC trades on the
- Paris exchange, where BigCitibank bought them. BigCitibank would then
- register with the SEC and offer for sale shares of EGC ADRs.
-
- EGC ADRs are valued in dollars, and BigCitibank could apply to the
- NYSE to list them. In effect, they are repackaged EGC shares, backed
- by EGC shares owned by BigCitibank, and they would then trade like any
- other stock on the NYSE.
-
- BigCitibank would take a management fee for their efforts, and the
- number of EGC shares represented by EGC ADRs would effectively
- decrease, so the price would go down a slight amount; or EGC itself
- might pay BigCitibank their fee in return for helping to establish a
- US market for EGC. Naturally, currency fluctuations will affect the
- US Dollar price of the ADR.
-
- Dividends paid by EGC are received by BigCitibank and distributed
- proportionally to EGC ADR holders. If EGC withholds (foreign) tax on
- the dividends before this distribution, then BigCitibank will withhold
- a proportional amount before distributing the dividend to ADR holders,
- and will report on a Form 1099-Div both the gross dividend and the
- amount of foreign tax withheld.
-
- Most of the time the foreign nation permits US holders (BigCitibank in
- this case) to vote their shares on all or most issues, and ADR holders
- will receive ballots which will be received by BigCitibank and voted in
- proportion to ADR Shareholder's vote. I don't know if BigCitibank has
- the option of voting shares which ADR holders failed to vote.
-
- Having said this, however, for the most part ADRs look and feel pretty
- much like any other stock.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Stocks - Dividends
- Last-Revised: 22 Mar 1993
- From: ask@cblph.att.com
-
- A company may periodically declare cash and/or stock dividends.
- This article deals with cash dividends on common stock. Two
- paragraphs also discuss dividends on Mutual Fund shares. A
- separate article elsewhere in this FAQ discusses stock splits
- and stock dividends.
-
- The Board of Directors of a company decides if it will declare a
- dividend, how often it will declare it, and the dates associated
- with the dividend. Quarterly payment of dividends is very common,
- annually or semiannually is less common, and many companies don't
- pay dividends at all. Other companies from time to time will
- declare an extra or special dividend. Mutual funds sometimes
- declare a year-end dividend and maybe one or more other dividends.
-
- If the Board declares a dividend, it will announce that the dividend
- (of a set amount) will be paid to shareholders of record as of the
- RECORD DATE and will be paid or distributed on the DISTRIBUTION
- DATE (sometimes called the Payable Date).
-
- In order to be a shareholder of record on the RECORD DATE you must
- own the shares on that date (when the books close for that day).
- Since virtually all stock trades by brokers on exchanges are
- settled in 5 (business) days, you must buy the shares at least
- 5 days before the RECORD DATE in order to be the shareholder of
- record on the RECORD DATE. So the (RECORD DATE - 5 days) is the
- day that the shareholder of record needs to own the stock to
- collect the dividend. He can sell it the very next day and still
- get the dividend.
-
- If you bought it at least 5 business days before the RECORD date
- and still owned it at the end of the RECORD DATE, you get the
- dividend. (Even if you ask your broker to sell it the day after
- the (RECORD DATE - 5 days), it will not have settled until after
- the RECORD DATE so you will own it on the RECORD DATE.)
-
- So someone who buys the stock on the (RECORD DATE - 4 days) does
- not get the dividend. A stock paying a 50c quarterly dividend might
- well be expected to trade for 50c less on that date, all things
- being equal. In other words, it trades for its previous price,
- EXcept for the DIVidend. So the (RECORD DATE - 4 days) is often
- called the EX-DIV date. In the financial listings, that is
- indicated by an x.
-
- How can you try to predict what the dividend will be before it is
- declared?
-
- Many companies declare regular dividends every quarter, so if you
- look at the last dividend paid, you can guess the next dividend
- will be the same. Exception: when the Board of IBM, for example,
- announces it can no longer guarantee to maintain the dividend, you
- might well expect the dividend to drop, drastically, next quarter.
- The financial listings in the newspapers show the expected annual
- dividend, and other listings show the dividends declared by Boards
- of directors the previous day, along with their dates.
-
- Other companies declare less regular dividends, so try to look at
- how well the company seems to be doing. Companies whose shares
- trade as ADRs (American Depository Receipts -- see article elsewhere
- in this FAQ) are very dependent on currency market fluctuations, so
- will pay differing amounts from time to time.
-
- Some companies may be temporarily prohibited from paying dividends
- on their common stock, usually because they have missed payments on
- their bonds and/or preferred stock.
-
- On the DISTRIBUTION DATE shareholders of record on the RECORD date
- will get the dividend. If you own the shares yourself, the company
- will mail you a check. If you participate in a DRIP (Dividend
- ReInvestment Plan, see article on DRIPs elsewhere in this FAQ) and
- elect to reinvest the dividend, you will have the dividend credited
- to your DRIP account and purchase shares, and if your stock is held
- by your broker for you, the broker will receive the dividend from
- the company and credit it to your account.
-
- Dividends on preferred stock work very much like common stock,
- except they are much more predictable.
-
- Tax implications:
-
- Some Mutual Funds may delay paying their year-end dividend until
- early January. However, the IRS requires that those dividends be
- constructively paid at the end of the previous year. So in these
- cases, you might find that a dividend paid in January was included
- in the previous year's 1099-DIV.
-
- Sometime before January 31 of the next year, whoever paid the
- dividend will send you and the IRS a Form 1099-DIV to help you
- report this dividend income to the IRS.
-
- Sometimes -- often with Mutual Funds -- a portion of the dividend
- might be treated as a non-taxable distribution or as a capital gains
- distribution. The 1099-DIV will list the Gross Dividends (in line 1a)
- and will also list any non-taxable and capital gains distributions.
- Enter the Gross Dividends (line 1a) on Schedule B.
-
- Subtract the non-taxable distributions as shown on Schedule B
- and decrease your cost basis in that stock by the amount of
- non-taxable distributions (but not below a cost basis of zero --
- you can deduct non-taxable distributions only while the running
- cost basis is positive.) Deduct the capital gains distributions
- as shown on Schedule B, and then add them back in on Schedule D if
- you file Schedule D, else on the front of Form 1040.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Stocks - Dramatic Price Changes
- Last-Revised: 18 Sep 1994
- From: lwest@futserv.austin.ibm.com, suhre@trwrb.dsd.trw.com, fahad@cs.pitt.edu
-
- One frequently asked question is "Why did &my_stock go [down][up] by
- &large_amount in the past &short_time?"
-
- The purpose of this answer is not to discourage you from asking this
- question in misc.invest, although if you ask without having done any
- homework, you may receive a gentle barb or two. Rather, one purpose
- is to inform you that you may not get an answer because in many cases
- no one knows.
-
- Stocks surge for a variety of reasons ranging from good company news,
- improving investors' sentiment, to general economic conditions. The
- equation which determines the price of a stock is extremely simple,
- even trivial. When there are more people interested in buying than
- there are people interested in selling, possibly as a result of one or
- more of the reasons mentioned above, the price rises. When there are
- more sellers than buyers, the price falls. The difficult question to
- answer is, what accounts for the variations in demand and supply for a
- particular stock? Naturally, if all (or most) people knew why a stock
- surges, we would soon have a lot of extremely rich people who simply
- use that knowledge to buy and sell different stocks.
-
- However, stocks often lurch upward and downward by sizable amounts
- with no apparent reason, sometimes with no fundamental change in the
- underlying company. If this happens to your stock and you can find no
- reason, you should merely use this event to alert you to watch the
- stock more closely for a month or two. The zig (or zag) may have
- meaning, or it may have merely been a burp.
-
- A related question is whether stock XYZ, which used to trade at 40 and
- just dropped to 25, is good buy. The answer is, possibly. Buying
- stocks just because they look "cheap" isn't generally a good idea.
- All too often they look cheaper later on. (IBM looked "cheap" at 80
- in 1991 after it declined from 140 or so. The stock finally bottomed
- in the 40's. Amgen slid from 78 to the low 30's in about 6 months,
- looking "cheap" along the way.) Technical analysis principles suggest
- to wait for XYZ to demonstrate that it has quit going down and is
- showing some sign of strength, perhaps purchasing in the 28 range.
- If you are expecting a return to 40, you can give up a few points
- initially. If your fundamental analysis shows 25 to be an undervalued
- price, you might enter in. Rarely do stocks have a big decline and a
- big move back up in the space of a few days. You will almost surely
- have time to wait and see if the market agrees with your valuation
- before you purchase.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Stocks - Types of Indexes
- Last-Revised: 11 Dec 1992
- From: susant@usc.edu
-
- There are three major classes of indices in use today in the US. They are:
-
- A - equally weighted price index
- (an example is the Dow Jones Industrial Average)
- B - market-capitalization-weighted index
- (an example is the S&P Industrial Average)
- C - equally-weighted returns index
- (the only one of its kind is the Value-Line index)
-
- Of these, A and B are widely used. All my profs in the business school
- claim that C is very weird and don't emphasize it too much.
-
- + Type A index: As the name suggests, the index is calculated by taking the
- average of the prices of a set of companies:
-
- Index = Sum(Prices of N companies) / divisor
-
- In this calculation, two questions crop up:
-
- 1. What is "N"? The DJIA takes the 30 large "blue-chip" companies. Why 30?
- I think it's more a historical hangover than any thing else. One rationale
- for 30 might be that a large fraction of market capitalization is often
- clustered in largest 50 companies or so.
-
- Does the set of N companies change across time? If so, how often is the
- list updated (wrt companies)? I suspect these decisions are quite
- judgemental and hence not readily replicable.
-
- If the DJIA only has 30 companies, how do we select these 30? Why should
- they have equal weights? These are real criticisms of the DJIA type index.
-
- 2. The divisor is not always equal to N for N companies. What happens to
- the index when there is a stock issue by one of the companies in the set?
- The price drops, but the number of shares have increased to leave the market
- capitalization of the shares the same. Since the index does not take the
- latter into account, it has to compensate for the drop in price by tweaking
- the divisor. For examples on this, look at pg. 61 of Bodie, Kane, & Marcus,
- _Investments_ (henceforth, BKM).
-
- Historically, this index format was computationally convenient. It doesn't
- have a very sound economic basis to justify it's existence today. The DJIA
- is widely cited on the evening news, but not used by real finance folks.
-
- I have an intuition that the DJIA type index will actually be BAD if the
- number of companies is very large. If it's to make any sense at all, it
- should be very few "brilliantly" chosen companies.
-
- + Type B index: In this index, each of the N company's price is weighted by
- the market capitalization of the company.
-
- Sum (Company market capitalization * Price) over N companies
- Index = ------------------------------------------------------------
- Market capitalisation for these N companies
-
- Here you do not take into account the dividend data, so effectively you're
- tracking the short-run capital gains of the market.
-
- Practical questions regarding this index:
-
- 1. What is "N"? I would use the largest N possible to get as close to the
- "full" market as possible. BTW in the US there are companies who make a
- living on only calculating extremely complete value-weighted indexes for
- the NYSE and foreign markets. CMIE should sell a very-complete value-weighted
- index to some such folks.
-
- Why does S&P use 500? Once again, I'm guessing that it's for historical
- reasons when computation over 20,000 companies every day was difficult and
- because of the concentration of market capitalization in the largest lot
- of companies. Today, computation over 20k companies for a Sun workstation
- is no problem, so the S&P idea is obsolete.
-
- 2. How to deal with companies entering and exiting the index? If we're
- doing an index containing "every single company possible" then the answer
- to this question is easy -- each time a company enters or exits we recalculate
- all weights. But if we're a value-weighted index like the S&P500 (where there
- are only 500 companies) it's a problem. Recently Wang went bankrupt and S&P
- decided to replace them by Sun -- how do you justify such choices?
-
- The value weighted index is superior to the DJIA type index for deep reasons.
- Anyone doing modern finance will not use the DJIA type index. A glimmer of
- the reasoning for this is as follows: If I held a portfolio with equal number
- of shares of each of the 30 DJIA companies then the DJIA index would accurately
- reflect my capital gains. BUT we know that it is possible to find a portfolio
- which has the same returns as the DJIA portfolio but at a smaller risk.
- (This is a mathematical fact).
-
- Thus, by definition, nobody is ever going to own a DJIA portfolio. In
- contrast, there is a extremely good interpretation for the value weighted
- portfolio -- it's the highest returns you can get for it's level of risk.
- Thus you would have good reason for owning a value-weighted market portfolio,
- thus justifying it's index.
-
- Yet another intuition about the value-weighted index -- a smart investor is
- not going to ever buy equal number of shares of a given set of companies,
- which is what index type a. tracks. If you take into consideration that the
- price movements of companies are correlated with others, you are going to
- hedge your returns by buying different proportions of company shares. This
- is in effect what the index type B does and this is why it is a smarter index
- to follow.
-
- One very neat property of this kind of index is that it is readily applied to
- industry indices. Thus you can simply apply the above formula to all machine
- tool companies, and you get a machine tool index. This industry-index is
- conceptually sound, with excellent interpretations. Thus on a day when the
- market index goes up 6%, if machine tools goes up 10%, you know the market
- found some good news on machine tools.
-
- + Type C index: Here the index is the average of the returns of a certain
- set of companies. Value Line publishes two versions of it:
-
- * the arithmetic index : (VLAI/N) = 1 * Sum(N returns)
- * the geometric index : VLGI = {Product(1 + return) over N}^{1/n},
- which is just the geometric mean of the N returns.
-
- Notice that these indices imply that the dollar value on each company has
- to be the same. Discussed further in BKM, pg 66.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Stocks - The Dow Jones Industrial Average
- Last-Revised: 11 Dec 1992
- From: vision@cup.portal.com, nfs@princeton.edu
-
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average is computed from the following stocks:
-
- Ticker Name
- ------ ----
- AA Alcoa
- ALD Allied Signal
- AXP American Express
- BA Boeing
- BS Bethlehem Steel
- CAT Caterpillar
- CHV Chevron
- DD Du Pont
- DIS Disney
- EK Eastman Kodak
- GE General Electric
- GM General Motors
- GT Goodyear Tire
- IBM International Business Machines
- IP International Paper
- JPM JP Morgan Bank
- KO Coca Cola
- MCD McDonalds
- MMM Minnesota Mining and Manufacturing (3M)
- MO Philip Morris
- MRK Merck
- PG Procter and Gamble
- S Sears, Roebuck
- T AT&T
- TX Texaco
- UK Union Carbide
- UTX United Technologies
- WX Westinghouse
- XON Exxon
- Z Woolworth
-
- The Dow Jones averages are computed by summing the prices of the stocks
- in the average and then dividing by a constant called the "divisor". The
- divisor for the industrial average is adjusted periodically to reflect
- splits in the stocks making up the average; the divisor was originally 30
- but has been reduced over the years to 0.462685 (as of 92-10-31). The
- current value of the divisor can be found in the Wall Street Journal
- and Barron's.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Stocks - Other Indexes
- Last-Revised: 2 Jan 1995
- From: jld1@ihlpm.att.com, pearson_steven@tandem.com, jordan@imsi.com,
- rajiv@bongo.cc.utexas.edu, r_ison@csn.org, A.B.Huggins@durham.ac.uk,
- doug_d@sdd.hp.com, dolson@baldy.den.mmc.com, sscrog@halcyon.com,
- jfriedl@nff.ncl.omron.co.jp
-
-
- US Indexes:
- -----------
-
- AMEX Composite
- A capitalization-weighted index of all stocks trading on the ASE.
-
- NASDAQ 100
- The 100 largest non-financial stocks on the NASDAQ exchange.
-
- NASDAQ Composite
- Midcap index made up of all the OTC stocks that trade on the Nasdaq
- Market System. 15% of the US market.
-
- NYSE Composite
- A capitalization-weighted index of all stocks trading on the NYSE.
-
- Russell 1000
- ?
-
- Russell 2000
- Designed to be a comprehensive representation of the U.S. small-cap
- equities market. The index consists of the smallest 2000 companies
- out of the top 3000 in domestic equity capitalization. The stocks
- range from $40M to $456M in value of outstanding shares. This index
- is capitalization weighted; i.e., it gives greater weight to stocks
- with greater market value (i.e., shares * price).
-
- Russell 3000
- The 3000 largest U.S. companies.
-
- Standard & Poor's 500
- Made up of 400 industrial stocks, 20 transportation stocks, 40 utility,
- and 40 financial. Market value (#of common shares * price per share)
- weighted. Dividend returns not included in index. Represents about
- 70% of US stock market. Cap range 73 to 75,000.
-
- Standard & Poor's 400 (aka S&P Midcap)
- Tracks 400 industrial stocks. Cap range: 85 million to 6.8 billion.
-
- Standard & Poor's 100 (and OEX)
- The S&P 100 is an index of 100 stocks. The "OEX" is the option on
- this index, one of the most heavily traded options around.
-
- Value Line Composite
- See Martin Zweig's Winning on Wall Street for a good description.
- It is a price-weighted index as opposed to a capitalization index.
- Zweig (and others) think this gives better tracking of investment
- results, since it is not over-weighted in IBM, for example, and
- most individuals are likewise not weighted by market cap in their
- portfolios (unless they buy index funds).
-
- Wilshire 5000
- All U.S. exchange-traded stocks. Contains over 6000 US stocks on NYSE,
- Amex, and NASDAQ. Includes the S&P 500. Considered by some a good
- measure of market as a whole because it includes smaller companies.
-
- Wilshire 4500
- The Wilshire 5000 minus the S&P500. About 29% of the total stock market.
- Cap range: 1 to 23,000.
-
- Non-US Indexes:
- --------------
-
- CAC-40 (France)
- The CAC-Quarante, this is 40 stocks on the Paris Stock Exchange formed
- into an index. The futures contract on this index is probably the most
- heavily traded futures contract in the world.
-
- DAX (Germany)
- ?
-
- FTSE-100 (Great Britain)
- Commonly known as 'footsie'. Consists of a weighted arithmetical
- index of 100 leading UK equities by market capitalization. Calculated
- on a minute-by-minute basis. The footsie basically represents the bulk
- of the UK market activity.
-
- Nikkei (Japan)
- "Nikkei" is an abbreviation of "nihon keizai" -- "nihon" is Japanese for
- "Japan", while "keizai" is "business, finance, economy" etc. Nikkei is
- also the name of Japan's version of the WSJ. The nikkei is sometimes
- called the "Japanese Dow," in that it is the most popular and commonly
- quoted Japanese market index.
-
- JPN
- JPN is a modified price-weighted index that measures the aggregate
- performance of 210 common stocks actively traded on the Tokyo Stock
- Exchange that are representative of a broad cross section of Japanese
- industries. Japanese prices are translated without a currency conversion,
- so the index is not directly affected by dollar/yen changes. JPN is
- closely related, but not identical, to the Nikkei Index. Options are
- traded on US exchanges.
-
- Europe, Australia, and Far-East (EAFE)
- Compiled by Morgan Stanley.
-
- [ Compiler's note: a few explanations are still missing.
- I would very much like to complete this article, please help! ]
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Stocks - Initial Public Offering (IPO)
- Last-Revised: 28 Sep 1993
- From: ask@cblph.att.com
-
- When a company whose stock is not publicly traded wants to offer
- that stock to the general public, it usually asks an "underwriter"
- to help it do this work.
-
- The underwriter is almost always an investment banking company, and
- the underwriter may put together a syndicate of several investment
- banking companies and brokers. The underwriter agrees to pay the
- issuer a certain price for a minimum number of shares, and then must
- resell those shares to buyers, often clients of the underwriting firm
- or its commercial brokerage cousin. Each member of the syndicate will
- agree to resell a certain number of shares. The underwriters charge a
- fee for their services.
-
- For example, if BigGlom Corporation (BGC) wants to offer its privately-
- held stock to the public, it may contact BigBankBrokers (BBB) to handle
- the underwriting. BGC and BBB may agree that 1 million shares of BGC
- common will be offered to the public at $10 per share. BBB's fee for
- this service will be $0.60 per share, so that BGC receives $9,400,000.
- BBB may ask several other firms to join in a syndicate and to help it
- market these shares to the public.
-
- A tentative date will be set, and a preliminary prospectus detailing
- all sorts of financial and business information will be issued by the
- issuer, usually with the underwriter's active assistance.
-
- Usually, terms and conditions of the offer are subject to change up
- until the issuer and underwriter agree to the final offer. At that
- point, the issuer releases the stock to the underwriter and the
- underwriter releases the stock to the public. It is now up to the
- underwriter to make sure those shares get sold, or else the
- underwriter is stuck with stock.
-
- The issuer and the underwriting syndicate jointly determine the price
- of a new issue. The approximate price listed in the red herring (the
- preliminary prospectus - often with words in red letters which say
- this is preliminary and the price is not yet set) may or may not be
- close to the final issue price.
-
- Consider NetManage, NETM which started trading on NASDAQ on Tuesday,
- 21 Sep 1993. The preliminary prospectus said they expected to release
- the stock at $9-10 per share. It was released at $16/share and traded
- two days later at $26+. In this case, there could have been sufficient
- demand that both the issuer (who would like to set the price as high
- as possible) and the underwriters (who receive a commission of perhaps
- 6%, but who also must resell the entire issue) agreed to issue at 16.
- If it then jumped to 26 on or slightly after opening, both parties
- underestimated demand. This happens fairly often.
-
- IPO Stock at the release price is usually not available to most of the
- public. You could certainly have asked your broker to buy you shares
- of that stock at market at opening. But it's not easy to get in on the
- IPO. You need a good relationship with a broker who belongs to the
- syndicate and can actually get their hands on some of the IPO. Usually
- that means you need a large account and good business relationship with
- that brokerage, and you have a broker who has enough influence to get
- some of that IPO.
-
- By the way, if you get a cold call from someone who has an IPO and wants
- to make you rich, my advice is to hang up. That's the sort of IPO that
- gives IPOs a bad name.
-
- Even if you that know a stock is to be released within a week, there is
- no good way to monitor the release without calling the underwriters every
- day. The underwriters are trying to line up a few large customers to
- resell the IPO to in advance of the offer, and that could go faster or
- slower than predicted. Once the IPO goes off, of course, it will start
- trading and you can get in on the open market.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Stocks - Options
- Last-Revised: 21 Sep 1994
- From: ask@cbnews.cb.att.com
-
- An option is a contract between a buyer and a seller. The option
- is connected to something, such as a listed stock, an exchange index,
- futures contracts, or real estate. For simplicity, I will discuss
- only options connected to listed stocks.
-
- The option is designated by:
- - Name of the associated stock
- - Strike price
- - Expiration date
- - The premium paid for the option, plus brokers commission.
-
- The two most popular types of options are Calls and Puts.
-
- Example: The Wall Street Journal might list an
- IBM Oct 90 Call @ $2.00
-
- Translation: This is a Call Option
-
- The company associated with it is IBM.
- (See also the price of IBM stock on the NYSE.)
-
- The strike price is $90.00 If you own this option,
- you can buy IBM @ $90.00, even if it is then trading on
- the NYSE @ $100.00 (I should be so lucky!)
-
- The option expires on the third Saturday following
- the third Friday of October, 1992.
- (an option is worthless and useless once it expires)
-
- If you want to buy the option, it will cost you $2.00
- plus brokers commissions. If you want to sell the option,
- you will get $2.00 less commissions.
-
- In general, options are written on blocks of 100s of shares. So when
- you buy "1" IBM Oct 90 Call @ $2.00 you actually are buying a contract
- to buy 100 shares of IBM @ $90 per share ($9,000) on or before the
- expiration date in October. You will pay $200 plus commission to buy
- the call.
-
- If you wish to exercise your option you call your broker and say you
- want to exercise your option. Your broker will arrange for the person
- who sold you your option (a financial fiction: A computer matches up
- buyers with sellers in a magical way) to sell you 100 shares of IBM for
- $9,000 plus commission.
-
- If you instead wish to sell (sell=write) that option you instruct your
- broker that you wish to write 1 Call IBM Oct 90s, and the very next day
- your account will be credited with $200 less commission.
-
- If IBM does not reach $90 before the call expires, the option writer
- gets to keep that $200 (less commission) If the stock does reach above
- $90, you will probably be "called."
-
- If you are called you must deliver the stock. Your broker will sell
- your IBM stock for $9000 (and charge commission). If you owned the
- stock, that's OK. If you did not own the stock your broker will buy
- the stock at market price and immediately sell it at $9000. You pay
- commissions each way.
-
- If you write a Call option and own the stock that's called "Covered
- Call Writing." If you don't own the stock it's called "Naked Call
- Writing." It is quite risky to write naked calls, since the price of
- the stock could zoom up and you would have to buy it at the market price.
-
- My personal advice for new options people if to begin by writing
- covered call options for stocks currently trading below the strike
- price of the option (write out-of-the-money covered calls).
-
- When the strike price of a call is above the current market price of
- the associated stock, the call is "out of the money," and when the
- strike price of a call is below the current market price of the
- associated stock, the call is "in the money."
-
- Most regular folks like you and me do not exercise our options; we
- trade them back, covering our original trade. Saves commissions and
- all that.
-
- The other common option is the PUT. If you buy a put from me, you
- gain the right to sell me your stock at the strike price on or before
- the expiration date. Puts are almost the mirror-image of calls.
-
- For more information, call 1-800-OPTIONS to request their free booklet
- "Characteristics and Risks of Listed Options."
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Stocks - Option Symbols
- Last-Revised: 12 Sep 1993
- From: di236@cleveland.Freenet.Edu
-
- Month Call Put
- ----- ---- ---
- Jan A M
- Feb B N
- Mar C O
- Apr D P
- May E Q
- Jun F R
- Jul G S
- Aug H T
- Sep I U
- Oct J V
- Nov K W
- Dec L X
-
- Price Code Price
- ---------- -----
- A x05
- U 7.5
- B x10
- V 12.5
- C x15
- W 17.5
- D x20
- X 22.5
- E x25
- F x30
- G x35
- H x40
- I x45
- J x50
- K x55
- L x60
- M x65
- N x70
- O x75
- P x80
- Q x85
- R x90
- S x95
- T x00
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Stocks - Shorting
- Last-Revised: 29 Jul 1994
- From: ask@cblph.att.com
-
- Shorting means to sell something you don't own.
-
- If I do not own shares of IBM stock but I ask my broker to sell short
- 100 shares of IBM I have committed shorting. In broker's lingo, I
- have established a short position in IBM of 100 shares. Or, to really
- confuse the language, I hold 100 shares of IBM short.
-
- Why would you want to short?
-
- Because you believe the price of that stock will go down, and you can
- soon buy it back at a lower price than you sold it at. When you buy
- back your short position, you "close your short position."
-
- The broker will effectively borrow those shares from another client's
- account or from the broker's own account, and effectively lend you
- the shares to sell short. This is all done with mirrors; no stock
- certificates are issued, no paper changes hands, no lender is identified
- by name.
-
- My account will be credited with the sales price of 100 shares of IBM
- less broker's commission. But the broker has actually lent me the stock
- to sell; no way is he going to pay interest on the funds from the short
- sale. (Exception: Really big spenders sometimes negotiate a full or
- partial payment of interest on short sales funds provided sufficient
- collateral exists in the account and the broker doesn't want to lose
- the client. If you're not a really big spender, don't expect to receive
- any interest on the funds obtained from the short sale.) Also expect
- the broker to make you put up additional collateral. Why?
-
- Well, what happens if the stock price goes way up? You will have to
- assure the broker that if he needs to return the shares whence he got
- them (see "mirrors" above) you will be able to purchase them and "close
- your short position." If the price has doubled, you will have to spend
- twice as much as you received. So your broker will insist you have
- enough collateral in your account which can be sold if needed to close
- your short position. More lingo: Having sufficient collateral in your
- account that the broker can glom onto at will, means you have "cover"
- for your short position. As the price goes up you must provide more cover.
-
- Since you borrowed these shares, if dividends are declared, you will be
- responsible for paying those dividends to the fictitious person from
- whom you borrowed. Too bad.
-
- Even if you hold you short position for over a year, your capital
- gains are short term.
-
- A short squeeze can result when the price of the stock goes up. When
- the people who have gone short buy the stock to cover their previous
- short-sales, this can cause the price to rise further. It's a death
- spiral - as the price goes higher, more shorts feel driven to cover
- themselves, and so on.
-
- You can short other securities besides stock. For example, every time
- I write (sell) an option I don't already own long, I am establishing a
- short position in that option. The collateral position I must hold in
- my account generally tracks the price of the underlying stock and not
- the price of the option itself. So if I write a naked call option on
- IBM November 70s and receive a mere $100 after commissions, I may be
- asked to put up collateral in my account of $3,500 or more! And if
- in November IBM has regained ground and is at $90 [ I should be so
- lucky ], I would be forced to buy back (close my short position in
- the call option) at a cost of about $2000, for a big loss.
-
- Selling short is seductively simple. Brokers get commissions by
- showing you how easy it is to generate short term funds for your
- account, but you really can't do much with them. My personal advice
- is if you are strongly convinced a stock will be going down, buy the
- out-of-the-money put instead, if such a put is available.
-
- A put's value increases as the stock price falls (but decreases sort
- of linearly over time) and is strongly leveraged, so a small fall in
- price of the stock translates to a large increase in value of the put.
-
- Let's return to our IBM, market price of 66 (yuck.) Let's say I strongly
- believe that IBM will fall to, oh, 58 by mid-November. I could short-sell
- IBM stock at 66, buy it back at 58 in mid-November if I'm right, and make
- about net $660. If instead it goes to 70, and I have to buy at that price,
- then I lose net $500 or so. That's a 10% gain or an 8% loss or so.
-
- Now, I could buy the IBM November 65 put for maybe net $200. If it
- goes down to 58 in mid November, I sell (close my position) for about
- $600, for a 300% gain. If it doesn't go below 65, I lose my entire
- 200 investment. But if you strongly believe IBM will go way way down,
- you should shoot for the 300% gain with the put and not the 10% gain
- by shorting the stock itself. Depends on how convinced you are.
-
- Having said this, I add a strong caution: Puts are very risky, and
- depend very much on odd market behavior beyond your control, and you
- can easily lose your entire purchase price fast. If you short options,
- you can lose even more than your purchase price!
-
- One more word of advice. Start simply. If you never bought stock
- start by buying some stock. When you feel like you sort of understand
- what you are doing, when you have followed several stocks in the
- financial section of the paper and watched what happens over the course
- of a few months, when you have read a bit more and perhaps seriously
- tracked some important financials of several companies, you might --
- might -- want to expand your investing choices beyond buying stock.
- If you want to get into options (see FAQ on options) start with writing
- covered calls. I would place selling stock short or writing or buying
- other options lower on the list -- later in time.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Stocks - Splits
- Last-Revised: 1 Mar 1993
- From: egreen@east.sun.com, schindler@csa2.lbl.gov, ask@cblph.att.com
-
- Ordinary splits occur when the company distributes more stock to holders
- of existing stock. A stock split, say 2-for-1, is when a company simply
- issues one additional share for every one outstanding. After the split,
- there will be two shares for every one pre-split share. (So it is called
- a "2-for-1 split.") If the stock was at $50 per share, after the split,
- each share is worth $25, because the company's net assets didn't increase,
- only the number of outstanding shares.
-
- Sometimes an ordinary split is referred to as a percent. A 2:1 split is
- a 100% stock split (or 100% stock dividend). A 50% split would be a 3:2
- split (or 50% stock dividend). You will get 1 more share of stock for
- every 2 shares you owned.
-
- Reverse splits occur when a company wants to raise the price of their
- stock, so it no longer looks like a "penny stock" but looks more like a
- self-respecting stock. Or they might want to conduct a massive reverse
- split to eliminate small holders. If a $1 stock is split 1:10 the new
- shares will be worth $10. Holders will have to trade in their 10 Old
- Shares to receive 1 New Share.
-
- Often a split is announced long before the effective date of the split,
- along with the "record date." Shareholders of record on the record
- date will receive the split shares on the effective date (distribution
- date). Sometimes the split stock begins trading as "when issued" on or
- about the record date. The newspaper listing will show both the pre-
- split stock as well as the when-issued split stock with the suffix "wi."
- (Stock dividends of 10% or less will generally not trade wi.)
-
- Theoretically a stock split is a non-event. The fraction of the company
- each of your shares represents is reduced, but you are given enough
- shares so that your total fraction of the company owned remains the same.
- On the day of the split, the value of the stock is also adjusted so that
- the total capitalization of the company remains the same.
-
- In practice, an ordinary split often drives the new price per share up,
- as more of the public is attracted by the lower price. A company might
- split when it feels its per-share price has risen beyond what an individual
- investor is willing to pay, particularly since they are usually bought
- and sold in 100's. They may wish to attract individuals to stabilize the
- price, as institutional investors buy and sell more often than individuals.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Stocks - Warrants
- Last-Revised: 11 Dec 1992
- From: ask@cblph.att.com
-
- There are many meanings to the word warrant.
-
- The marshal can show up on your doorstep with a warrant for your arrest.
-
- Many army helicopter pilots are warrant officers, who have received
- a warrant from the president of the US to serve in the Army of the
- United States.
-
- The State of California ran out of money earlier this year and
- issued things that looked a lot like checks, but had no promise to
- pay behind them. If I did that I could be arrested for writing a
- bad check. When the State of California did it, they called these
- thingies "warrants" and got away with it.
-
- And a warrant is also a financial instrument which was issued with
- certain conditions. The issuer of that warrant sets those conditions.
- Sometimes the warrant and common or preferred convertible stock are
- issued by a startup company bundled together as "units" and at some
- later date the units will split into warrants and stock. This is a
- common financing method for some startup companies. This is the
- "warrant" most readers of the misc.invest newsgroup ask about.
-
- As an example of a "condition," there may be an exchange privilege
- which lets you exchange 1 warrant plus $25 in cash (or even no cash
- at all) for 100 shares of common stock in the corporation, any time
- after some fixed date and before some other designated date.
- (And often the issuer can extend the "expiration date.")
-
- So there are some similarities between warrants and call options for
- common stock.
-
- Both allow holders to exercise the warrant/option before an
- expiration date, for a certain number of shares. But the option is
- issued by independent parties, such as a member of the Chicago Board
- Options Exchange, while the warrant is issued and guaranteed by the
- corporate issuer itself. The lifetime of a warrant is often
- measured in years, while the lifetime of a call option is months.
-
- Sometimes the issuer will try to establish a market for the warrant,
- and even try to register it with a listed exchange. The price can
- then be obtained from any broker. Other times the warrant will be
- privately held, or not registered with an exchange, and the price
- is less obvious, as is true with non-listed stocks.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Software - Investment-Related Programs
- Last-Revised: 19 Jul 1994
- From: lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- 1. The compiler of this FAQ maintains an archive of source code for a
- number of investment-related programs. All are written in C and
- depend, more or less heavily, on UNIX. The programs include:
-
- 401-calc: compute value of a 401(k) plan over time
- commis: compute commisions for trades at selected discount brokers
- fv: compute future value
- irr: compute rate of return of a portfolio
- loan: calculate loan amortization schedule
- prepay: analyze prepayments of a mortgage loan
- pv: calculate present value
- returns: analyze total return of a mutual fund
- roi: compute return on investment for mutual funds
-
- To fetch these programs, simply mail a note with any subject and any
- contents to the following address: lott=invest@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- 2. Ed Savage maintains an archive of programs which are available via
- this URL: <ftp://dg-rtp.rtp.dg.com/pub/misc.invest/programs/>
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Software - Tracking Your Portfolio
- Last-Revised: 5 Jun 1994
- From: oliver@cs.berkeley.edu, 72144.1223@compuserve.com, wssd@netcom.com,
- MARKU@delphi.com, au729@yfn.ysu.edu
-
- The following software packages help an investor track his portfolio.
- A far more comprehensive guide to these packages appears in a yearly
- compendium that is part of AAII's Computerized Investing Newsletter.
- Note that these programs change versions quite quickly.
-
- Product: Quicken
- Company: Intuit, +1 415 322 0573
- Platform: DOS, Windows, Macintosh
- Price: $39
- Features: Manages budget, checkbook, and tracks portfolio; generates
- graphs and tables that reflect changes in the portfolio.
-
- Product: Managing Your Money
- Company: MECA
- Platforms: ?
- Price: ?
- Features: A personal finance program with solid portfolio support.
- Tracks both cash flow and assets, but it lacks annualized
- return information for individual asset when dollar cost
- averaging and reinvesting both dividends and capital gains.
-
- Product: PFROI / Captool
- Company: ?
- Platforms: ?
- Price: PFROI is shareware, Captool is the commercial, extended version
- Features: ?
-
- Product: OWL Personal Portfolio Manager
- Company: Otto-Williams Ltd, PO Box 794, Lanham MD 20703, +1 301 306-0409,
- owl@DGS.dgsys.com
- Platforms: IBM
- Price: shareware; search for OPPM50.ZIP, OPPL*.ZIP
- Features: Tracks stock, bond and mutual fund transactions, computes
- capital gains and losses, tracks cash accounts, liabilities,
- and payments of interest, dividends, rents, and royalties.
- Produces charts and will import data from data services.
-
- Product: Wall Street Direct CD-ROM
- Company: W.S. Software Digest, 11664 National Blvd #128, LA CA 90064,
- +1 310-915-8006, wssd@netcom.com
- Platforms: IBM
- Price: not yet announced; CD available Fall 1994.
- Features: Back issues of the Wall Street Software Digest with its
- product reviews and descriptions, and over 100 executable
- demos of investment- and portfolio-management software.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Compilation Copyright (c) 1994 by Christopher Lott, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
- --
- "Christopher Lott / Email: lott@informatik.uni-kl.de / Tel: +49 (631) 205-3334"
- " Address: FB Informatik - Bau 57 / Universitaet KL / D--67653 Kaiserslautern "
- " World-wide web: http://uomo.informatik.uni-kl.de:2080/Personalia/cml.html "
- Archive-name: investment-faq/general/part6
- Version: $Id: faq-p6,v 1.22 1995/01/26 07:55:14 lott Exp lott $
- Compiler: Christopher Lott, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- This is the general FAQ for misc.invest, part 6 of 6.
-
- Compilation copyright (c) 1994 by Christopher Lott. Use and copying
- of this information, distribution of the information on electronic
- media, and preparation of derivative works based upon this information
- are permitted, so long as the following conditions are met:
- + No fees or compensation are charged for this information,
- excluding charges for the media used to distribute it.
- + Proper attribution is given to the authors of individual articles.
- + This copyright notice is included intact.
-
- Disclaimer: This information is made available AS IS, and no
- warranty is made about its quality or correctness.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Tax Code - Uniform Gifts to Minors Act (UGMA)
- Last-Revised: 4 Dec 1994
- From: ask@cbnews.cb.att.com, schindler@csa1.lbl.gov, eck@panix.com
-
- The Uniform Gifts to Minors Act allows you to give $10,000 per year
- to any minor, tax free. You must appoint a custodian.
-
- Some accountants advise that one person should make the gift and
- that a different person should be the custodian. The reason is
- that if the donor and custodian are the same person, that person
- is considered to exercise sufficient control over the assets to
- warrant inclusion of the UGMA in his/her estate. For more info,
- see Lober, Louis v. US, 346 US 335 (1953) (53-2 USTC par. 10922);
- Rev Ruls 57-366, 59-357, 70-348.
-
- All of these are cited in the RIA Federal Tax Coordinator 2d, volume
- 22A, paragraph R-2619, which says (among other things) "Giving cash,
- stocks, bonds, notes, etc., to children through a custodian may result
- in the transferred property being included in the donor's gross estate
- unless someone other than the donor is named as custodian."
-
- To give such a gift, go to your friendly neighborhood stockbroker,
- bank, mutual fund manager, or (close your eyes now: S&L), etc. and
- say that you wish to open a Uniform Gifts (in some states "Transfers")
- to Minors Act account.
-
- You register it as:
- [ Name of Custodian ] as custodian for [ Name of Minor ] under the
- Uniform Gifts/Transfers to Minors Act - [ Name of State of Minor's
- residence ]
-
- You use the minor's social security number as the taxpayer ID for this
- account. When you fill out the W-9 form for this account, it will
- show this form. The custodian should certify the W-9 form.
-
- The money now belongs to the minor and the custodian has a legal
- fiduciary responsibility to handle the money in a prudent manner for
- the benefit of the minor.
-
- So you can buy common stocks but cannot write naked options. You
- cannot "invest" the money on the horses, planning to donate the
- winnings to the minor. And when the minor reaches age of majority -
- usually 18 - the minor can claim all of the funds even if that's
- against your wishes. You cannot place any conditions on those funds
- once the minor becomes an adult.
-
- Until the minor reaches 14, the first $600 earned by the minor is
- tax free, the next $600 is taxed at the minor's rate, and the rest
- is taxed at the higher of the minor's or the parent's rate. After
- the minor reaches 14, all earnings over $600 are taxed at the
- minor's rate.
-
- Note that if you want to continue doing your childs taxes even after
- they turn 18, there is no reason they need to know about their UGMA
- account that you set up for them. They certainly can't blow their
- college fund on a Trans Am if they don't know about it. However,
- note that at least one state (NY) allows the donor to establish a
- "turnover" age of 21 by making an express statement to that effect
- when the account is created. See New York Estates, Powers & Trusts
- Law sec. 7.4-11 ("Age twenty-one election").
-
- Even if your child does his/her own taxes, you can still give them
- gifts through a trust without them knowing about it until they are
- more mature. Call and ask Twentieth Century Investors for information
- about their GiftTrust fund. The fund is entirely composed of trusts
- like this. The trust pays its own taxes.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Tax Code - Wash Sale Rule
- Last-Revised: 14 Dec 1992
- From: acheng@ncsa.uiuc.edu
-
- From IRS publication 550, "Investment Income and Expenses" (1990).
- Here is the introductory paragraph from p.37:
-
- Wash Sales
- You cannot deduct losses from wash sales or trades of stock or
- securities. However, the gain from these sales is taxable.
-
- A wash sale occurs when you sell stock or securities at a loss and
- within 30 days before or after the sale you buy or acquire in a
- fully taxable trade, or acquire a contract or option to buy,
- substantially identical stock or securities. If you sell stock and
- your spouse or a corporation you control buys substantially
- identical stock, you also have a wash sale. You add the disallowed
- loss to the basis of the new stock or security.
-
- It goes on explaining all those terms (substantially identical, stock
- or security, ...). It runs on several pages, too much to type in. You
- should definitely call IRS for the most updated ones for detail. Phone
- number: 800-TAX-FORM (800-829-3676).
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Trading - Discount Brokers
- Last-Revised: 11 Sep 1994
- From: davida@bonnie.ics.uci.edu, edwardz@ecs.comm.mot.com, gary@intrepid.com,
- tima@cfsmo.honeywell.com, barrett@asgard.cs.colorado.edu
-
- A discount broker offers an execution service for a wide variety of
- trades. In other words, you tell them to buy, sell, short, or
- whatever, they do exactly what you requested, and nothing more.
- Their service is primarily a way to save money for people who are
- looking out for themselves and who do not require or desire any advice
- or hand-holding about their forays into the markets.
-
- However, discount brokering is a highly competitive business. As a
- result, many of the discount brokers provide virtually *all* the
- services of a full-service broker with the exception of giving you
- unsolicited advice on what or when to buy or sell, but some do provide
- monthly newsletters with recommendations. Virtually all will execute
- stock and option trades, including stop or limit orders and odd lots,
- on the NYSE, AMEX, or NASDAQ. Most can trade bonds and U.S. treasuries.
- Most will *not* trade futures; talk to a futures broker. Most have
- margin accounts available. Most will provide automatic sweep of
- (non-margin) cash into a money market account, often with check-
- writing capability. All can hold your stock in "street-name", but
- many can take and deliver stock certificates physically, sometimes for
- a fee. Some trade precious metals and can even deliver them!
-
- Many can buy "no-load" mutual funds for a low (e.g. 0.5%) commission.
- Increasingly, many even offer free mutual fund purchases through
- arrangements with specific funds to pay the commission for you; ask
- for their fund list. Many will provide free 1-page Standard and
- Poor's Stock reports on stocks you request and 5-10 page full research
- reports for $5-$8, often by fax. Some provide touch-tone telephone
- stock quotes 24 hours / day. Some can allow you to make trades this
- way. Fewer provide computer quotes and trading and others say "it's
- coming".
-
- All brokerages, their clearing agents, and *any* holding companies
- they have which can be holding your assets in "street-name" had better
- be insured with the S.I.P.C. You're going to be paying an SEC "tax"
- (e.g. about $3.00) on any trade you make *anywhere*, so make sure your
- getting the benefit; if a broker goes bankrupt it's the *only* thing
- that prevents a total loss. Investigate thoroughly!
-
- In general, you need to ask carefully about all the services above
- that you may want, and find out what fees are associated with them (if
- any). Ask about fees to transfer assets out of your account, inactive
- account fees, minimums for interest on non-margin cash balances,
- annual IRA custodial fees, per-transaction charges, and their margin
- interest rate if applicable. Some will credit your account for the
- broker call rate on cash balances which can be applied toward
- commission costs.
-
- The firms can generally be divided into the following categories:
-
- 1) "Full-Service Discount"
- Provides services almost indistinguishable from a full-service
- broker such as Merryl Lynch at about 1/2 the cost. These
- provide local branch offices for personal service, newsletters,
- a personal account representative, and gobs and gobs of literature.
-
- 2) "Discount"
- Same as "Full-Service", but usually don't have local branch
- offices and as much literature or research departments.
- Commissions are about 1/3 the price of a full-service broker.
-
- 3) "Deep Discount"
- Executes stock and option trades only; other services are minimal.
- Often these charge a flat fee (e.g. $25.00) for *any* trade of
- any size.
-
- 4) Computer
- Same as "Deep Discount", but designed mainly for computer users.
-
- Examples:
-
- Full-Service Discount Discount Deep Discount Computer
- ----------------------- ---------- ------------- ---------
- Fidelity Lombard Pacific E-trade
- Olde Bidwell Scottsdale Accutrade
- Quick and Reilly Waterhouse National
- Charles Schwab Aufhauser Stock Mart
- Vanguard Stock Cross
- Brown
-
- The rest often fall somewhere between "Discount" and "Deep Discount" and
- include many firms that cater to experienced high-volume traders with
- high demands on quality of service. Those are harder to categorize.
- Here is a list of US discount brokers and phone numbers:
-
- Accutrade First National 800 762 5555
- K. Aufhauser & Co. 800 368 3668
- Bidwell 800 547-6337
- Marsh Block 800 366-1500
- Brown & Co. 800 822 2829 operator 340
- E-Trade 800 786 2573 415 326 2700
- Fidelity Brokerage 800 544 7272
- Fleet Brokerage 800 221 8210
- Kennedy, Cabot, & Co. 800 252 0090 213 550 0711
- Lombard 800 688 3462
- Barry Murphy & Co. 800 221 2111
- National 800 888-3999
- Olde Discount 800 USA OLDE
- J B Oxford 800 656-1776
- Pacific Brokerage Service 800 421 8395 213 939 1100
- Andrew Peck Associates 800 221 5873 212 363 3770
- Quick & Reilly 800 456 4049
- Regal 800 786-9000
- Charles Schwab & Co. 800 442 5111
- Muriel Siebert 800 872 0711
- Scottsdale Securities 800 727 1995 818 440 9957
- Stock Cross 800 225 6196 617 367 5700
- The Stock Mart 800 421-6563
- Vanguard Discount 800 662 SHIP
- Waterhouse Securities 800 765 5185
- Jack White & Co. 800 233 3411
- York Securities 800 221 3154
-
- Below are a number of tables to help you compare commissions at
- various discount brokers, with dates to mark when the information was
- obtained. Although it appears that commissions are not that volatile,
- this information is still highly dated. These tables are for stocks
- only, not bonds or other investments, and are sorted by the brokerage
- house's name. A perl script written by Dave Barret to calculate
- commissions for a number of these brokerage houses is also available,
- sample output from which is shown next. See also the article titled
- "Software - Investment-Related Programs" for more information about
- that script.
-
- --- $2000 trades ---
- Firm 400@5 200@10 100@20 50@40 25@80 Date
- -------------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- ------
- Accutrade $ 48.00 $ 48.00 $ 48.00 $ 48.00 $ 48.00 Jul-94
- Aufhauser $ 37.49 $ 27.49 $ 27.49 $ 27.49 $ 27.49 Jul-94
- Bidwell $ 41.25 $ 31.25 $ 27.25 $ 25.25 $ 23.25 Aug-94
- Brown $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 Jul-94
- E Trade $ 25.00 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 Jul-94
- Fidelity $ 63.50 $ 63.50 $ 54.00 $ 54.00 $ 54.00 Aug-94
- Fleet $ 44.62 $ 44.62 $ 44.62 $ 44.62 $ 44.62 Aug-94
- Full Service $ 88.37 $ 70.51 $ 53.70 $ 52.13 $ 51.34 Aug-94
- Kennedy Cabot $ 33.00 $ 33.00 $ 33.00 $ 23.00 $ 23.00 Jul-94
- Lombard $ 36.50 $ 36.50 $ 36.50 $ 36.50 $ 36.50 Jul-94
- Marsh Block $ 32.29 $ 26.04 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 Aug-94
- Barry Murphy $ 41.00 $ 34.00 $ 31.50 $ 30.75 $ 28.88 Jul-94
- National $ 33.00 $ 33.00 $ 33.00 $ 33.00 $ 33.00 Jul-94
- Olde $ 35.00 $ 50.00 $ 40.00 $ 40.00 $ 40.00 Aug-94
- J B Oxford $ 23.00 $ 23.00 $ 23.00 $ 23.00 $ 23.00 Sep-94
- Pacific $ 25.00 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 Jul-94
- Andrew Peck $ 72.00 $ 56.00 $ 48.00 $ 44.00 $ 42.00 Jul-94
- Quick Reilly $ 50.00 $ 50.00 $ 49.00 $ 49.00 $ 49.00 Aug-94
- Regal $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 Aug-94
- Charles Schwab $ 64.00 $ 64.00 $ 55.00 $ 55.00 $ 55.00 Aug-94
- Scottsdale $ 36.00 $ 31.50 $ 31.50 $ 31.50 $ 31.50 Jul-94
- Muriel Siebert $ 47.40 $ 47.40 $ 45.00 $ 37.50 $ 37.50 Jul-94
- Stock Cross $ 59.00 $ 42.00 $ 33.50 $ 29.25 $ 27.12 Jul-94
- Vanguard $ 57.00 $ 57.00 $ 48.00 $ 40.00 $ 40.00 Aug-94
- Waterhouse $ 35.00 $ 35.00 $ 35.00 $ 35.00 $ 35.00 Aug-94
- Jack White $ 45.00 $ 39.00 $ 36.00 $ 34.50 $ 33.75 Jul-94
- York $ 41.00 $ 37.00 $ 35.00 $ 34.00 $ 33.50 Jul-94
-
- --- $8000 trades ---
- Firm 1600@5 800@10 400@20 200@40 100@80 Date
- -------------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- ------
- Accutrade $ 48.00 $ 48.00 $ 48.00 $ 48.00 $ 48.00 Jul-94
- Aufhauser $ 95.50 $ 61.50 $ 37.49 $ 27.49 $ 27.49 Jul-94
- Bidwell $ 79.25 $ 55.25 $ 45.25 $ 37.25 $ 29.25 Aug-94
- Brown $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 Jul-94
- E Trade $ 25.00 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 Jul-94
- Fidelity $ 109.00 $ 102.70 $ 102.70 $ 102.70 $ 54.00 Aug-94
- Fleet $ 91.83 $ 84.67 $ 84.67 $ 84.67 $ 47.70 Aug-94
- Full Service $ 264.18 $ 208.04 $ 170.24 $ 151.34 $ 133.49 Aug-94
- Kennedy Cabot $ 83.00 $ 43.00 $ 33.00 $ 33.00 $ 33.00 Jul-94
- Lombard $ 36.50 $ 36.50 $ 36.50 $ 36.50 $ 36.50 Jul-94
- Marsh Block $ 104.70 $ 83.52 $ 69.41 $ 62.35 $ 58.82 Aug-94
- Barry Murphy $ 83.00 $ 55.00 $ 45.00 $ 42.00 $ 34.50 Jul-94
- National $ 33.00 $ 33.00 $ 33.00 $ 33.00 $ 33.00 Jul-94
- Olde $ 67.50 $ 95.00 $ 70.00 $ 60.00 $ 40.00 Aug-94
- J B Oxford $ 23.00 $ 23.00 $ 23.00 $ 23.00 $ 23.00 Sep-94
- Pacific $ 31.00 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 Jul-94
- Andrew Peck $ 120.00 $ 92.00 $ 72.00 $ 56.00 $ 48.00 Jul-94
- Quick Reilly $ 79.00 $ 79.00 $ 79.00 $ 79.00 $ 49.00 Aug-94
- Regal $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 Aug-94
- Charles Schwab $ 120.00 $ 103.20 $ 103.20 $ 103.20 $ 55.00 Aug-94
- Scottsdale $ 84.60 $ 54.00 $ 45.00 $ 36.00 $ 31.50 Jul-94
- Muriel Siebert $ 74.40 $ 74.40 $ 74.40 $ 74.40 $ 45.00 Jul-94
- Stock Cross $ 161.00 $ 93.00 $ 59.00 $ 42.00 $ 33.50 Jul-94
- Vanguard $ 82.00 $ 82.00 $ 82.00 $ 82.00 $ 48.00 Aug-94
- Waterhouse $ 79.25 $ 62.41 $ 51.07 $ 45.40 $ 40.05 Aug-94
- Jack White $ 81.00 $ 57.00 $ 45.00 $ 39.00 $ 36.00 Jul-94
- York $ 65.00 $ 49.00 $ 41.00 $ 37.00 $ 35.00 Jul-94
-
- --- $32000 trades ---
- Firm 6400@5 3200@10 1600@20 800@40 400@80 Date
- -------------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- ------
- Accutrade $ 192.00 $ 96.00 $ 48.00 $ 48.00 $ 48.00 Jul-94
- Aufhauser $ 130.50 $ 66.50 $ 36.50 $ 36.50 $ 36.50 Jul-94
- Bidwell $ 223.25 $ 127.25 $ 84.25 $ 70.25 $ 53.25 Aug-94
- Brown $ 93.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 Jul-94
- E Trade $ 73.00 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 Jul-94
- Fidelity $ 301.00 $ 173.00 $ 169.90 $ 169.90 $ 169.90 Aug-94
- Fleet $ 288.75 $ 158.62 $ 158.62 $ 158.62 $ 158.62 Aug-94
- Full Service $ 806.61 $ 609.81 $ 511.41 $ 455.28 $ 368.00 Aug-94
- Kennedy Cabot $ 131.00 $ 99.00 $ 83.00 $ 43.00 $ 33.00 Jul-94
- Lombard $ 130.50 $ 66.50 $ 36.50 $ 36.50 $ 36.50 Jul-94
- Marsh Block $ 321.16 $ 245.87 $ 208.22 $ 187.05 $ 172.93 Aug-94
- Barry Murphy $ 251.00 $ 139.00 $ 99.00 $ 87.00 $ 57.00 Jul-94
- National $ 97.00 $ 33.00 $ 33.00 $ 33.00 $ 33.00 Jul-94
- Olde $ 187.50 $ 215.00 $ 135.00 $ 115.00 $ 90.00 Aug-94
- J B Oxford $ 87.00 $ 23.00 $ 23.00 $ 23.00 $ 23.00 Sep-94
- Pacific $ 79.00 $ 47.00 $ 31.00 $ 25.00 $ 25.00 Jul-94
- Andrew Peck $ 192.00 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 Jul-94
- Quick Reilly $ 222.00 $ 131.40 $ 131.40 $ 131.40 $ 131.40 Aug-94
- Regal $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 Aug-94
- Charles Schwab $ 360.00 $ 200.00 $ 170.40 $ 170.40 $ 170.40 Aug-94
- Scottsdale $ 185.00 $ 105.00 $ 65.00 $ 50.00 $ 50.00 Jul-94
- Muriel Siebert $ 192.00 $ 96.00 $ 75.00 $ 75.00 $ 75.00 Jul-94
- Stock Cross $ 569.00 $ 297.00 $ 161.00 $ 93.00 $ 59.00 Jul-94
- Vanguard $ 156.00 $ 156.00 $ 156.00 $ 156.00 $ 156.00 Aug-94
- Waterhouse $ 241.98 $ 182.94 $ 153.42 $ 136.58 $ 110.40 Aug-94
- Jack White $ 161.00 $ 97.00 $ 81.00 $ 57.00 $ 45.00 Jul-94
- York $ 161.00 $ 97.00 $ 65.00 $ 49.00 $ 41.00 Jul-94
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Trading - Dollar Cost and Value Averaging
- Last-Revised: 11 Dec 1992
- From: suhre@trwrb.dsd.trw.com
-
- Dollar Cost Averaging purchases a fixed dollar amount each transaction
- (usually monthly via a mutual fund). When the fund declines, you
- purchase slightly more shares, and slightly less on increases. It
- turns out that you lower your average cost slightly, assuming the
- fund fluctuates up and down.
-
- Value Averaging adjusts the amount invested, up or down, to meet a
- prescribed target. An example should clarify: Suppose you are going
- to invest $200 per month and at the end of the first month, your $200
- has shrunk to $190. Then you add in $210 the next month, bringing the
- value to $400 (2*$200). Similarly, if the fund is worth $430 at the
- end of the second month, you only put in $170 to bring it up to the
- $600 target. What happens is that compared to dollar cost averaging,
- you put in more when prices are down, and less when prices are up.
-
- Dollar Cost Averaging takes advantage of the non-linearity of the 1/x
- curve (for those of you who are more mathematically inclined). Value
- Averaging just goes in a little deeper when the value is down (which
- implies that prices are down) and in a little less when value is up.
- An article in the American Association of Individual Investors showed
- via computer simulation that value averaging would outperform dollar-
- cost averaging about 95% of the time. "Outperform" is a rather vague
- term. As best as I remember, whatever the percentage gain of dollar-
- cost averaging versus buying 100% initially, value averaging would
- produce another 2 percent or so.
-
- Warning: Neither approach will bail you out of a declining market nor
- get you in on a bull market.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Trading - Direct Investing and DRIPS
- Last-Revised: 24 Nov 1994
- From: BKOTTMANN@falcon.aamrl.wpafb.af.mil, das@impulse.ece.ucsb.edu,
- jsb@meaddata.com, murphy@rock.enet.dec.com, johnl@iecc.com,
- GEH01016@niftyserve.or.jp
-
- DRIPS offer an easy, low-cost way for buying stocks. Various companies
- (lists are available through NAIC and some brokerages) allow you to
- purchase shares directly from the company and thereby avoid brokerage
- commissions. However, you must purchase the first share through a
- broker, NAIC, or other conventional means. In all cases, that first
- share must be registered in your name, not in street name. (A practical
- restriction here is that for some common kinds of accounts like IRAs
- and Keoghs, you can't participate in a DRIP since the stock has to be
- held by the custodian.) Once you have that first share, additional
- shares can be purchased through the DRIP either through dividend
- reinvestments or directly by sending in a check. Thus the two names
- for DRIP: Dividend/Direct Re-Investment Plan. The periodic purchase
- also allows you to automatically dollar-cost-average the purchase of
- the stock.
-
- A handful of companies sell their stock directly to the public without
- going through an exchange or broker even for the first share. These
- companies are all exchange listed as well, and tend to be utilities.
-
- First Share is a buying club for the first share in DRIPS. Membership
- costs about $24/year and you have to be willing to sell single shares
- to other members upon request. Contact them at 1-800-264-6278.
-
- Money Magazine from Nov (or Dec) 92 reports that the brokerage house
- A.G. Edwards has a special commission rate for purchases of single
- shares. They charge a flat 16% of the share price. However,
- contributors to this FAQ report that some (all?) of the AGE offices
- provide this service only for current account holders.
-
- Published material on DRIPS:
- + _Guide to Dividend Reinvestment Plans_
- Lists over a one hundred companies that offer DRIP's. The number
- given for the company is 800-443-6900; the cost is $9.00 (charge to CC)
- and they will send you the DRIPs booklet and a copy of a newsletter
- called the Money Paper.
-
- + _Low cost/No cost investing_ (author forgotten)
- Lists about 300-400 companies that offer DRIPs.
-
- + _Buying Stocks Without a Broker_ by Charles B. Carlson.
- Lists 900 companies/closed end funds that offer DRIPS. Included is a
- profile of the company and some plan specifics. These are: if partial
- reinvestment of dividends are allowed, discounts on stock purchased
- with dividends, optional cash payment amount and frequency, fees,
- approximate number of shareholders in the plan.
-
- [ Compiler's note: It seems to me that a listing of the hundreds or
- more companies that offer DRIPS belongs in its own FAQ, and I will not
- reprint other people's copyrighted lists. Please don't send me lists
- of companies that offer DRIPS. ]
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Trading - Electronically
- Last-Revised: 14 Oct 1994
- From: lott@informatik.uni-kl.de, sac@hpuerca.atl.hp.com, MARKU@delphi.com,
- davide@col.hp.com, sorbrrse@wildcat.cig.mot.com
-
- Here's how to avoid ever speaking to a broker ever again! The following
- companies offer an electronic communications path for requesting trades
- on the equities and options markets. The primary motivation for using
- one of these services is lowering commissions; a second is that the
- services are usually accessible 24 hours a day. A computer, modem, and
- appropriate software are required. While some services support access
- with a conventional telecommunications package, others require you to
- buy special software from them for the task. Some of the services have
- toll-free numbers or local access numbers to save on telephone charges.
- Primary source: Baie Netzer, ``Information highway: brokers rev up'',
- International Herald Tribune, 14 May 1994.
-
- Company: Fidelity
- Service name: Fidelity On-line Xpress (FOX)
- Software: $50 (available from Fidelity or Egghead Software)
- Platforms: IBM + compatible with Hayes-compatible modem
- Service fees: none
- Comm'n disc't: 10%
- Features: Trade stocks and mutual funds, obtain quotes.
- Contact: any Fidelity office or 800 544 7272
-
- Company: Pacific Brokerage Services (PBS)
- Service name: PBS-Online
- Software: any telecomm package
- Platforms: any
- Service fees: $50 startup, $0.25/minute
- Comm'n disc't: ?
- Features: trades, ?
- Contact: 800 421 8395, +1 (213) 939 1100
-
- Company: Quick & Reilly
- Service name: Quick Way
- Software: any telecomm package
- Platforms: any
- Service fees: none
- Comm'n disc't: none
- Features: trades, ?
- Contact: any Q&R office or 800 456 4049
-
- Company: Charles Schwab
- Service name: Equalizer (DOS), Street Smart (Windows)
- Software: SS costs $69 (free if US$15K moved to Schwab by Aug 94)
- Platforms: IBM + compatible; Mac version expected by Fall 1994
- Service fees: $8/month
- Comm'n disc't: 10%
- Features: Trades, account information, quotes, reports on 5,000 companies
- Contact: any Schwab office or 800 635 7020
-
- Company: E-Trade**
- Service name: E-Trade
- Software: any telecomm package
- Platforms: any
- Service fees: $0.27/minute, 12 minutes credit with each trade
- Comm'n disc't: ?
- Features: Trades, options, etc.
- Contact: 800 STOCKS 5 (800 786 2575), +1 (415) 326 2700
-
- ** Disclaimer: This company is regularly discussed in the misc.invest.*
- newsgroups, and it seems only fair to warn readers at this point that
- while a few people praise the company, many criticize it unmercifully.
- Some tell horror stories of poor service and money lost. The compiler
- of this FAQ cannot verify those stories, good or bad, has absolutely no
- experience with the company, and wishes to state clearly that your
- mileage will definitely vary.
-
- [ Any others? ]
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Trading - via the Internet
- Last-Revised: 18 Sep 1994
- From: lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- In response to the fairly regular requests for ways to place trades
- via the internet, I would like to offer my thoughts as to why I would
- never want my portfolio in the hands of a broker who accepts trades
- over the internet. This applies both to access via a synchronous
- connection (e.g., telnet) and access via an asynchronous connection
- (e.g., electronic mail).
-
- First, security is impossible to guarantee. If you use a synchronous
- connection, anyone in your building, the service provider, or such
- can intercept your packets, snag your password, and freely make trades
- against your account. This practice is sometimes called packet
- sniffing and is a real problem. It's even easier to spoof mail
- (create a message that appears to be from you, although it is not)
- than it is to sniff packets on a net.
-
- Second, there is the issue of timeliness. For people using hosts with
- direct internet connections, mail transfer time is usually measured in
- seconds, but can lengthen to hours if hosts are down. For people
- using hosts with dial-up connections, delays may regularly run into
- hours. Now, if you want some trade of yours to be executed as soon as
- possible, but request that trade via e-mail, you have no idea how long
- the mail message will take to reach your broker's machine, and no
- guarantee that your broker will read all incoming electronic mail
- messages within a few minutes, hours, or even days.
-
- Third, there are no cost savings when compared to a local call in the
- US or a call placed to an 800 number; neither cost you anything. If
- your internetworked employer prohibits you from making telephone
- calls, this presents a real problem, but I don't believe that trading
- via the net is the answer. If you're outside the US, and trying to
- save money on phone calls while trading on overseas markets, that
- suggests to me that you might have overreached yourself.
-
- My recommendation: get an account with a provider such as Prodigy
- (which offers access to some trading system) or with any of the
- discount brokers who offer an electronic trading interface (see the
- article on discount brokers, elsewhere in this FAQ). You can call
- them from anywhere in the world. At least your communications will
- only be subject to the limitations and security problems associated
- with the world's circuit-switched telephone network, not with the
- packet-switched internet links.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Trading - NASD Public Disclosure Hotline
- Last-Revised: 15 Aug 1993
- From: yozzo@watson.ibm.com, vkochend@nyx.cs.du.edu
-
- The number for the NASD Public Disclosure Hotline is (800) 289-9999.
- They will send you information about cases in which a broker was
- found guilty of violating the law.
-
- I believe that the information that the NASD provides has been
- enhanced to include pending cases. In the past, they could
- only mention cases in which the security dealer was found
- guilty. (Of course, "enhanced" is in the eye of the beholder.)
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Trading - Buying and Selling Without a Broker
- Last-Revised: 27 Sep 1993
- From: antonio@qualcomm.com, henryc@panix.com
-
- Yes, you can buy/sell stock from/to a friend, relative or acquaintance
- without going through a broker. Call the company, talk to their investor
- relations person, and ask who the Transfer Agent for the stock is. The
- Transfer Agent is the person who accomplishes the transfer, i.e., by
- issuing new certificates with the buyer's name on them. The transfer
- agent is paid by the company to issue new certificates, and to keep
- track of who owns the company's stock. The name of the Transfer Agent
- is probably printed on your stock certificates, but it might have changed,
- so it is best to call and check.
-
- The back of the certificate contains a stock power, i.e., those words
- that say you want the shares to be transferred. Fill out the transferee
- portion with the desired name, address, and tax id number to be registered.
- Sign the stock power exactly as the certificate is registered: joint
- tenancy will require signatures from all the people listed, stock that
- was issued in maiden name must be signed as such, etc. In addition to
- signing, you must get your signature(s) guaranteed. The signature
- guarantee is an obscure ritual. It is similar to a notary public, but
- different. The people who can provide a signature guarantee are banks
- and stock brokers who are members of an exchange. Now, your stock
- broker might not be too happy to see you and help you when you are
- trying to avoid paying a commission, so I suggest you get the guarantee
- from your bank. It's very easy. Someone at the bank checks your
- signature card to see if your signature looks right and then applies
- a little rubber stamp. Also, if you have the time, have the transferee
- fill out a W-9 form to avoid any TEFRA withholding. W-9 forms are
- available from any bank or broker.
-
- Then send it all to the transfer agent. The agent will usually recommend
- sending securities registered mail and insuring for 2% of the total value.
- For safety, many people send the endorsement in a separate envelope from
- the stock certificate, rather than using the back of the stock certificate
- (if you do this, include a note that says so.) SEC regulations require
- transfer agents to comply with a 3 business day turn-around time for 90%
- of the stock transfers received in good standing. In a few days, the buyer
- gets a stock certificate in the mail. Poof!
-
- There is no law requiring you to use a broker to buy or sell stock, except
- in certain very special circumstances, such as restricted stock, or
- unregistered stock. As long as the stock being sold has been registered
- with the SEC (and all stock sold on the exchanges, NASDAQ, etc. has been
- registered by the company), then the public can buy and sell it at will.
- If you go out and create yourself a corporation (Brooklyn Bridge Inc),
- do not register your stock with the SEC, and then start selling stock in
- your company to a bunch of individuals, advertising it, etc, then you can
- easily violate many SEC regulations designed to protect the unsuspecting
- public. But this is very different than selling the ordinary registered
- stuff. If you own stock in a company that was issued prior to the time
- the company went public, depending on a variety of conditions in the SEC
- regulations, that stock may be restricted, and restricted stock requires
- some special procedures when it is sold.
-
- In brief: I do not believe that the guy who offers to sell people 1 share
- of Disney stock is violating any rules. Just for full disclosure: I'm not
- a lawyer.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Trading - Pink Sheet Stocks
- Last-Revised: 27 Oct 1993
- From: a_s_kamlet@att.com, rsl@aplpy.jhuapl.edu
-
- A company whose shares are traded on the so-called "pink sheets" is
- commonly one that does not meet the minimal criteria for capitalization
- and number of shareholders that are required by the NASDAQ and OTC and
- most exchanges to be listed there. The "pink sheet" designation is a
- holdover from the days when the quotes for these stocks were printed
- on pink paper. "Pink Sheet" stocks have both advantages and disadvantages.
-
- Disadvantages:
- 1) Thinly traded. Can make it tough (and expensive) to buy or sell shares.
- 2) Bid/Ask spreads tend to be pretty steep. So if you bought today the
- stock might have to go up 40-80% before you'd make money.
- 3) Market makers may be limited. Much discussion has taken place in this
- group about the effect of a limited number of market makers on thinly
- traded stocks. (They are the ones who are really going to profit).
- 4) Can be tough to follow. Very little coverage by analysts and papers.
-
- Advantages:
- 1) Normally low priced. Buying a few hundred share shouldn't cost a lot.
- 2) Many companies list in the "Pink Sheets" as a first step to getting
- listed on the National Market. This alone can result in some price
- appreciation, as it may attract buyers that were previously wary.
-
- In other words, there are plenty of risks for the possible reward,
- but aren't there always?
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Trading - Round Lots of Shares
- Last-Revised: 23 Apr 1993
- From: ask@cbnews.cb.att.com
-
- There are some advantages to buying round lots (usually 100 shares)
- but if they don't apply to you, then don't worry about it. Possible
- limitations on non-round-lots are:
-
- - The broker might add 1/8 of a point to the price -- but usually
- the broker will either not do this, or will not do it when you
- place your order before the market opens or after it closes.
-
- - Some limit orders might not be accepted for odd lots.
-
- - If these shares cover short calls, you usually need a round lot.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Trivia - Bull and Bear Lore
- Last-Revised: 29 Jul 1994
- From: orwant@home.media.mit.edu, dolson@baldy.den.mmc.com
-
- This information is paraphrased from _The Wall Street Journal Guide to
- Understanding Money & Markets_ by Wurman, Siegel, and Morris, 1990.
-
- One common myth is that the terms "bull market" and "bear market" are
- derived from the way those animals attack a foe, because bears attack
- by swiping their paws downward and bulls toss their horns upward.
- This is a useful mnemonic, but is not the true origin of the terms.
-
- Long ago, "bear skin jobbers" were known for selling bear skins that
- they did not own; i.e., the bears had not yet been caught. This was
- the original source of the term "bear." This term eventually was used
- to describe short sellers, speculators who sold shares that they did
- not own, bought after a price drop, and then delivered the shares.
-
- Because bull and bear baiting were once popular sports, "bulls" was
- understood as the opposite of "bears." I.e., the bulls were those
- people who bought in the expectation that a stock price would rise,
- not fall.
-
- In addition, the cartoonist Thomas Nast played a role in popularizing
- the symbols 'Bull' and 'Bear'.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Trivia - Dollar Bill Presidents
- Last-Revised: 28 Apr 1994
- From: par@ceri.memst.edu, pmd@cbnews.cb.att.com, tima@cfsmo.honeywell.com
-
- US Currency:
- Portrait Embellishment on back
- -------- ---------------------
- $1 - George Washington Great Seal of U.S.
- $2 - Thomas Jefferson Signers of the Declaration
- $5 - Abraham Lincoln Lincoln Memorial
- $10 - Alexander Hamilton U.S. Treasury
- $20 - Andrew Jackson White House
- $50 - Ulysses S. Grant U.S. Capitol
- $100 - Benjamin Franklin Independence Hall
- $500 - William McKinley Ornate demominational marking
- $1,000 - Grover Cleveland Ornate demominational marking
- $5,000 - James Madison Ornate demominational marking
- $10,000 - Salmon P. Chase Ornate demominational marking
- $100,000 - Woodrow Wilson Ornate demominational marking
-
-
- U.S Tresury instruments:
- Savings Bond - Treas. Bills - Treas. Bonds - Treas. Notes
- ------------ ------------ ------------ ------------
- $50 - Washington - - Jefferson
- $75 - Adams -
- $100 - Jefferson - - Jackson
- $200 - Madison -
- $500 - Hamilton - - Washington
- $1,000 - Franklin - H. McCulloch - Lincoln - Lincoln
- $5,000 - Revere - J.G. Carlisie - Monroe - Monroe
- $10,000 - Wilson - J. Sherman - Cleveland - Cleveland
- $50,000 - - C. Glass
- $100,000 - - A. Gallatin - Grant - Grant
- $1,000,000 - - O. Wolcott - T. Roosevelt - T. Roosevelt
- $100,000,000 - - - McKinley
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Trivia - Getting Rich Quickly
- Last-Revised: 18 Jul 1993
- From: jim@doink.b23b.ingr.com
-
- Take this with a lot of :-) 's.
-
- Legal methods:
- 1. Marry someone who is already rich.
- 2. Have a rich person die and will you their money.
- 3. Strike oil.
- 4. Discover gold.
- 5. Win the lottery.
-
- Illegal methods:
- 6. Rob a bank.
- 7. Blackmail someone who is rich.
- 8. Kidnap someone who is rich and get a big ransom.
- 9. Become a drug dealer.
-
- For completeness sakes:
- 10. "If you really want to make a lot of money, start your own religion."
- - L. Ron Hubbard
-
- Hubbard made that statement when he was just a science fiction writer in
- either the '30s or '40s. He later founded the Church of Scientology.
- I believe he also wrote Dianetics.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Trivia - One-Letter Ticker Symbols
- Last-Revised: 11 Jun 1993
- From: a_s_kamlet@att.com
-
- Not all of the one-letter symbols are obvious, nor does a one-letter
- symbol mean the stock is a blue chip or even well known. Most, but
- not all, trade on the NYSE. The current list of one-letter symbols
- follows. I'm not sure about "H" - has that been reassigned recently?
- Also "M" might have been reassigned.
-
- A Attwoods plc
- B Barnes Group
- C Chrysler Corporation
- D Dominion Resources
- E Transco Energy
- F Ford Motor Company
- G Gillette
- H Harcourt General (formerly General Cinema; H used to be Helm Resources)
- I First Interstate Bancorp
- J Jackpot Enterprises
- K Kellogg
- L Loblaw Companies
- M M-Corp ( defunct - absorbed by BancOne )
- N Inco, Ltd.
- O Odetics (O.A & O.B - no "O")
- P Phillips Petroleum
- R Ryder Systems
- S Sears, Roebuck & Company
- T AT&T
- U US Air
- V Vivra Inc
- W Westvaco
- X US Steel
- Y Alleghany Corp.
- Z Woolworth
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Warning - Advertisement in the misc.invest.* groups
- Last-Revised: 2 Sep 1994
- From: skruege@arco.is.arco.com, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- I find unsolicited advertisements to be the obnoxious junk mail of the
- net. I feel about them much the same as I do about the people who
- interrupt my dinner or wake me at 6 AM (it's happened!) with phone
- calls requesting money for this or that cause. But there is an
- additional concern I have for the longer term. What is the long-term
- consequence of the commercialization of the net? If the ads begin to
- swamp the traditional users you will not only lose a lot of those
- users (who will tune out), but you run the risk of inviting
- governmental regulation. All it takes is a few novices to get
- snookered by slick scams on the net and call the police, go running to
- the SEC, call their congressman, etc., to get the idea of rampant net
- fraud on the front page of your morning paper. And there is nothing
- your local congressman would rather do than come riding in on a white
- horse to save us from this evil. Censorship and the limitation of
- access can happen a lot quicker than some might think. After all, the
- internet was created by government funding, and the US backbone is
- still supported by Uncle Sam. I'm already reading in the papers about
- the explosive growth of traffic on the net, and I am not eager to
- hasten the day when the ever-brightening public spotlight brings the
- regulation which inevitably follows. Most of the usenet traffic is
- still friendly "What does anyone know about X?" and "Here's what I
- know about X!" kind of communication, but as the volume of readers
- expands it attracts the commercial vultures who will gladly use this
- "free" medium to search for a quick buck. It may be that those of us
- who flame the occasional unsolicited commercial posts are simply
- trying to hold back an inevitable flood, but that won't keep us from
- trying.
-
- What can you do about it? First, you can reply to the poster
- directly to express your distaste and disgust at his/her shameless
- use of the net for his/her personal monetary gain. Be polite but
- direct. I don't recommend mail-bombing (sending hundreds if not
- thousands of messages) because that's just stooping to their level.
- Second, when you reply, be sure to use the CC: field to direct a
- carbon copy to the system administrator; one of the addresses root or
- postmaster should work. E.g., you can complain to the administrator
- of site "big.company.com" by sending mail to "root@big.company.com"
- or to "postmaster@big.company.com". Readers of misc.invest report
- that large service providers such as AOL, Delphi, and Sprint, where
- an unfortunate number of junk articles seem to originate, have started
- to listen to complaints about their misguided users and have in some
- cases responded by canceling the article, the user, or both. Take a
- stand and write some mail. It won't even cost you a stamp. Let your
- voice be heard. Usenet is a self-policed state of anarchy, and if its
- users complain loudly, consistently, and clearly about the advertisers,
- then I think there's hope.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Warning - Charles Givens
- Last-Revised: 18 Nov 1993
- From: Chris.Hynes@launchpad.unc.edu, mincy@think.com, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- Charles J. Givens, born in 1941, is a self-styled investment guru who
- regularly appears in info-mercials on late-night television to tell
- the world about the fortunes he has made and lost, his free seminars
- run by his associates, and the Charles J. Givens Organization.
-
- Givens offers investment advice through his seminars and publications.
- He has written several best-selling books:
- Wealth Without Risk (1988)
- Financial Self-Defense (1990)
- More Wealth Without Risk (1991)
-
- Membership in his organization is offered for about $400 up front and
- subsequent dues of $80 a year. According to reference (2), a member
- of his organization receives printed materials, videotapes, and audio
- tapes which describe financial strategies. The organization publishes
- a monthly newsletter. Telephone advice is also offered to members.
-
- His advice is generally simplistic and sometimes contradictory. All
- examples are taken from Wealth Without Risk, as cited in Reference (4).
- Simplistic: number 210, don't buy bonds when interest rates are rising.
- Contradictory: number 206, do not put your money in vacant land;
- number 245, invest your IRA or Keogh money in vacant land.
-
- Givens offers some helpful advice but contrary to the titles of his books,
- his ideas can be extremely risky. For example, some of his suggestions
- about insurance, especially dropping uninsured motorist coverage from
- one's automobile insurance, may leave people underinsured and vulnerable
- in case of an accident unless they are very careful about reading their
- policies and asking hard questions. He also makes aggressive inter-
- pretations of tax law, interpretations which might get one in trouble
- with the IRS. Prospective followers of Givens must, absolutely must,
- read about recent successful lawsuits against Givens as well as his
- criminal convictions and other disclosures about him and his organization.
- See below for exact references. In conclusion: his advice is simply
- not appropriate for everyone.
-
- References:
-
- (1) _Smart Money_, August 1993.
-
- (2) The Wall Street Journal, ``Pitching Dreams,'' 08/05/91, Page A1.
-
- (3) The Wall Street Journal, ``Enterprise: Proliferating Get-Rich Shows
- Scrutinized,'' 04/19/90, Page B1.
-
- (4) The Wall Street Journal, ``Double or Nothing,'' 02/15/90, Page A12.
-
- (5) The Wall Street Journal, `` Tax Report: A Special Summary and Forecast
- Of Federal and State Tax Developments,'' 11/01/89.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Warning - Dave Rhodes and Other Chain Letters
- Last-Revised: 6 Sep 1994
- From: pearson_steven@tandem.com, foo@netcom.com, gwu@esl.com
-
- Please do NOT post the "Dave Rhodes" or any other chain letter,
- pyramid scheme, or other scam to misc.invest.
-
- Pyramid schemes are fraud. It's simple mathematics. You can't
- realistically base a business on an exponentially-growing cast of
- new "employees." Sending money through the mails as part of a
- fraudulent scheme is against US Postal regulations. Notice that
- it's not the *asking* that is illegal, but rather the delivery of
- money through the US mail that the USPS cares about. But fraud is
- illegal, no matter how the money is delivered, and asking that
- delivery use the US Mail just makes for a double whammy.
-
- Note that when someone posts this nonsense with their name and home
- address attached, it's fairly simple for a postal inspector to trace
- the offender down.
-
- Although the "Dave Rhodes" letter has been appearing almost
- weekly in misc.invest, and it's getting pretty old, it's mildly
- interesting to see how this scam mutates as it passes through
- various bulletin boards and newsgroups. Sometimes our friend
- Dave went broke in 1985, sometimes as recently as 1988. Sometimes
- he's now driving a mercedes, sometimes a cadillac, etc., etc.
- The scam just keeps getting updated to keep up with the times.
-
- To close on a funny note, here's a quote from the "Ask Mr. Protocol"
- column of the July 1994 (v. 5, n. 7) SunExpert magazine:
- ``Rhodes (n) - unit of measure, the rate at which the same
- annoying crud is recycled by newcomers to the net.''
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Compilation Copyright (c) 1994 by Christopher Lott, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
- --
- "Christopher Lott / Email: lott@informatik.uni-kl.de / Tel: +49 (631) 205-3334"
- " Address: FB Informatik - Bau 57 / Universitaet KL / D--67653 Kaiserslautern "
- " World-wide web: http://uomo.informatik.uni-kl.de:2080/Personalia/cml.html "
-